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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -63.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $442M small-cap · #19 of 35 peers
Summary

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Tejon Ranch Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Tejon Ranch Co is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $442M. It ranks number 19 by market capitalization among the 35 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 102.13x is the highest of the 17 peers that report one.

For TRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -63.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TRC included.

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Price

TRC price chart and AI forecast

TRC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TRC ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTRCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $442M $445M 19/35
P/E Ratio 102.13x 18.05x 1/17
P/B Ratio 0.92x 0.84x 13/29
EPS $0.16 – –
Book Value/Share $17.67 – –
Revenue/Share $1.75 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTRCIndustry medianRank
ROE 1.3% 2.8% 14/22
ROA 0.9% 0.9% 13/25
ROIC -0.1% 1.3% 6/10
Gross Margin 39.5% 36.1% 6/12
Operating Margin -1.1% 4.5% 12/19
Net Margin 12.8% 3.0% 10/23
EBT Margin 18.7% 11.3% 10/26
Tax Rate 31.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricTRCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.92x 1.17x 5/15
Quick Ratio 2.06x – –
D/E Ratio 0.31x 1.22x 28/32
Financial Leverage 1.34x 2.04x 24/29
Interest Coverage -121.3x 1.8x 24/25
Working Capital $21M $21M 8/15

Cash Flow

MetricTRCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $12M $12M 17/33
OCF Growth YoY -8.4% -8.4% 10/19

Operational Efficiency

MetricTRCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.07x 0.09x 13/19
Receivables Turnover 17.9x 16.1x 5/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.8x 25.8x 7/8
Days Sales Outstanding 20 days 23 days 6/10

Income Statement

MetricTRCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $47M $158M 16/23
Operating Income -$520K $5M 15/19
Net Income $6M $6M 13/25

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTRCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 27M – –
EPS Growth 433.3% 23.5% 2/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$32M5.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$4M0.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3M0.4% of assets
Inventory$9M1.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$147M23.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$5M0.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TRC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tejon Ranch Co (Real Estate): 37 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TRC Tejon Ranch Co ▲ $442M 102.1x 0.9x
CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. ▶ $38.54B 27.2x 4.6x
TRNO Terreno Realty Corp ▼ $6.98B 18.1x 1.6x
FSV Firstservice Corp ▼ $6.20B 48.8x 4.5x
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. ▶ $4.59B 46.8x 9.4x
MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. ▶ $3.74B 8.9x 0.6x
VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. ▼ $3.26B – –
CURB Curbline Properties Corp. ▶ $3.05B 88.4x 1.6x
CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. ▶ $2.65B 32.3x 1.3x
UE Urban Edge Properties ▼ $2.46B 22.9x 1.8x
GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ ▶ $1.76B 19.3x 1.6x
BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. ▶ $1.57B – 0.8x
EFC Ellington Financial Inc. ▼ $1.50B 10.0x 0.8x
IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc ▼ $1.44B 11.9x 0.8x
FOR Forestar Group Inc. ▲ $1.31B 7.7x 0.7x
SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp ▶ $691M – 5.5x
FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc ▶ $654M 12.3x 0.3x
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. ▲ $558M – 0.2x
AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. ▲ $445M – 0.8x
FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. ▶ $369M – 0.9x
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc ▶ $293M – 9.4x
OPI Office Properties Income Trust ▶ $290M – 0.6x
CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. ▲ $173M 7.7x 7.3x
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. ▶ $168M 3.8x 0.7x
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. ▲ $166M – 0.1x
OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc ▶ $150M – –
SRG Seritage Growth Properties ▲ $93M – –
LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas ▲ $88M – –
AEI Alset Inc. ▲ $25M – 0.2x
DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. ▲ $23M – 0.8x
AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. ▼ $6M – 1.0x
CWD Calibercos Inc. ▼ $5M – –
CSUI Cannabis Suisse Corp. ▶ $540K – –
NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. ▼ $530K – 0.4x
AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc ▲ $250K 2.5x 0.5x
GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MYCB My City Builders, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where TRC sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate
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News

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) stock news

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FAQ

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Tejon Ranch Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Tejon Ranch Co stock predictions?

For TRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -63.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Tejon Ranch Co forecasts updated?

Tejon Ranch Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Tejon Ranch Co's industry peers?

37 issuers in our coverage, TRC included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP), Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. (VTMX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.