Imperial Oil Ltd.
The company also introduced a poison pill plan aimed at undermining any other unfriendly offers. By Ian Austen Analysts expect Exxon Corp's 69.9 percent owned Imperial Oil Ltd to buy Mobil Canada's ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
28.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$64.76B
large-cap · #8 of 15 peers
Summary
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Imperial Oil Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Imperial Oil Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $64.76B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For IMO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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IMO price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How IMO ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | IMO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $64.76B | 8/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.62x | 4/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.75x | 5/10 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.68% | 4/8 |
| EPS | $6.20 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $35.75 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $77.58 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.53 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | IMO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 16.9% | 6/10 |
| ROA | 8.7% | 3/9 |
| Net Margin | 8.0% | 3/11 |
| EBT Margin | 10.5% | 4/11 |
| Tax Rate | 23.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | IMO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.38x | 4/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.95x | 11/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.95x | 8/10 |
| Working Capital | $2.69B | 7/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | IMO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $5.19B | 8/13 |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.64B | 4/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.55B | 4/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 14.5% | 7/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 12.1% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 9.7% | 3/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.1% | 5/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | IMO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.08x | 8/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.3x | 11/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.7x | 10/12 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 58 days | 1/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | IMO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $37.52B | 9/13 |
| Net Income | $3.01B | 7/11 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.03B | 6/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | IMO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.24 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 36.1% | 3/8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 484M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -11.4% | 7/9 |
| EPS Growth | -5.6% | 6/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)
| Total Current Assets | $9.82B | 29.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.00B | 5.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.76B | 17.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $16.43B | 48.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
IMO quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Imperial Oil Ltd (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| IMO Imperial Oil Ltd | ▼ | $64.76B |
| CVX Chevron Corp | ▼ | $444.53B |
| COP Conocophillips | ▼ | $176.01B |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp | ▶ | $134.25B |
| BP Bp Plc | ▼ | $129.61B |
| VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx | ▼ | $128.04B |
| EQNR Equinor Asa | ▼ | $117.46B |
| PSX Phillips 66 | ▼ | $116.98B |
| YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima | ▼ | $20.10B |
| SUN Sunoco Lp | ▶ | $10.03B |
| PBF Pbf Energy Inc. | ▲ | $10.02B |
| CVI Cvr Energy Inc | ▶ | $6.17B |
| IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. | ▼ | $4.73B |
| DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.69B |
| SUNC Sunococorp Llc | ▶ | $3.73B |
Where IMO sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
News
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock news
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Production and Robust ...
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Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic ...
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FAQ
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Imperial Oil Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Imperial Oil Ltd stock predictions?
For IMO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Imperial Oil Ltd forecasts updated?
Imperial Oil Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Imperial Oil Ltd's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, IMO included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Bp Plc (BP), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.