Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, DBX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Dropbox, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.03B. It ranks number 44 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For DBX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How DBX ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | DBX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $8.03B | 44/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.44x | 31/39 |
| EPS | $1.83 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $11.22 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.24 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | DBX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.7% | 12/48 |
| ROIC | 40.9% | 4/54 |
| Gross Margin | 79.7% | 19/56 |
| Operating Margin | 26.6% | 13/59 |
| Net Margin | 17.5% | 21/50 |
| EBT Margin | 22.1% | 17/59 |
| Tax Rate | 20.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | DBX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.07x | 45/59 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.5x | 32/46 |
| Working Capital | $87M | 48/59 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | DBX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $980M | 23/59 |
| Free Cash Flow | $957M | 16/50 |
| Capital Spending | -$23M | 25/50 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 8.7% | 48/52 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 7.2% | 37/43 |
| FCF/Sales | 37.8% | 4/50 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.9% | 28/50 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | DBX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.90x | 8/49 |
| Receivables Turnover | 33.2x | 4/52 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.5x | 44/51 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 11 days | 49/52 |
| Payables Period | 25 days | 26/55 |
Income Statement
| Metric | DBX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.53B | 26/53 |
| Operating Income | $674M | 17/59 |
| Net Income | $443M | 18/50 |
| R&D Expense | $742M | 24/59 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.22B | 38/58 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $514M | 30/57 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | DBX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 226M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -8.8% | 26/30 |
| EPS Growth | 21.2% | 20/36 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.27B | 44.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.06B | 37.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $76M | 2.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.01B | |
| Short-term Debt | $1.14B | 40.4% of assets |
DBX quarterly financials and insider trading
Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Dropbox, Inc. (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| DBX Dropbox, Inc. | ▶ | $8.03B |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp | ▼ | $3.93T |
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | ▲ | $447.01B |
| ORCL Oracle Corp | ▲ | $387.73B |
| SAP Sap Se | ▼ | $275.54B |
| CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $232.83B |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | ▲ | $218.11B |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | ▶ | $198.10B |
| NET Cloudflare, Inc. | ▲ | $105.51B |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | ▼ | $95.43B |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | ▲ | $88.73B |
| SNPS Synopsys Inc | ▶ | $87.12B |
| CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc | ▶ | $86.97B |
| NTES Netease, Inc. | ▼ | $80.22B |
| TEAM Atlassian Corp | ▶ | $52.61B |
| VEEV Veeva Systems Inc | ▼ | $50.25B |
| ADSK Autodesk, Inc. | ▼ | $50.14B |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | ▶ | $46.80B |
| TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc | ▼ | $38.38B |
| TWLO Twilio Inc | ▲ | $37.53B |
| RBLX Roblox Corp | ▲ | $35.39B |
| CRWV Coreweave, Inc. | ▲ | $33.86B |
| OKTA Okta, Inc. | ▲ | $32.74B |
| MDB Mongodb, Inc. | ▲ | $27.19B |
| RBRK Rubrik, Inc. | ▲ | $23.30B |
| PTC Ptc Inc. | ▶ | $20.94B |
| SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc | ▼ | $19.73B |
| NTNX Nutanix, Inc. | ▶ | $18.11B |
| DT Dynatrace, Inc. | ▶ | $17.66B |
| TYL Tyler Technologies Inc | ▼ | $14.78B |
| CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd | ▼ | $14.56B |
| GEN Gen Digital Inc. | ▲ | $14.46B |
| GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. | ▲ | $13.85B |
| MANH Manhattan Associates Inc | ▼ | $12.95B |
| HUBS Hubspot Inc | ▲ | $11.52B |
| FIG Figma, Inc. | ▲ | $11.45B |
| PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. | ▶ | $11.34B |
| SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. | ▲ | $10.70B |
| BSY Bentley Systems Inc | ▶ | $10.69B |
| FROG Jfrog Ltd | ▲ | $10.40B |
| ESTC Elastic N.V. | ▶ | $9.63B |
| PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp | ▼ | $8.82B |
| GTLB Gitlab Inc. | ▲ | $8.79B |
| PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. | ▶ | $8.66B |
| ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. | ▲ | $7.83B |
| NTSK Netskope Inc | ▲ | $7.76B |
| APPF Appfolio Inc | ▼ | $7.51B |
| S Sentinelone, Inc. | ▲ | $7.51B |
| DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc | ▼ | $7.49B |
| TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. | ▲ | $7.15B |
| NICE Nice Ltd. | ▶ | $6.78B |
| PATH Uipath, Inc. | ▲ | $6.70B |
| DUOL Duolingo, Inc. | ▲ | $6.63B |
| NAVN Navan, Inc. | ▲ | $6.61B |
| GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. | ▲ | $6.56B |
| QLYS Qualys, Inc. | ▲ | $6.26B |
| CVLT Commvault Systems Inc | ▲ | $6.18B |
| MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. | ▲ | $5.88B |
| VRNS Varonis Systems Inc | ▶ | $5.60B |
| BOX Box Inc | ▶ | $5.43B |
Where DBX sits on the market map
Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) stock news
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Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, DBX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Dropbox, Inc. stock predictions?
For DBX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Dropbox, Inc. forecasts updated?
Dropbox, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Dropbox, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, DBX included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.