Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Upstart Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Upstart Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.15B. It ranks number 21 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 40.26x is the highest of the 19 peers that report one.
For UPST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, UPST included.
UPST price chart and AI forecast
How UPST ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | UPST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.15B | 21/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 40.26x | 1/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.43x | 14/47 |
| EPS | $0.55 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $9.12 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $13.77 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.92 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | UPST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 7.3% | 10/28 |
| ROA | 1.9% | 8/29 |
| Operating Margin | 4.6% | 7/31 |
| Net Margin | 4.9% | 10/27 |
| EBT Margin | 4.1% | 17/43 |
| Tax Rate | 3.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | UPST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.76x | 20/55 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.76x | 20/53 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.5x | 8/33 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | UPST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$181M | 36/47 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$187M | 17/32 |
| Capital Spending | -$6M | 11/32 |
| FCF/Sales | -14.0% | 15/29 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.4% | 25/29 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | UPST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.40x | 6/36 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 26.2x | 10/34 |
Income Statement
| Metric | UPST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.34B | 10/38 |
| Operating Income | $62M | 6/34 |
| Net Income | $65M | 8/30 |
| R&D Expense | $334M | 4/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.03B | 3/19 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | UPST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 97M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 60.5% | 2/17 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $461M | 13.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.45B | 73.4% of assets |
UPST quarterly financials and insider trading
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Upstart Holdings, Inc. (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. | $2.15B | |
| AXP American Express Co | $215.24B | |
| MSTR Strategy Inc | $54.45B | |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | $35.68B | |
| SYF Synchrony Financial | $22.96B | |
| SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. | $20.72B | |
| CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. | $17.23B | |
| CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. | $11.86B | |
| BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | $11.32B | |
| IREN Iren Ltd | $8.53B | |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | $6.27B | |
| WULF Terawulf Inc. | $5.67B | |
| KLAR Klarna Group Plc | $5.13B | |
| GPGI Gpgi, Inc. | $4.12B | |
| CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx | $3.78B | |
| DAVE Dave Inc./De | $3.72B | |
| BLSH Bullish | $3.21B | |
| SII Sprott Inc. | $2.94B | |
| CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. | $2.72B | |
| IOND Ionic Digital Inc. | $2.68B | |
| MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. | $2.45B | |
| XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. | $1.85B | |
| ASST Strive, Inc. | $1.83B | |
| PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc | $1.74B | |
| WLTH Wealthfront Corp | $1.66B | |
| BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group | $1.63B | |
| CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. | $1.58B | |
| PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. | $1.46B | |
| WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. | $1.34B | |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners | $1.29B | |
| RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | $1.20B | |
| KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. | $1.15B | |
| SECZ Securitize Corp. | $1.14B | |
| BUR Burford Capital Ltd | $788M | |
| GDOT Green Dot Corp | $698M | |
| VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. | $689M | |
| QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. | $656M | |
| BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. | $571M | |
| OPRT Oportun Financial Corp | $533M | |
| OPFI Oppfi Inc. | $526M | |
| HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. | $488M | |
| FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. | $421M | |
| ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. | $390M | |
| ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. | $321M | |
| GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. | $319M | |
| WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. | $303M | |
| SVIA Silvia, Inc. | $266M | |
| BTBT Bit Digital, Inc | $265M | |
| SNFCA Security National Financial Corp | $256M | |
| CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. | $244M | |
| MFIN Medallion Financial Corp | $228M | |
| LDI Loandepot, Inc. | $216M | |
| CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. | $216M | |
| BNC Bnb Standard Corp | $215M | |
| DGXX Digi Power X Inc. | $211M | |
| BKKT Bakkt, Inc. | $194M | |
| ZSQR Z Squared Inc. | $179M | |
| CNTN Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc. | $164M | |
| AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd | $156M | |
| USDE Stablecoinx Inc. | $155M |
Where UPST sits on the market map
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) stock news
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Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Upstart Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Upstart Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For UPST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Upstart Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Upstart Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, UPST included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.