Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
On Oct. 16, 2026, FPH is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Five Point Holdings, Llc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $654M. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 35 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For FPH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FPH included.
Follow FPH free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $654M | 16/35 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.33x | 10/17 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.28x | 26/29 |
| Book Value/Share | $15.79 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.79 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.44 | – |
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 2.3% | 12/22 |
| ROA | 1.6% | 11/25 |
| Net Margin | 45.3% | 6/23 |
| EBT Margin | 139.2% | 2/26 |
| Tax Rate | 14.3% | – |
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.35x | 26/32 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.38x | 22/29 |
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $65M | 14/33 |
| Free Cash Flow | $65M | 4/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$290K | 3/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -56.6% | 15/19 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -56.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 55.8% | 1/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | 6/7 |
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.04x | 16/19 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.0x | 6/8 |
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $117M | 14/23 |
| Net Income | $53M | 11/25 |
| SG&A Expense | $59M | 5/6 |
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 148M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -31.9% | 10/14 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $348M | 11.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $815M | 25.9% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Five Point Holdings, Llc (Real Estate): 37 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc | ▶ | $654M |
| CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. | ▶ | $38.54B |
| TRNO Terreno Realty Corp | ▼ | $6.97B |
| FSV Firstservice Corp | ▼ | $6.18B |
| CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. | ▶ | $4.59B |
| MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. | ▶ | $3.69B |
| VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. | ▼ | $3.22B |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | ▶ | $3.05B |
| CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. | ▶ | $2.65B |
| UE Urban Edge Properties | ▼ | $2.44B |
| GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ | ▶ | $1.75B |
| BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. | ▶ | $1.57B |
| EFC Ellington Financial Inc. | ▼ | $1.50B |
| IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc | ▼ | $1.47B |
| FOR Forestar Group Inc. | ▲ | $1.31B |
| SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp | ▶ | $694M |
| HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | ▲ | $606M |
| TRC Tejon Ranch Co | ▲ | $447M |
| AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. | ▲ | $445M |
| FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $367M |
| OPI Office Properties Income Trust | ▶ | $306M |
| MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc | ▶ | $293M |
| CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | ▲ | $173M |
| AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. | ▶ | $168M |
| CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | ▲ | $166M |
| OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc | ▶ | $150M |
| SRG Seritage Growth Properties | ▲ | $93M |
| LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas | ▲ | $88M |
| AEI Alset Inc. | ▲ | $25M |
| DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. | ▲ | $23M |
| AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. | ▼ | $6M |
| CWD Calibercos Inc. | ▼ | $5M |
| CSUI Cannabis Suisse Corp. | ▶ | $540K |
| NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. | ▼ | $530K |
| AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc | ▲ | $250K |
| GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| MYCB My City Builders, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Five Point Holdings, LLC (“Five Point”) (NYSE:FPH), an owner and developer of large mixed-use planned communities in California, will hold a conference call to discuss its third quarter 2026 financial ...
Greetings and welcome to the Five Point Holdings' Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2025 Conference Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Today's call may include forward-looking statements ...
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On Oct. 16, 2026, FPH is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
For FPH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Five Point Holdings, Llc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
37 issuers in our coverage, FPH included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP), Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. (VTMX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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