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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -8.0% Spearman, 341 dates
Market Cap $681M small-cap · #36 of 60 peers
Summary

Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, QFIN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Qfin Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $681M. It ranks number 36 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 203.2% is the highest of the 29 peers that report one.

For QFIN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -8.0%, measured on 341 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 384 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

QFIN price chart and AI forecast

QFIN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How QFIN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2024-12-31

Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricQFINIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $681M $1.34B 36/60
P/B Ratio 1.50x 1.39x 22/46
Book Value/Share $3.78 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricQFINIndustry medianRank
ROE 203.2% -7.5% 1/29
ROA 102.1% -1.0% 1/31
Net Margin 25.4% -3.0% 2/28

Financial Health

MetricQFINIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.99x 1.66x 31/54
Financial Leverage 1.99x 2.80x 32/52
Interest Coverage 405.1x -2.4x 2/33

Income Statement

MetricQFINIndustry medianRank
Net Income $936M -$34M 3/32

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricQFINIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 120M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)

Total Liabilities$448M49.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

QFIN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Finance Services

Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Qfin Holdings, Inc. (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. ▶ $681M – 1.5x
AXP American Express Co ▶ $211.77B 19.0x 6.2x
MSTR Strategy Inc ▲ $52.57B – 1.7x
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. ▲ $45.69B – 3.5x
SYF Synchrony Financial ▼ $23.97B 7.6x 1.4x
CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. ▲ $20.87B 19.5x 6.0x
SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. ▲ $18.79B 33.8x 1.7x
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. ▶ $13.07B – –
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. ▲ $11.23B 9.6x 8.0x
IREN Iren Ltd ▶ $10.64B – 2.5x
WULF Terawulf Inc. ▲ $5.83B – 39.6x
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. ▲ $5.15B – 2.4x
DAVE Dave Inc./De ▲ $4.96B 23.8x 23.9x
KLAR Klarna Group Plc ▼ $4.91B – –
BLSH Bullish ▲ $4.45B – –
CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx ▲ $4.33B – –
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. ▲ $3.73B – 6.6x
GPGI Gpgi, Inc. ▼ $3.61B – 1.1x
MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.91B – 1.8x
IOND Ionic Digital Inc. ▶ $2.83B – 5.5x
SII Sprott Inc. ▶ $2.79B 15.9x –
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.29B 42.1x 2.9x
CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. ▲ $2.15B – 2.8x
BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group ▲ $2.10B – –
ASST Strive, Inc. ▶ $2.06B – 419.9x
XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. ▶ $1.95B – –
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc ▲ $1.79B 2.8x 1.0x
WLTH Wealthfront Corp ▲ $1.66B – 2.7x
SECZ Securitize Corp. ▶ $1.61B – –
PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ▲ $1.44B 14.1x 2.4x
KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. ▲ $1.43B – 4.3x
PWP Perella Weinberg Partners ▲ $1.25B 27.1x –
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. ▶ $1.12B 44.1x 0.7x
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. ▼ $889M 22.6x –
GDOT Green Dot Corp ▲ $695M – 0.7x
BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. ▲ $691M – 1.6x
BUR Burford Capital Ltd ▲ $659M – 0.8x
VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. ▶ $581M 5.5x 0.8x
HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. ▲ $557M – 1.0x
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. ▲ $510M – 1.1x
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. ▶ $504M – 0.8x
OPFI Oppfi Inc. ▲ $481M 2.9x –
GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. ▲ $463M – 1.0x
WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. ▲ $457M – 1.4x
OPRT Oportun Financial Corp ▲ $418M 16.2x 1.0x
BTBT Bit Digital, Inc ▲ $346M – 0.9x
SVIA Silvia, Inc. ▼ $323M – 1.2x
ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. ▶ $318M – 0.8x
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. ▶ $266M – 1.0x
USDE Stablecoinx Inc. ▼ $257M – –
MFIN Medallion Financial Corp ▲ $257M 6.9x 0.6x
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. ▶ $255M – –
BKKT Bakkt, Inc. ▶ $252M – 0.7x
SNFCA Security National Financial Corp ▲ $240M 6.9x 0.6x
ZSQR Z Squared Inc. ▲ $227M – 1.7x
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. ▲ $197M 10.5x 0.6x
LDI Loandepot, Inc. ▲ $181M – 0.9x
USBC Usbc, Inc. ▶ $175M – –
SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc ▼ $164M – 1.1x
AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd ▲ $159M – 0.9x

Where QFIN sits on the market map

Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
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News

Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) stock news

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FAQ

Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, QFIN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Qfin Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For QFIN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -8.0%, measured on 341 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 384 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Qfin Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Qfin Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Qfin Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, QFIN included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.