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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $228M small-cap · #51 of 60 peers
Summary

Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Medallion Financial Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Medallion Financial Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $228M. It ranks number 51 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MFIN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MFIN included.

Price

MFIN price chart and AI forecast

MFIN
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MFIN ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMFINIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $228M $1.24B 51/60
P/E Ratio 6.36x 14.34x 18/19
P/B Ratio 0.57x 1.27x 44/47
Dividend Yield 5.34% 1.83% 2/7
EPS $1.56 – –
Book Value/Share $17.41 – –
Revenue/Share $6.42 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMFINIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.8% -2.1% 12/28
ROA 0.8% -0.4% 12/29
Net Margin 18.3% -1.1% 4/27
EBT Margin 36.6% -11.6% 3/43
Tax Rate 32.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricMFINIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 7.03x 1.57x 11/55
Financial Leverage 8.41x 2.62x 11/53

Cash Flow

MetricMFINIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $137M $23M 19/47
OCF Growth YoY 13.5% 12.4% 9/19

Operational Efficiency

MetricMFINIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.18x 28/36

Income Statement

MetricMFINIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $147M $570M 30/38
Net Income $27M -$9M 13/30

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMFINIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.53 – –
Payout Ratio 34.0% 21.0% 2/5
Shares Outstanding 23M – –
Net Income Growth -34.1% -6.8% 11/17
EPS Growth 6.1% -104.5% 6/19

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$153M4.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.81B87.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MFIN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Finance Services

Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Medallion Financial Corp (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MFIN Medallion Financial Corp $228M 6.4x 0.6x
AXP American Express Co $215.24B 18.1x 6.0x
MSTR Strategy Inc $54.45B – 1.0x
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. $35.68B – 2.6x
SYF Synchrony Financial $22.96B 7.7x 1.4x
SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. $20.72B 34.9x 1.8x
CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. $17.23B 16.0x 4.5x
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. $11.86B 9.6x 7.7x
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. $11.32B – –
IREN Iren Ltd $8.53B – 1.7x
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. $6.27B – 2.9x
WULF Terawulf Inc. $5.67B – 6.5x
KLAR Klarna Group Plc $5.13B – –
GPGI Gpgi, Inc. $4.12B 23.3x 1.3x
CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx $3.78B – –
DAVE Dave Inc./De $3.72B 22.2x 13.6x
BLSH Bullish $3.21B – –
SII Sprott Inc. $2.94B 16.8x –
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. $2.72B – 4.5x
IOND Ionic Digital Inc. $2.68B – 5.2x
MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. $2.45B – 1.5x
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. $2.15B 40.3x 2.4x
XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. $1.85B – –
ASST Strive, Inc. $1.83B – 373.0x
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc $1.74B – –
WLTH Wealthfront Corp $1.66B – 2.7x
BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group $1.63B – –
CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. $1.58B – 2.1x
PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. $1.46B 14.3x 2.4x
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. $1.34B – 0.8x
PWP Perella Weinberg Partners $1.29B 22.8x 20.1x
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. $1.20B 36.1x –
KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. $1.15B – 4.2x
SECZ Securitize Corp. $1.14B – –
BUR Burford Capital Ltd $788M – 0.9x
GDOT Green Dot Corp $698M – 0.7x
VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. $689M 6.5x 1.0x
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. $656M – 1.4x
BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. $571M – 1.4x
OPRT Oportun Financial Corp $533M 13.3x 1.2x
OPFI Oppfi Inc. $526M 10.0x –
HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. $488M – 0.9x
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. $421M – 0.9x
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. $390M – 0.5x
ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. $321M – 0.8x
GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. $319M – 0.7x
WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. $303M – 0.9x
SVIA Silvia, Inc. $266M – 1.0x
BTBT Bit Digital, Inc $265M – 0.7x
SNFCA Security National Financial Corp $256M 7.0x 0.6x
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. $244M – –
LDI Loandepot, Inc. $216M – 1.1x
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. $216M 11.0x 0.7x
BNC Bnb Standard Corp $215M 1.5x 0.7x
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. $211M – 0.8x
BKKT Bakkt, Inc. $194M – 0.6x
ZSQR Z Squared Inc. $179M – 1.4x
CNTN Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc. $164M – 0.4x
AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd $156M – 0.9x
USDE Stablecoinx Inc. $155M – –

Where MFIN sits on the market map

Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
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FAQ

Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Medallion Financial Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Medallion Financial Corp stock predictions?

For MFIN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Medallion Financial Corp forecasts updated?

Medallion Financial Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Medallion Financial Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MFIN included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.