Five Point Holdings, Llc (FPH) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Five Point Holdings, Llc (FPH) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Five Point Holdings, Llc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Five Point Holdings, Llc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $643M. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 35 Real Estate issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For FPH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FPH included.
Follow FPH freeFPH price chart and AI forecast
How FPH ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Five Point Holdings, Llc (FPH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $643M | 16/35 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.14x | 10/17 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.28x | 26/29 |
| Book Value/Share | $15.79 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.79 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.44 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 2.3% | 12/22 |
| ROA | 1.6% | 11/25 |
| Net Margin | 45.3% | 6/23 |
| EBT Margin | 139.2% | 2/26 |
| Tax Rate | 14.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.35x | 26/32 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.38x | 22/29 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $65M | 14/33 |
| Free Cash Flow | $65M | 4/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$290K | 3/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -56.6% | 15/19 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -56.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 55.8% | 1/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | 6/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.04x | 16/19 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.0x | 6/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $117M | 14/23 |
| Net Income | $53M | 11/25 |
| SG&A Expense | $59M | 5/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | FPH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 148M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -31.9% | 10/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $348M | 11.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $815M | 26.2% of assets |
FPH quarterly financials and insider trading
Five Point Holdings, Llc (FPH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Five Point Holdings, Llc (Real Estate): 37 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| FPH Five Point Holdings, Llc | ▲ | $643M |
| CBRE Cbre Group, Inc. | ▶ | $38.54B |
| TRNO Terreno Realty Corp | ▼ | $6.98B |
| FSV Firstservice Corp | ▼ | $6.20B |
| CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. | ▶ | $4.59B |
| MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. | ▶ | $3.74B |
| VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. | ▼ | $3.26B |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | ▶ | $3.05B |
| CWK Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. | ▶ | $2.65B |
| UE Urban Edge Properties | ▼ | $2.46B |
| GTY Getty Realty Corp /Md/ | ▶ | $1.76B |
| BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. | ▶ | $1.57B |
| EFC Ellington Financial Inc. | ▼ | $1.50B |
| IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Inc | ▼ | $1.44B |
| FOR Forestar Group Inc. | ▲ | $1.31B |
| SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp | ▶ | $691M |
| HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | ▲ | $558M |
| AHRT Ah Realty Trust, Inc. | ▲ | $445M |
| TRC Tejon Ranch Co | ▲ | $442M |
| FRPH Frp Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $369M |
| MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Co Inc | ▶ | $292M |
| OPI Office Properties Income Trust | ▶ | $290M |
| CHCI Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | ▲ | $173M |
| AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage Reit, Inc. | ▶ | $167M |
| CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | ▲ | $166M |
| OZ Belpointe Prep, Llc | ▶ | $145M |
| SRG Seritage Growth Properties | ▲ | $91M |
| LPA Logistic Properties Of The Americas | ▲ | $85M |
| AEI Alset Inc. | ▲ | $25M |
| DUO Fangdd Network Group Ltd. | ▲ | $22M |
| AIRE Realpha Tech Corp. | ▼ | $6M |
| CWD Calibercos Inc. | ▼ | $4M |
| CSUI Cannabis Suisse Corp. | ▶ | $540K |
| NIHK Video River Networks, Inc. | ▼ | $530K |
| AOXY Advanced Oxygen Technologies Inc | ▲ | $250K |
| GSFI Green Stream Holdings Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| MYCB My City Builders, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where FPH sits on the market map
Five Point Holdings, Llc (FPH) stock news
Loading...
Five Point Holdings, Llc (FPH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Five Point Holdings, Llc (FPH) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Five Point Holdings, Llc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Five Point Holdings, Llc stock predictions?
For FPH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Five Point Holdings, Llc forecasts updated?
Five Point Holdings, Llc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Five Point Holdings, Llc's industry peers?
37 issuers in our coverage, FPH included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate. The largest are: Cbre Group, Inc. (CBRE), Terreno Realty Corp (TRNO), Firstservice Corp (FSV), Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI), Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP), Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. De C.V. (VTMX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.