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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Green Dot Corp (GDOT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 5.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $695M small-cap · #34 of 60 peers
Summary

Green Dot Corp (GDOT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Green Dot Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Green Dot Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $695M. It ranks number 34 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GDOT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GDOT price chart and AI forecast

GDOT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GDOT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Green Dot Corp (GDOT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGDOTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $695M $1.34B 34/60
P/B Ratio 0.74x 1.39x 41/46
EPS $-0.52 – –
Book Value/Share $16.49 – –
Revenue/Share $39.83 – –
FCF/Share $1.46 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGDOTIndustry medianRank
ROE -2.8% -7.5% 14/29
ROA -0.4% -1.0% 15/31
ROIC 0.8% -18.1% 4/26
Operating Margin 0.3% -187.7% 8/29
Net Margin -1.1% -3.0% 14/28
EBT Margin -4.5% -19.8% 18/41
Tax Rate -22.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricGDOTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.45x 1.94x 36/40
D/E Ratio 5.59x 1.66x 14/54
Financial Leverage 6.59x 2.80x 14/52
Working Capital -$2.87B $149M 39/39

Cash Flow

MetricGDOTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $156M $9M 16/46
Free Cash Flow $83M -$89M 10/32
Capital Spending -$73M -$22M 20/32
OCF Growth YoY 12.4% 13.8% 10/18
FCF Growth YoY 46.4% 33.7% 4/10
FCF/Sales 3.7% -19.6% 12/29
CapEx/Sales 3.2% 3.0% 14/29

Operational Efficiency

MetricGDOTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.37x 0.18x 7/35
Receivables Turnover 16.5x 15.9x 9/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 11.3x 11.3x 17/34
Days Sales Outstanding 22 days 23 days 11/19

Income Statement

MetricGDOTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.27B $523M 6/38
Operating Income $8M -$115M 8/32
Net Income -$26M -$34M 16/32

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGDOTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 57M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.32B37.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.14B18.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$138M2.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$5.25B84.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$5.13B82.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GDOT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Finance Services

Green Dot Corp (GDOT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Green Dot Corp (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GDOT Green Dot Corp ▲ $695M – 0.7x
AXP American Express Co ▶ $211.77B 19.0x 6.2x
MSTR Strategy Inc ▲ $52.57B – 1.7x
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. ▲ $45.69B – 3.5x
SYF Synchrony Financial ▼ $23.97B 7.6x 1.4x
CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. ▲ $20.87B 19.5x 6.0x
SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. ▲ $18.79B 33.8x 1.7x
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. ▶ $13.07B – –
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. ▲ $11.23B 9.6x 8.0x
IREN Iren Ltd ▶ $10.64B – 2.5x
WULF Terawulf Inc. ▲ $5.83B – 39.6x
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. ▲ $5.15B – 2.4x
DAVE Dave Inc./De ▲ $4.96B 23.8x 23.9x
KLAR Klarna Group Plc ▼ $4.91B – –
BLSH Bullish ▲ $4.45B – –
CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx ▲ $4.33B – –
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. ▲ $3.73B – 6.6x
GPGI Gpgi, Inc. ▼ $3.61B – 1.1x
MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.91B – 1.8x
IOND Ionic Digital Inc. ▶ $2.83B – 5.5x
SII Sprott Inc. ▶ $2.79B 15.9x –
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.29B 42.1x 2.9x
CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. ▲ $2.15B – 2.8x
BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group ▲ $2.10B – –
ASST Strive, Inc. ▶ $2.06B – 419.9x
XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. ▶ $1.95B – –
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc ▲ $1.79B 2.8x 1.0x
WLTH Wealthfront Corp ▲ $1.66B – 2.7x
SECZ Securitize Corp. ▶ $1.61B – –
PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ▲ $1.44B 14.1x 2.4x
KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. ▲ $1.43B – 4.3x
PWP Perella Weinberg Partners ▲ $1.25B 27.1x –
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. ▶ $1.12B 44.1x 0.7x
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. ▼ $889M 22.6x –
BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. ▲ $691M – 1.6x
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. ▶ $681M – 1.5x
BUR Burford Capital Ltd ▲ $659M – 0.8x
VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. ▶ $581M 5.5x 0.8x
HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. ▲ $557M – 1.0x
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. ▶ $551M – 0.8x
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. ▲ $510M – 1.1x
OPFI Oppfi Inc. ▲ $481M 2.9x –
GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. ▲ $463M – 1.0x
WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. ▲ $457M – 1.4x
OPRT Oportun Financial Corp ▲ $418M 16.2x 1.0x
BTBT Bit Digital, Inc ▲ $346M – 0.9x
SVIA Silvia, Inc. ▼ $323M – 1.2x
ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. ▶ $318M – 0.8x
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. ▶ $266M – 1.0x
USDE Stablecoinx Inc. ▼ $257M – –
MFIN Medallion Financial Corp ▲ $257M 6.9x 0.6x
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. ▶ $255M – –
BKKT Bakkt, Inc. ▶ $252M – 0.7x
SNFCA Security National Financial Corp ▲ $239M 6.9x 0.6x
ZSQR Z Squared Inc. ▲ $214M – 1.6x
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. ▲ $197M 10.5x 0.6x
LDI Loandepot, Inc. ▲ $181M – 0.9x
USBC Usbc, Inc. ▶ $170M – –
SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc ▼ $164M – 1.1x
AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd ▲ $159M – 0.9x

Where GDOT sits on the market map

Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
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News

Green Dot Corp (GDOT) stock news

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FAQ

Green Dot Corp (GDOT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Green Dot Corp (GDOT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Green Dot Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Green Dot Corp stock predictions?

For GDOT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Green Dot Corp forecasts updated?

Green Dot Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Green Dot Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, GDOT included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.