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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $8.82B mid-cap · #41 of 60 peers
Summary

Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Paylocity Holding Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Paylocity Holding Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.82B. It ranks number 41 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PCTY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PCTY included.

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Price

PCTY price chart and AI forecast

PCTY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PCTY ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPCTYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $8.82B $14.51B 41/60
P/E Ratio 33.80x 33.80x 20/39
P/B Ratio 7.22x 7.32x 27/52
EPS $4.92 – –
Book Value/Share $23.02 – –
Revenue/Share $33.39 – –
FCF/Share $9.37 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPCTYIndustry medianRank
ROE 22.1% 13.7% 19/47
ROA 5.5% 5.9% 26/48
ROIC 26.4% 7.6% 9/54
Gross Margin 69.2% 76.0% 39/56
Operating Margin 21.8% 8.9% 18/59
Net Margin 15.2% 14.3% 23/50
EBT Margin 21.9% 11.1% 18/59
Tax Rate 30.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricPCTYIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.09x 1.55x 44/59
D/E Ratio 3.00x 0.78x 10/53
Financial Leverage 4.00x 1.80x 10/51
Working Capital $303M $541M 39/59

Cash Flow

MetricPCTYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $533M $648M 33/59
Free Cash Flow $497M $453M 25/50
Capital Spending -$36M -$24M 31/50
OCF Growth YoY 27.5% 27.8% 27/52
FCF Growth YoY 22.7% 22.7% 22/43
FCF/Sales 28.1% 25.7% 20/50
CapEx/Sales 2.0% 1.0% 13/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricPCTYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.36x 0.55x 42/49
Receivables Turnover 35.4x 6.4x 3/52
Fixed Assets Turnover 24.8x 28.1x 29/51
Days Sales Outstanding 10 days 57 days 50/52
Payables Period 7 days 24 days 46/55

Income Statement

MetricPCTYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.77B $2.51B 33/53
Operating Income $386M $182M 21/59
Net Income $270M $293M 27/50
R&D Expense $221M $502M 51/59
SG&A Expense $895M $1.59B 46/58
Cost of Goods Sold $546M $528M 28/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPCTYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 53M – –
Net Income Growth 18.8% 17.9% 14/30
EPS Growth 22.4% 22.3% 18/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$3.72B76.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$272M5.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$50M1.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.66B75.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$3.41B69.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PCTY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Paylocity Holding Corp (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp ▼ $8.82B 33.8x 7.2x
MSFT Microsoft Corp ▼ $3.93T 29.5x 8.9x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. ▲ $447.01B 204.4x 45.7x
ORCL Oracle Corp ▲ $387.73B 20.1x 5.8x
SAP Sap Se ▼ $275.54B 12.5x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. ▲ $232.83B 2526.6x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. ▲ $218.11B 120.2x 17.2x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. ▶ $198.10B 22.0x 5.8x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. ▲ $105.51B – 65.1x
ADBE Adobe Inc. ▼ $95.43B 13.7x 8.1x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. ▲ $88.73B 588.4x 20.3x
SNPS Synopsys Inc ▼ $87.12B 86.1x 2.8x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc ▼ $86.97B 74.5x 13.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. ▼ $80.22B – –
TEAM Atlassian Corp ▶ $52.61B – 49.7x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc ▼ $50.25B 50.8x 6.8x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. ▼ $50.14B 28.5x 14.8x
XYZ Block, Inc. ▶ $46.80B 56.4x 2.1x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc ▶ $38.38B – 10.6x
TWLO Twilio Inc ▲ $37.53B 36.2x 4.2x
RBLX Roblox Corp ▲ $35.39B – 232.9x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. ▲ $33.86B – 6.7x
OKTA Okta, Inc. ▲ $32.74B 117.8x 4.7x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. ▲ $27.19B – 9.1x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. ▲ $23.30B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. ▶ $20.94B 17.6x 6.0x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc ▼ $19.73B 24.7x 3.0x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. ▶ $18.11B 13.0x –
DT Dynatrace, Inc. ▶ $17.66B 122.2x 7.2x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc ▼ $14.78B 47.9x 4.9x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd ▼ $14.56B 11.2x 5.1x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. ▲ $14.46B 14.1x 5.4x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. ▲ $13.85B 103.6x 11.6x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc ▶ $12.95B 63.1x 82.2x
HUBS Hubspot Inc ▲ $11.52B 129.7x 7.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. ▲ $11.45B – 7.8x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. ▲ $11.34B 26.8x 19.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. ▲ $10.70B – 1.6x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc ▶ $10.69B 40.2x 8.9x
FROG Jfrog Ltd ▲ $10.40B – 10.8x
ESTC Elastic N.V. ▶ $9.63B 26.2x 7.4x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. ▲ $8.79B – 9.5x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. ▲ $8.66B – 6.8x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. ▲ $8.03B 19.4x –
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. ▲ $7.83B – 8.5x
NTSK Netskope Inc ▲ $7.76B – 49.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc ▼ $7.51B 40.5x 14.3x
S Sentinelone, Inc. ▲ $7.51B – 5.2x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc ▼ $7.49B 24.8x 4.6x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. ▲ $7.15B – –
NICE Nice Ltd. ▲ $6.78B 17.6x 1.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. ▲ $6.70B 21.8x 3.4x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. ▲ $6.63B 17.0x 4.7x
NAVN Navan, Inc. ▲ $6.61B – 5.0x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. ▲ $6.56B – 7.0x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. ▲ $6.26B 31.3x 11.1x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc ▲ $6.18B 95.6x 118.7x
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. ▶ $5.88B – 0.4x
VRNS Varonis Systems Inc ▶ $5.60B – 12.6x
BOX Box Inc ▲ $5.43B 63.8x –

Where PCTY sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) stock news

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FAQ

Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Paylocity Holding Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Paylocity Holding Corp stock predictions?

For PCTY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Paylocity Holding Corp forecasts updated?

Paylocity Holding Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Paylocity Holding Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, PCTY included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.