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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 35.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $939M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, CPF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Central Pacific Financial Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $939M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 154.0% is the highest of the 53 peers that report one.

For CPF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CPF price chart and AI forecast

CPF
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CPF ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCPFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $939M $4.05B 60/60
P/E Ratio 12.20x 11.91x 26/59
P/B Ratio 1.58x 1.24x 11/57
Dividend Yield 3.18% 2.70% 11/51
EPS $2.99 – –
Book Value/Share $23.16 – –
Revenue/Share $2.09 – –
FCF/Share $3.83 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCPFIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.9% 10.5% 9/52
ROA 1.1% 1.2% 31/50
Net Margin 154.0% 31.5% 1/53
EBT Margin 196.0% 40.1% 2/58
Tax Rate 21.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricCPFIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 11.58x 7.32x 9/59
Financial Leverage 12.58x 8.32x 8/55

Cash Flow

MetricCPFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $104M $432M 55/59
Free Cash Flow $99M $325M 42/45
Capital Spending -$5M -$18M 5/45
OCF Growth YoY 1.7% 15.9% 41/54
FCF Growth YoY 7.0% 15.0% 26/40
FCF/Sales 183.1% 34.9% 3/44
CapEx/Sales 9.8% 2.1% 2/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricCPFIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.01x 0.04x 52/53
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 5.5x 55/55

Income Statement

MetricCPFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $54M $1.10B 57/57
Net Income $83M $347M 53/53

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCPFIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.16 – –
Payout Ratio 38.8% 33.7% 18/51
Shares Outstanding 26M – –
Net Income Growth 36.8% 21.4% 16/52
EPS Growth 45.1% 17.8% 12/57

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$383M5.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$6.90B92.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CPF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Central Pacific Financial Corp (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CPF Central Pacific Financial Corp ▶ $939M 12.2x 1.6x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia ▼ $113.24B 11.9x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft ▼ $61.98B 9.2x –
STT State Street Corp ▶ $46.04B 14.8x 1.6x
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp ▶ $45.68B 14.5x 1.3x
BBD Bank Bradesco ▶ $41.97B – –
MTB M&T Bank Corp ▶ $31.58B 11.6x 1.1x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp ▲ $30.27B 18.5x 2.3x
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri ▲ $26.69B 11.8x 1.0x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ ▶ $23.98B 11.4x 1.1x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc ▼ $17.38B 12.2x 1.9x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. ▶ $11.46B 15.0x 0.7x
BPOP Popular, Inc. ▼ $10.13B 10.8x 1.6x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp ▼ $9.82B 9.8x 1.1x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp ▶ $9.68B 11.5x 1.3x
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation ▶ $8.11B 8.4x 1.0x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc ▶ $8.11B 11.7x 1.0x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. ▶ $8.05B 12.4x 1.1x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ $7.99B 13.9x 3.2x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv ▶ $6.35B 13.8x 1.2x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp ▶ $5.86B 16.2x 1.3x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc ▶ $5.84B 12.2x 1.3x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $5.71B 19.1x 1.3x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp ▶ $5.47B 10.5x 1.0x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp ▶ $5.44B 12.6x 1.1x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp ▶ $5.35B 14.4x 1.3x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc ▶ $4.37B 16.9x 4.2x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $4.33B 6.7x 2.2x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp ▶ $4.19B 10.2x 1.2x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ ▶ $4.18B 12.1x 2.1x
UCB United Community Banks Inc ▶ $4.11B 11.6x 1.1x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp ▶ $4.00B 9.8x 1.3x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx ▶ $3.94B 10.6x 1.1x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp ▶ $3.85B 15.2x 1.2x
INDB Independent Bank Corp ▶ $3.78B 14.4x 1.1x
RNST Renasant Corp ▶ $3.64B 13.3x 0.9x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc ▶ $3.32B 11.2x 1.0x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp ▶ $3.18B 8.2x 7.9x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida ▶ $3.14B 20.0x 1.2x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. ▶ $3.04B 11.2x 1.1x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp ▶ $2.65B 10.6x 1.4x
FBK Fb Financial Corp ▶ $2.58B 11.2x 1.3x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.53B 8.8x 1.2x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ ▲ $2.50B 14.7x 1.5x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ ▶ $2.43B 17.9x 1.0x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.38B 15.3x 1.9x
BANR Banner Corp ▶ $2.30B 11.2x 3.4x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp ▶ $2.25B 8.3x 0.9x
OFG Ofg Bancorp ▼ $2.20B 10.3x 1.6x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp ▶ $2.17B 11.9x 1.1x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. ▶ $2.11B 13.7x 1.0x
SRCE 1st Source Corp ▼ $2.06B 12.3x 1.6x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.88B 15.4x 1.6x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ ▶ $1.82B 14.2x 1.6x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc ▶ $1.71B 13.2x 1.2x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.68B 11.9x 1.3x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / ▶ $1.66B 10.5x 1.2x
CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.65B 10.3x 1.0x
LOB Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $1.63B 28.1x 1.2x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc ▼ $1.62B 11.7x 1.4x

Where CPF sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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News

Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF) stock news

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FAQ

Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, CPF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Central Pacific Financial Corp stock predictions?

For CPF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Central Pacific Financial Corp forecasts updated?

Central Pacific Financial Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Central Pacific Financial Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CPF included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), State Street Corp (STT), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), Bank Bradesco (BBD), M&T Bank Corp (MTB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.