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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -39.0% Spearman, 218 dates
Market Cap $20.49B large-cap · #9 of 15 peers
Summary

Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ypf Sociedad Anonima outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ypf Sociedad Anonima is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $20.49B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For YPF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -39.0%, measured on 218 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 261 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, YPF included.

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Price

YPF price chart and AI forecast

YPF
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How YPF ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in ARS and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricYPFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $20.49B $64.76B 9/15

Financial Health

MetricYPFIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.87x 1.29x 12/13
Quick Ratio 0.68x 0.91x 10/12
D/E Ratio 1.70x 1.70x 7/13
Financial Leverage 2.72x 2.66x 5/10
Working Capital -$670K $2.69B 12/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricYPFIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 393M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from ARS)

Total Current Assets$4M
Cash & Short-term Investments$640K
Inventory$1M
Total Liabilities$13M
Short-term Debt$4M
Quarterly Financial Reports

YPF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining

Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ypf Sociedad Anonima (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima ▼ $20.49B – –
CVX Chevron Corp ▼ $444.53B 21.6x 2.3x
COP Conocophillips ▼ $176.01B 19.4x 2.7x
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp ▶ $134.25B 16.7x 5.5x
BP Bp Plc ▼ $129.61B – –
VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx ▼ $128.04B 18.5x 4.9x
EQNR Equinor Asa ▼ $117.46B 5.3x –
PSX Phillips 66 ▼ $116.98B 17.2x 3.7x
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd ▼ $64.76B 21.6x 3.8x
SUN Sunoco Lp ▶ $10.03B 8.6x –
PBF Pbf Energy Inc. ▲ $10.02B 7.4x 1.6x
CVI Cvr Energy Inc ▶ $6.17B 89.0x 11.8x
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. ▼ $4.73B – 1.2x
DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.69B 21.7x 25.2x
SUNC Sunococorp Llc ▶ $3.73B – –

Where YPF sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
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News

Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock news

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FAQ

Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ypf Sociedad Anonima outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ypf Sociedad Anonima stock predictions?

For YPF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -39.0%, measured on 218 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 261 forecast dates between 2025-03-28 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ypf Sociedad Anonima forecasts updated?

Ypf Sociedad Anonima forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ypf Sociedad Anonima's industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, YPF included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Bp Plc (BP), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.