Ellington Financial Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Ellington Financial delivered a 9.4% annualized economic return, driven by strong performance in retained IOs, commercial ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
50.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$1.45B
small-cap · #13 of 34 peers
Summary
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Ellington Financial Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Ellington Financial Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.45B. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 34 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Dividend Yield of 14.72% is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.
For EFC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, EFC included.
Price
EFC price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How EFC ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | EFC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.45B | 13/34 |
| P/E Ratio | 6.87x | 16/17 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.73x | 18/29 |
| Dividend Yield | 14.72% | 1/8 |
| EPS | $1.64 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $15.45 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | EFC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 10.3% | 3/20 |
| ROA | 0.9% | 10/22 |
| Tax Rate | 1.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | EFC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 9.99x | 3/32 |
| Financial Leverage | 11.01x | 2/29 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.6x | 15/23 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | EFC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$311M | 31/32 |
Income Statement
| Metric | EFC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $205M | 4/22 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | EFC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.66 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 101.2% | 5/7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 129M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 62.0% | 2/14 |
| EPS Growth | 12.3% | 7/16 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $269M | 1.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $19.89B | 90.9% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
EFC quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Real Estate
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ellington Financial Inc. (Real Estate): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| EFC Ellington Financial Inc. | $1.45B | |
| CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. | $39.05B | |
| TRNO Terreno Realty Corp | $7.24B | |
| FSV Firstservice Corp | $7.00B | |
| CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. | $4.81B | |
| MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. | $4.30B | |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | $3.57B | |
| VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. | $3.50B | |
| CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. | $3.28B | |
| UE Urban Edge Properties | $2.63B | |
| GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ | $1.92B | |
| BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. | $1.61B | |
| IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc | $1.52B | |
| FOR Forestar Group Inc. | $1.21B | |
| SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp | $788M | |
| FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc | $634M | |
| AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. | $476M | |
| TRC Tejon Ranch Co | $460M | |
| HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | $460M | |
| FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. | $358M | |
| MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc | $287M | |
| OPI Office Properties Income Trust | $285M | |
| CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $231M | |
| CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | $184M | |
| AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. | $143M | |
| OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc | $132M | |
| SRG Seritage Growth Properties | $95M | |
| LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas | $72M | |
| DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. | $21M | |
| AEI Alset Inc. | $20M | |
| CWD Calibercos Inc. | $4M | |
| AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. | $3M | |
| NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. | $660K | |
| AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc | $250K | |
| GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. | N/A | |
| MYCB My City Builders, Inc. | N/A |
Where EFC sits on the market map
Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate
News
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock news
Ellington Financial Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results
Ellington Financial Inc. (NYSE: EFC) ("we") today reported financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
Ellington Financial Inc. announces Monthly dividend, payable on December 31, 2026
Ellington Financial Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other finan ...
FAQ
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Ellington Financial Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Ellington Financial Inc. stock predictions?
For EFC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ellington Financial Inc. forecasts updated?
Ellington Financial Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Ellington Financial Inc.'s industry peers?
36 issuers in our coverage, EFC included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP), Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.