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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 5.0% Spearman, 211 dates
Market Cap $3.69B mid-cap · #5 of 35 peers
Summary

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, MRP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Millrose Properties, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.69B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 35 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MRP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 211 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 254 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

MRP price chart and AI forecast

MRP
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MRP ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.69B $447M 5/35
P/E Ratio 8.82x 18.01x 13/17
P/B Ratio 0.63x 0.84x 22/29
Dividend Yield 13.18% 9.88% 5/10
EPS $2.52 – –
Book Value/Share $35.24 – –
Revenue/Share $4.58 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.1% 2.8% 8/22
ROA 4.9% 0.9% 6/25
Operating Margin 85.1% 4.5% 2/19
Net Margin 62.6% 3.0% 4/23
EBT Margin 65.1% 11.3% 4/26
Tax Rate 3.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.66x 1.22x 20/32
Financial Leverage 1.66x 2.04x 18/29
Interest Coverage 2.4x 1.8x 11/25

Cash Flow

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $5.23B $12M 1/33

Operational Efficiency

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.08x 0.09x 11/19

Income Statement

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $761M $158M 5/23
Operating Income $647M $5M 2/19
Net Income $476M $6M 2/25

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMRPIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.93 – –
Payout Ratio 116.3% 121.4% 5/8
Shares Outstanding 166M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$34M0.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.86B39.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MRP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Millrose Properties, Inc. (Real Estate): 37 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. ▶ $3.69B 8.8x 0.6x
CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. ▶ $38.54B 27.2x 4.6x
TRNO Terreno Realty Corp ▼ $6.97B 18.0x 1.6x
FSV Firstservice Corp ▼ $6.18B 48.6x 4.5x
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. ▶ $4.59B 46.8x 9.4x
VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. ▼ $3.22B – –
CURB Curbline Properties Corp. ▶ $3.05B 88.4x 1.6x
CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. ▶ $2.65B 32.3x 1.3x
UE Urban Edge Properties ▼ $2.44B 22.8x 1.8x
GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ ▶ $1.75B 19.3x 1.6x
BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. ▶ $1.57B – 0.8x
EFC Ellington Financial Inc. ▼ $1.50B 10.0x 0.8x
IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc ▼ $1.47B 12.0x 0.8x
FOR Forestar Group Inc. ▲ $1.31B 7.7x 0.7x
SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp ▶ $694M – 5.5x
FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc ▶ $654M 12.3x 0.3x
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. ▲ $606M – 0.2x
TRC Tejon Ranch Co ▲ $447M 103.5x 0.9x
AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. ▲ $445M – 0.8x
FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. ▼ $367M – 0.9x
OPI Office Properties Income Trust ▶ $306M – 0.6x
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc ▶ $293M – 9.4x
CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. ▲ $173M 7.7x 7.3x
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. ▶ $168M 3.8x 0.7x
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. ▲ $166M – 0.1x
OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc ▶ $150M – –
SRG Seritage Growth Properties ▲ $93M – –
LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas ▲ $88M – –
AEI Alset Inc. ▲ $25M – 0.2x
DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. ▲ $23M – 0.8x
AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. ▼ $6M – 1.1x
CWD Calibercos Inc. ▼ $5M – –
CSUI Cannabis Suisse Corp. ▶ $540K – –
NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. ▼ $530K – 0.4x
AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc ▲ $250K 2.5x 0.5x
GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MYCB My City Builders, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where MRP sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate
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FAQ

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, MRP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Millrose Properties, Inc. stock predictions?

For MRP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 211 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 254 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Millrose Properties, Inc. forecasts updated?

Millrose Properties, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Millrose Properties, Inc.'s industry peers?

37 issuers in our coverage, MRP included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. (VTMX), Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.