Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, GCT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Gigacloud Technology Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.05B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 24 Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 29.2% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
For GCT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -30.0%, measured on 270 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 313 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How GCT ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GCT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.05B | 6/24 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.75x | 6/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.84x | 8/16 |
| EPS | $4.88 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $14.95 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $41.07 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.41 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GCT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 29.2% | 1/13 |
| ROA | 12.3% | 3/16 |
| ROIC | 18.5% | 2/18 |
| Gross Margin | 26.3% | 17/20 |
| Operating Margin | 11.7% | 2/22 |
| Net Margin | 10.7% | 2/15 |
| EBT Margin | 12.5% | 2/22 |
| Tax Rate | 14.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GCT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.09x | 8/22 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.47x | 5/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.39x | 11/19 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.39x | 10/18 |
| Interest Coverage | 448.2x | 2/20 |
| Working Capital | $381M | 7/22 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GCT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $169M | 7/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | $158M | 3/16 |
| Capital Spending | -$12M | 7/16 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -1.4% | 7/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -2.9% | 4/8 |
| FCF/Sales | 10.8% | 2/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.8% | 12/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GCT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.15x | 12/16 |
| Receivables Turnover | 16.0x | 14/16 |
| Inventory Turnover | 5.0x | 11/16 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 40.5x | 9/17 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 23 days | 3/16 |
| Days Inventory | 74 days | 6/16 |
| Payables Period | 29 days | 14/16 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 67 days | 2/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GCT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.47B | 7/18 |
| Operating Income | $171M | 4/23 |
| Net Income | $156M | 3/16 |
| R&D Expense | $10M | 3/6 |
| SG&A Expense | $152M | 10/17 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.08B | 7/20 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GCT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 36M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 17.1% | 5/6 |
| EPS Growth | 47.4% | 5/8 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $730M | 57.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $334M | 26.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $92M | 7.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $218M | 17.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $740M | 58.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $263M | 20.7% of assets |
GCT quarterly financials and insider trading
Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Gigacloud Technology Inc (Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GCT Gigacloud Technology Inc | ▶ | $2.05B |
| AMZN Amazon Com Inc | ▶ | $2.70T |
| CPNG Coupang, Inc. | ▶ | $25.65B |
| CHWY Chewy, Inc. | ▶ | $8.43B |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc | ▶ | $4.71B |
| PTRN Pattern Group Inc. | ▲ | $3.06B |
| RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. | ▶ | $1.62B |
| LUXE Luxexperience B.V. | ▲ | $1.33B |
| JMIA Jumia Technologies Ag | ▲ | $726M |
| HNST Honest Company, Inc. | ▲ | $536M |
| QVCG Qvc Group, Inc. | ▶ | $464M |
| DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | ▼ | $459M |
| SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. | ▲ | $337M |
| TDUP Thredup Inc. | ▲ | $289M |
| NXH Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. | ▲ | $149M |
| DIBS 1stdibs.Com, Inc. | ▲ | $144M |
| AKA A.K.A. Brands Holding Corp. | ▼ | $112M |
| HOUR Hour Loop, Inc | ▲ | $61M |
| LITB Lightinthebox Holding Co., Ltd. | ▲ | $54M |
| GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $43M |
| GIFT Giftify, Inc. | ▼ | $26M |
| CAHO Caro Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $22M |
| UZX Linkage Global Inc | ▼ | $3M |
| AMZE Amaze Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $270K |
| IPSI Innovative Payment Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where GCT sits on the market map
Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT) stock news
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Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, GCT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Gigacloud Technology Inc stock predictions?
For GCT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -30.0%, measured on 270 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 313 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Gigacloud Technology Inc forecasts updated?
Gigacloud Technology Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Gigacloud Technology Inc's industry peers?
25 issuers in our coverage, GCT included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses. The largest are: Amazon Com Inc (AMZN), Coupang, Inc. (CPNG), Chewy, Inc. (CHWY), Insight Enterprises Inc (NSIT), Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN), Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.