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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $166M small-cap · #25 of 35 peers
Summary

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $166M. It ranks number 25 by market capitalization among the 35 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.13x is the lowest of the 29 peers that report one.

For CMTG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CMTG included.

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Price

CMTG price chart and AI forecast

CMTG
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CMTG ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCMTGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $166M $445M 25/35
P/B Ratio 0.13x 0.84x 29/29
EPS $-4.00 – –
Book Value/Share $8.77 – –
Revenue/Share $1.08 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCMTGIndustry medianRank
ROE -45.5% 2.8% 21/22
ROA -14.7% 0.9% 22/25
Net Margin -370.1% 3.0% 20/23

Financial Health

MetricCMTGIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 2.10x 1.22x 11/32
Financial Leverage 3.10x 2.04x 10/29

Cash Flow

MetricCMTGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$7M $12M 26/33
OCF Growth YoY -146.6% -8.4% 17/19

Operational Efficiency

MetricCMTGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.09x 16/19

Income Statement

MetricCMTGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $152M $158M 13/23
Net Income -$563M $6M 25/25

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCMTGIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 141M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$90M2.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.60B67.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CMTG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (Real Estate): 37 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. ▲ $166M – 0.1x
CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. ▶ $38.54B 27.2x 4.6x
TRNO Terreno Realty Corp ▼ $6.98B 18.1x 1.6x
FSV Firstservice Corp ▼ $6.20B 48.8x 4.5x
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. ▶ $4.59B 46.8x 9.4x
MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. ▶ $3.74B 8.9x 0.6x
VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. ▼ $3.26B – –
CURB Curbline Properties Corp. ▶ $3.05B 88.4x 1.6x
CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. ▶ $2.65B 32.3x 1.3x
UE Urban Edge Properties ▼ $2.46B 22.9x 1.8x
GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ ▼ $1.76B 19.3x 1.6x
BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. ▶ $1.57B – 0.8x
EFC Ellington Financial Inc. ▼ $1.50B 10.0x 0.8x
IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc ▼ $1.44B 11.9x 0.8x
FOR Forestar Group Inc. ▲ $1.31B 7.7x 0.7x
SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp ▶ $691M – 5.5x
FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc ▶ $643M 12.1x 0.3x
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. ▲ $558M – 0.2x
AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. ▲ $445M – 0.8x
TRC Tejon Ranch Co ▶ $442M 102.1x 0.9x
FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. ▼ $369M – 0.9x
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc ▼ $292M – 9.4x
OPI Office Properties Income Trust ▶ $290M – 0.6x
CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. ▲ $173M 7.7x 7.3x
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. ▶ $167M 3.8x 0.7x
OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc ▼ $145M – –
SRG Seritage Growth Properties ▲ $93M – –
LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas ▲ $85M – –
AEI Alset Inc. ▲ $25M – 0.2x
DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. ▲ $22M – 0.7x
AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. ▲ $6M – 1.0x
CWD Calibercos Inc. ▶ $4M – –
CSUI Cannabis Suisse Corp. ▲ $540K – –
NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. ▼ $530K – 0.4x
AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc ▲ $250K 2.5x 0.5x
GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MYCB My City Builders, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where CMTG sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate
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News

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) stock news

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FAQ

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. stock predictions?

For CMTG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. forecasts updated?

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.'s industry peers?

37 issuers in our coverage, CMTG included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP), Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. (VTMX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.