Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, YPF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Ypf Sociedad Anonima is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $20.10B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For YPF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -39.0%, measured on 218 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 261 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How YPF ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in ARS and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | YPF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $20.10B | 9/15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | YPF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.87x | 12/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.68x | 10/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.70x | 7/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.72x | 5/10 |
| Working Capital | -$670K | 12/13 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | YPF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 393M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from ARS)
| Total Current Assets | $4M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $640K | |
| Inventory | $1M | |
| Total Liabilities | $13M | |
| Short-term Debt | $4M |
YPF quarterly financials and insider trading
Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ypf Sociedad Anonima (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima | ▶ | $20.10B |
| CVX Chevron Corp | ▼ | $444.53B |
| COP Conocophillips | ▼ | $176.01B |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp | ▲ | $134.25B |
| BP Bp Plc | ▼ | $129.61B |
| VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx | ▲ | $128.04B |
| EQNR Equinor Asa | ▼ | $117.46B |
| PSX Phillips 66 | ▶ | $116.98B |
| IMO Imperial Oil Ltd | ▼ | $64.76B |
| SUN Sunoco Lp | ▲ | $10.03B |
| PBF Pbf Energy Inc. | ▲ | $10.02B |
| CVI Cvr Energy Inc | ▲ | $6.17B |
| IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. | ▶ | $4.73B |
| DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.69B |
| SUNC Sunococorp Llc | ▲ | $3.73B |
Where YPF sits on the market map
Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock news
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Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, YPF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Ypf Sociedad Anonima stock predictions?
For YPF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -39.0%, measured on 218 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 261 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ypf Sociedad Anonima forecasts updated?
Ypf Sociedad Anonima forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Ypf Sociedad Anonima's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, YPF included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Bp Plc (BP), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.