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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 15.0% Spearman, 214 dates
Market Cap $4.30B mid-cap · #5 of 34 peers
Summary

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Millrose Properties, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Millrose Properties, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.30B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 34 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MRP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 214 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 257 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MRP included.

Price

MRP price chart and AI forecast

MRP
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MRP ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.30B $468M 5/34
P/E Ratio 9.71x 21.16x 13/17
P/B Ratio 0.74x 0.83x 17/29
Dividend Yield 11.61% 4.96% 3/8
EPS $2.67 – –
Book Value/Share $35.24 – –
Revenue/Share $4.77 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.6% 5.5% 6/20
ROA 4.8% 0.9% 5/22
Operating Margin 85.2% 6.9% 1/18
Net Margin 63.2% 3.0% 3/20
EBT Margin 65.5% 6.3% 2/25
Tax Rate 3.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.80x 1.21x 18/32
Financial Leverage 1.80x 2.01x 16/29
Interest Coverage 1.2x 1.8x 14/23

Cash Flow

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $5.98B $13M 1/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.08x 0.08x 10/19

Income Statement

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $792M $139M 5/23
Operating Income $675M $11M 2/18
Net Income $501M $28M 2/22

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.01 – –
Payout Ratio 112.7% 112.7% 4/7
Shares Outstanding 166M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$65M0.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.70B44.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MRP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Millrose Properties, Inc. (Real Estate): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. $4.30B 9.7x 0.7x
CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. $39.05B 26.1x 4.5x
TRNO Terreno Realty Corp $7.24B 17.4x 1.6x
FSV Firstservice Corp $7.00B 55.1x 5.1x
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. $4.81B 49.1x 9.8x
CURB Curbline Properties Corp. $3.57B 86.4x 1.6x
VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. $3.50B – –
CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. $3.28B 36.7x 1.6x
UE Urban Edge Properties $2.63B 24.5x 1.9x
GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ $1.92B 21.2x 1.5x
BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. $1.61B – 0.8x
IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc $1.52B 12.5x 0.8x
EFC Ellington Financial Inc. $1.45B 6.9x 0.7x
FOR Forestar Group Inc. $1.21B 7.1x 0.7x
SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp $788M – 6.2x
FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc $634M 21.6x 0.3x
AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. $476M – 0.9x
TRC Tejon Ranch Co $460M 284.0x 1.0x
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. $460M – 0.2x
FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. $358M – 0.8x
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc $287M – 9.2x
OPI Office Properties Income Trust $285M – 0.6x
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. $231M – 0.2x
CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. $184M 7.6x 7.8x
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. $143M 10.0x 0.7x
OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc $132M – –
SRG Seritage Growth Properties $95M – –
LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas $72M – –
DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. $21M – 0.7x
AEI Alset Inc. $20M – 0.2x
CWD Calibercos Inc. $4M – –
AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. $3M – 0.5x
NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. $660K – 0.4x
AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc $250K 2.5x 0.5x
GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. N/A – –
MYCB My City Builders, Inc. N/A – –

Where MRP sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate
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News

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FAQ

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Millrose Properties, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Millrose Properties, Inc. stock predictions?

For MRP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 214 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 257 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Millrose Properties, Inc. forecasts updated?

Millrose Properties, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Millrose Properties, Inc.'s industry peers?

36 issuers in our coverage, MRP included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB), Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. (VTMX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.