Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Burford Capital Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Burford Capital Ltd is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $659M. It ranks number 37 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BUR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BUR included.
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How BUR ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $659M | 37/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.80x | 37/46 |
| EPS | $-7.56 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.73 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.84 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -205.9% | 27/29 |
| ROA | -39.5% | 26/31 |
| Operating Margin | -604.5% | 24/29 |
| Net Margin | -681.9% | 25/28 |
| EBT Margin | -684.1% | 36/41 |
| Tax Rate | -0.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 3.42x | 16/54 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.22x | 16/52 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.3x | 11/33 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$185M | 36/46 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$185M | 18/32 |
| Capital Spending | -$250K | 2/32 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -427.0% | 16/18 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | -$1.49B | 29/32 |
| Net Income | -$1.69B | 28/32 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 220M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -646.7% | 11/13 |
| EPS Growth | -709.7% | 14/16 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $697M | 19.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.80B | 77.3% of assets |
BUR quarterly financials and insider trading
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Burford Capital Ltd (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BUR Burford Capital Ltd | ▲ | $659M |
| AXP American Express Co | ▶ | $211.77B |
| MSTR Strategy Inc | ▲ | $52.57B |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | ▲ | $45.69B |
| SYF Synchrony Financial | ▶ | $23.97B |
| CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. | ▲ | $20.87B |
| SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $18.79B |
| BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $13.07B |
| CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $11.23B |
| IREN Iren Ltd | ▲ | $10.64B |
| WULF Terawulf Inc. | ▲ | $5.83B |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | ▲ | $5.15B |
| DAVE Dave Inc./De | ▲ | $4.96B |
| KLAR Klarna Group Plc | ▶ | $4.91B |
| BLSH Bullish | ▲ | $4.45B |
| CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx | ▲ | $4.33B |
| CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. | ▲ | $3.73B |
| GPGI Gpgi, Inc. | ▶ | $3.61B |
| MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.91B |
| IOND Ionic Digital Inc. | ▶ | $2.83B |
| SII Sprott Inc. | ▶ | $2.79B |
| UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.29B |
| CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. | ▲ | $2.15B |
| BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group | ▲ | $2.10B |
| ASST Strive, Inc. | ▲ | $2.06B |
| XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. | ▲ | $1.95B |
| PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc | ▲ | $1.79B |
| WLTH Wealthfront Corp | ▲ | $1.66B |
| SECZ Securitize Corp. | ▶ | $1.61B |
| PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. | ▲ | $1.44B |
| KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. | ▲ | $1.43B |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners | ▲ | $1.25B |
| WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. | ▶ | $1.12B |
| RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | ▶ | $889M |
| GDOT Green Dot Corp | ▶ | $695M |
| BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $691M |
| QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $681M |
| VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $581M |
| HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. | ▲ | $557M |
| FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. | ▲ | $510M |
| ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. | ▲ | $504M |
| OPFI Oppfi Inc. | ▲ | $481M |
| GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. | ▲ | $463M |
| WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. | ▲ | $457M |
| OPRT Oportun Financial Corp | ▲ | $418M |
| BTBT Bit Digital, Inc | ▲ | $346M |
| SVIA Silvia, Inc. | ▼ | $323M |
| ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $318M |
| DGXX Digi Power X Inc. | ▲ | $266M |
| USDE Stablecoinx Inc. | ▼ | $257M |
| MFIN Medallion Financial Corp | ▲ | $257M |
| CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. | ▲ | $255M |
| BKKT Bakkt, Inc. | ▲ | $252M |
| SNFCA Security National Financial Corp | ▶ | $240M |
| ZSQR Z Squared Inc. | ▲ | $227M |
| CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. | ▲ | $197M |
| LDI Loandepot, Inc. | ▲ | $181M |
| USBC Usbc, Inc. | ▲ | $175M |
| SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc | ▲ | $164M |
| AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd | ▲ | $159M |
Where BUR sits on the market map
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) stock news
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Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Burford Capital Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Burford Capital Ltd stock predictions?
For BUR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Burford Capital Ltd forecasts updated?
Burford Capital Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Burford Capital Ltd's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, BUR included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.