Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, MRP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Millrose Properties, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.74B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 35 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MRP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 211 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 254 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MRP ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MRP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.74B | 5/35 |
| P/E Ratio | 8.93x | 13/17 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.64x | 22/29 |
| Dividend Yield | 13.02% | 5/10 |
| EPS | $2.52 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $35.24 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $4.58 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MRP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 8.1% | 8/22 |
| ROA | 4.9% | 6/25 |
| Operating Margin | 85.1% | 2/19 |
| Net Margin | 62.6% | 4/23 |
| EBT Margin | 65.1% | 4/26 |
| Tax Rate | 3.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MRP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.66x | 20/32 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.66x | 18/29 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.4x | 11/25 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MRP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $5.23B | 1/33 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MRP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.08x | 11/19 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MRP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $761M | 5/23 |
| Operating Income | $647M | 2/19 |
| Net Income | $476M | 2/25 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MRP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.93 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 116.3% | 5/8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 166M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $34M | 0.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.86B | 39.8% of assets |
MRP quarterly financials and insider trading
Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Millrose Properties, Inc. (Real Estate): 37 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. | ▶ | $3.74B |
| CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. | ▶ | $38.54B |
| TRNO Terreno Realty Corp | ▼ | $6.98B |
| FSV Firstservice Corp | ▼ | $6.20B |
| CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. | ▶ | $4.59B |
| VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. | ▼ | $3.26B |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | ▶ | $3.05B |
| CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. | ▶ | $2.65B |
| UE Urban Edge Properties | ▼ | $2.46B |
| GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ | ▼ | $1.76B |
| BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. | ▶ | $1.57B |
| EFC Ellington Financial Inc. | ▼ | $1.50B |
| IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc | ▼ | $1.44B |
| FOR Forestar Group Inc. | ▲ | $1.31B |
| SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp | ▶ | $691M |
| FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc | ▶ | $654M |
| HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | ▲ | $558M |
| AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. | ▲ | $445M |
| TRC Tejon Ranch Co | ▶ | $442M |
| FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $369M |
| MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc | ▶ | $293M |
| OPI Office Properties Income Trust | ▶ | $290M |
| CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | ▲ | $173M |
| AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. | ▶ | $168M |
| CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | ▲ | $166M |
| OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc | ▼ | $150M |
| SRG Seritage Growth Properties | ▲ | $93M |
| LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas | ▲ | $88M |
| AEI Alset Inc. | ▲ | $25M |
| DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. | ▲ | $23M |
| AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. | ▲ | $6M |
| CWD Calibercos Inc. | ▶ | $5M |
| CSUI Cannabis Suisse Corp. | ▲ | $540K |
| NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. | ▼ | $530K |
| AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc | ▲ | $250K |
| GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| MYCB My City Builders, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
Where MRP sits on the market map
Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock news
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Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, MRP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Millrose Properties, Inc. stock predictions?
For MRP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 211 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 254 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Millrose Properties, Inc. forecasts updated?
Millrose Properties, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Millrose Properties, Inc.'s industry peers?
37 issuers in our coverage, MRP included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. (VTMX), Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.