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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 29.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $60.37B large-cap · #8 of 15 peers
Summary

Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Imperial Oil Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Imperial Oil Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $60.37B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For IMO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, IMO included.

Price

IMO price chart and AI forecast

IMO
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How IMO ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricIMOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $60.37B $60.37B 8/15
P/E Ratio 13.75x 7.87x 5/12
P/B Ratio 3.51x 2.90x 4/10
Dividend Yield 1.85% 1.72% 4/8
EPS $9.08 – –
Book Value/Share $35.55 – –
Revenue/Share $83.45 – –
FCF/Share $9.40 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricIMOIndustry medianRank
ROE 24.8% 24.8% 5/9
ROA 12.3% 9.2% 5/11
Net Margin 10.8% 7.4% 4/11
EBT Margin 14.2% 14.0% 5/12
Tax Rate 23.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricIMOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.30x 1.34x 9/13
D/E Ratio 1.01x 1.70x 11/13
Financial Leverage 2.01x 2.61x 8/10
Working Capital $2.48B $2.99B 8/13

Cash Flow

MetricIMOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6.20B $10.62B 8/14
Free Cash Flow $4.55B $3.59B 4/8
Capital Spending -$1.66B -$1.82B 4/8
OCF Growth YoY 30.8% 124.7% 7/10
FCF Growth YoY 31.9% 120.9% 4/5
FCF/Sales 11.3% 10.0% 3/8
CapEx/Sales 4.1% 4.8% 5/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricIMOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.14x 1.60x 9/11
Receivables Turnover 6.1x 10.6x 12/12
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.8x 3.6x 11/13
Days Sales Outstanding 60 days 34 days 1/12

Income Statement

MetricIMOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $40.36B $59.66B 10/14
Net Income $4.38B $2.71B 5/11
SG&A Expense $854M $1.08B 6/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricIMOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.31 – –
Payout Ratio 25.4% 14.0% 3/8
Shares Outstanding 484M – –
Net Income Growth 51.9% 56.2% 5/8
EPS Growth 61.3% 76.6% 5/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Total Current Assets$10.64B30.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.03B5.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$6.43B18.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$17.44B50.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

IMO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining

Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Imperial Oil Ltd (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd $60.37B 13.8x 3.5x
CVX Chevron Corp $420.07B 15.6x 2.2x
COP Conocophillips $163.71B 14.3x 2.5x
BP Bp Plc $114.95B – –
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp $105.96B 7.4x 4.3x
EQNR Equinor Asa $104.99B 4.7x –
VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx $96.62B 7.7x 3.7x
PSX Phillips 66 $95.85B 8.0x 2.8x
YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima $15.21B – –
SUN Sunoco Lp $8.45B 5.5x –
PBF Pbf Energy Inc. $8.16B 3.0x 1.0x
DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. $3.92B 3.3x 3.0x
CVI Cvr Energy Inc $3.83B 14.4x 3.5x
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. $3.38B – 0.9x
SUNC Sunococorp Llc $3.14B 13.8x –

Where IMO sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
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News

Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock news

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FAQ

Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Imperial Oil Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Imperial Oil Ltd stock predictions?

For IMO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Imperial Oil Ltd forecasts updated?

Imperial Oil Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Imperial Oil Ltd's industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, IMO included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Bp Plc (BP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Equinor Asa (EQNR), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.