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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 25.0% Spearman, 198 dates
Market Cap $20.87B large-cap · #5 of 60 peers
Summary

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Circle Internet Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $20.87B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CRCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 198 forecast dates between 2025-08-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 241 forecast dates between 2025-08-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CRCL included.

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Price

CRCL price chart and AI forecast

CRCL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CRCL ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCRCLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $20.87B $1.34B 5/60
P/E Ratio 19.48x 15.93x 7/19
P/B Ratio 5.95x 1.39x 7/46
EPS $4.22 – –
Book Value/Share $13.82 – –
Revenue/Share $13.72 – –
FCF/Share $3.00 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCRCLIndustry medianRank
ROIC 8.7% -18.1% 1/26
Operating Margin 8.8% -187.7% 5/29
EBT Margin 14.1% -19.8% 7/41
Tax Rate -4.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricCRCLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.03x 1.94x 31/40
D/E Ratio 20.99x 1.66x 3/54
Financial Leverage 21.99x 2.80x 3/52
Interest Coverage 159.1x -2.4x 3/33
Working Capital $2.57B $149M 5/39

Cash Flow

MetricCRCLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $777M $9M 5/46
Free Cash Flow $762M -$89M 2/32
Capital Spending -$15M -$22M 15/32
FCF/Sales 21.9% -19.6% 6/29
CapEx/Sales 0.4% 3.0% 24/29

Operational Efficiency

MetricCRCLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.18x 27/35
Receivables Turnover 33.0x 15.9x 2/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 157.1x 11.3x 5/34
Days Sales Outstanding 11 days 23 days 18/19

Income Statement

MetricCRCLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.48B $523M 4/38
Operating Income $309M -$115M 3/32

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCRCLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 254M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$76.17B98.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.73B2.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$105M0.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$73.66B95.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$73.30B95.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CRCL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Finance Services

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Circle Internet Group, Inc. (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. ▲ $20.87B 19.5x 6.0x
AXP American Express Co ▶ $211.77B 19.0x 6.2x
MSTR Strategy Inc ▲ $52.57B – 1.7x
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. ▲ $45.69B – 3.5x
SYF Synchrony Financial ▼ $23.97B 7.6x 1.4x
SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. ▲ $18.79B 33.8x 1.7x
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. ▶ $13.07B – –
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. ▲ $11.23B 9.6x 8.0x
IREN Iren Ltd ▶ $10.64B – 2.5x
WULF Terawulf Inc. ▲ $5.83B – 39.6x
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. ▲ $5.15B – 2.4x
DAVE Dave Inc./De ▲ $4.96B 23.8x 23.9x
KLAR Klarna Group Plc ▼ $4.91B – –
BLSH Bullish ▲ $4.45B – –
CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx ▲ $4.33B – –
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. ▲ $3.73B – 6.6x
GPGI Gpgi, Inc. ▼ $3.61B – 1.1x
MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.91B – 1.8x
IOND Ionic Digital Inc. ▶ $2.83B – 5.5x
SII Sprott Inc. ▶ $2.79B 15.9x –
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.29B 42.1x 2.9x
CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. ▲ $2.15B – 2.8x
BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group ▲ $2.10B – –
ASST Strive, Inc. ▶ $2.06B – 419.9x
XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. ▶ $1.95B – –
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc ▲ $1.79B 2.8x 1.0x
WLTH Wealthfront Corp ▲ $1.66B – 2.7x
SECZ Securitize Corp. ▶ $1.61B – –
PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ▲ $1.44B 14.1x 2.4x
KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. ▲ $1.43B – 4.3x
PWP Perella Weinberg Partners ▲ $1.25B 27.1x –
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. ▶ $1.12B 44.1x 0.7x
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. ▼ $889M 22.6x –
GDOT Green Dot Corp ▲ $695M – 0.7x
BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. ▲ $691M – 1.6x
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. ▶ $681M – 1.5x
BUR Burford Capital Ltd ▲ $659M – 0.8x
VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. ▶ $581M 5.5x 0.8x
HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. ▲ $557M – 1.0x
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. ▲ $510M – 1.1x
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. ▶ $504M – 0.8x
OPFI Oppfi Inc. ▲ $481M 2.9x –
GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. ▲ $463M – 1.0x
WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. ▲ $457M – 1.4x
OPRT Oportun Financial Corp ▲ $418M 16.2x 1.0x
BTBT Bit Digital, Inc ▲ $346M – 0.9x
SVIA Silvia, Inc. ▼ $323M – 1.2x
ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. ▶ $318M – 0.8x
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. ▶ $266M – 1.0x
USDE Stablecoinx Inc. ▼ $257M – –
MFIN Medallion Financial Corp ▲ $257M 6.9x 0.6x
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. ▶ $255M – –
BKKT Bakkt, Inc. ▶ $252M – 0.7x
SNFCA Security National Financial Corp ▲ $240M 6.9x 0.6x
ZSQR Z Squared Inc. ▲ $227M – 1.7x
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. ▲ $197M 10.5x 0.6x
LDI Loandepot, Inc. ▲ $181M – 0.9x
USBC Usbc, Inc. ▶ $175M – –
SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc ▼ $164M – 1.1x
AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd ▲ $159M – 0.9x

Where CRCL sits on the market map

Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
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News

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) stock news

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FAQ

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Circle Internet Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Circle Internet Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For CRCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 198 forecast dates between 2025-08-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 241 forecast dates between 2025-08-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Circle Internet Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Circle Internet Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Circle Internet Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CRCL included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI), Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. (BMNR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.