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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 32.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.94T mega-cap · #1 of 60 peers
Summary

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Microsoft Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Microsoft Corp is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.94T. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MSFT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MSFT included.

Price

MSFT price chart and AI forecast

MSFT
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MSFT ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.94T $15.02B 1/60
P/E Ratio 27.71x 37.48x 24/40
P/B Ratio 8.37x 6.97x 21/51
Dividend Yield 0.69% 0.86% 5/7
EPS $19.15 – –
Book Value/Share $63.36 – –
Revenue/Share $46.65 – –
FCF/Share $8.07 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
ROE 30.3% 14.1% 11/42
ROA 18.3% 6.4% 8/44
ROIC 26.0% 8.8% 11/53
Gross Margin 67.7% 75.5% 40/55
Operating Margin 47.1% 9.2% 1/58
Net Margin 41.2% 13.8% 2/46
EBT Margin 51.3% 11.4% 3/58
Tax Rate 19.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.22x 1.53x 37/57
Quick Ratio 1.21x 1.44x 6/8
D/E Ratio 0.66x 0.79x 29/52
Financial Leverage 1.66x 1.80x 28/51
Interest Coverage 39.8x 11.4x 11/47
Working Capital $34.17B $525M 1/57

Cash Flow

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $195.88B $674M 1/58
Free Cash Flow $59.96B $489M 1/49
Capital Spending -$135.92B -$26M 49/49
OCF Growth YoY 33.2% 28.2% 22/51
FCF Growth YoY -23.1% 28.6% 43/43
FCF/Sales 17.3% 25.9% 37/49
CapEx/Sales 39.2% 1.0% 3/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.44x 0.55x 35/49
Receivables Turnover 5.6x 6.4x 33/49
Inventory Turnover 61.1x 61.1x 4/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.0x 30.0x 46/48
Days Sales Outstanding 65 days 57 days 17/49
Days Inventory 6 days 6 days 4/7
Payables Period 139 days 24 days 4/52
Cash Conversion Cycle -67 days 7 days 5/5

Income Statement

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $346.44B $2.63B 1/52
Operating Income $163.19B $237M 1/58
Net Income $142.63B $302M 1/46
R&D Expense $36.46B $496M 1/58
SG&A Expense $59.85B $1.64B 1/57
Cost of Goods Sold $112.05B $519M 1/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.64 – –
Payout Ratio 19.0% 28.3% 5/7
Shares Outstanding 7426M – –
Net Income Growth 36.0% 15.5% 10/30
EPS Growth 36.2% 24.8% 15/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$186.14B23.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$20.28B2.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$62.08B8.0% of assets
Inventory$1.83B0.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$308.89B39.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$109.34B14.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MSFT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Microsoft Corp (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MSFT Microsoft Corp $3.94T 27.7x 8.4x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. $385.38B 180.2x 34.3x
ORCL Oracle Corp $351.06B 18.2x 5.3x
SAP Sap Se $286.79B 13.0x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. $222.09B 2410.0x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. $191.59B 135.4x 15.0x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. $175.83B 19.5x 5.1x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. $95.00B – 64.9x
ADBE Adobe Inc. $93.14B 13.4x 7.9x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc $87.78B 63.6x 12.8x
SNPS Synopsys Inc $84.38B 83.4x 2.7x
NTES Netease, Inc. $82.37B – –
DDOG Datadog, Inc. $64.29B 337.8x 13.6x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. $54.70B 31.1x 16.2x
XYZ Block, Inc. $50.49B 59.6x 2.2x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc $49.18B 49.7x 6.6x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc $40.18B – 11.1x
TEAM Atlassian Corp $38.90B 452.0x 42.7x
RBLX Roblox Corp $35.28B – –
TWLO Twilio Inc $31.26B 26.4x 3.4x
OKTA Okta, Inc. $29.49B 106.1x 4.2x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. $25.59B – 5.1x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. $25.20B – 8.5x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. $21.92B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. $21.12B 17.8x 6.1x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc $18.24B 22.9x 2.8x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. $17.67B 16.2x 6.5x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc $17.11B 54.2x 6.1x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. $15.79B 11.3x –
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd $15.22B 11.7x 5.3x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc $14.82B 70.9x 73.8x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc $13.49B 46.5x 10.5x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. $13.23B 99.0x 11.1x
DT Dynatrace, Inc. $12.55B 74.9x 5.5x
FROG Jfrog Ltd $12.45B – 12.3x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. $11.45B – 10.6x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. $11.27B 24.0x 15.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. $10.97B – 1.6x
FIG Figma, Inc. $10.03B – 6.5x
HUBS Hubspot Inc $10.00B 65.1x 6.2x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp $9.19B 33.8x 8.0x
ESTC Elastic N.V. $9.04B 24.6x 7.0x
NTSK Netskope Inc $8.70B – 55.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc $8.18B 41.2x 14.0x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. $8.16B – 8.8x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc $8.09B 26.8x 5.0x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. $7.82B 18.2x –
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. $7.80B – –
S Sentinelone, Inc. $7.58B – 5.2x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. $7.51B 55.1x 5.1x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. $7.26B – 7.8x
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. $7.26B – 7.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. $6.78B 22.0x 3.5x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. $6.59B 32.9x 11.7x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc $6.45B 81.3x 514.5x
NAVN Navan, Inc. $6.33B – 4.8x
KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. $5.90B – 6.8x
NICE Nice Ltd. $5.80B 15.1x 1.5x
BOX Box Inc $5.76B 67.7x –
OCTV Octave Intelligence Plc $5.63B – 1.1x

Where MSFT sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock news

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FAQ

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Microsoft Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Microsoft Corp stock predictions?

For MSFT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Microsoft Corp forecasts updated?

Microsoft Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Microsoft Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MSFT included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP), Salesforce, Inc. (CRM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.