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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Holley Inc. (HLLY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 51.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $316M small-cap · #24 of 35 peers
Summary

Holley Inc. (HLLY) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Holley Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Holley Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $316M. It ranks number 24 by market capitalization among the 35 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For HLLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 51.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

HLLY price chart and AI forecast

HLLY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How HLLY ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-28

Holley Inc. (HLLY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHLLYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $316M $1.40B 24/35
P/E Ratio 52.20x 17.46x 3/20
P/B Ratio 0.70x 1.44x 28/30
EPS $0.05 – –
Book Value/Share $3.71 – –
Revenue/Share $5.06 – –
FCF/Share $0.36 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHLLYIndustry medianRank
ROIC 5.3% 5.4% 15/27
Gross Margin 43.0% 19.8% 3/34
Operating Margin 9.1% 3.6% 6/31
EBT Margin 2.6% 2.9% 19/35
Tax Rate 35.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricHLLYIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.06x 1.85x 5/34
Quick Ratio 1.39x 1.09x 9/33
D/E Ratio 1.58x 1.49x 14/31
Financial Leverage 2.58x 2.48x 12/29
Interest Coverage 0.3x 2.4x 18/27
Working Capital $222M $412M 20/34

Cash Flow

MetricHLLYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $58M $165M 20/34
Free Cash Flow $44M $100M 16/27
Capital Spending -$14M -$59M 8/27
OCF Growth YoY 65.2% 10.8% 2/25
FCF Growth YoY 89.5% 12.9% 2/22
FCF/Sales 7.1% 3.0% 6/27
CapEx/Sales 2.3% 2.7% 16/27

Operational Efficiency

MetricHLLYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.53x 1.05x 23/26
Inventory Turnover 1.9x 4.9x 24/31
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.2x 6.8x 4/27
Days Inventory 188 days 71 days 8/32
Payables Period 58 days 69 days 21/29

Income Statement

MetricHLLYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $613M $3.07B 23/28
Operating Income $56M $64M 17/31
R&D Expense $17M $49M 11/19
SG&A Expense $152M $362M 21/29
Cost of Goods Sold $349M $1.48B 25/34

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHLLYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 121M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$331M28.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$69M5.9% of assets
Inventory$180M15.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$713M61.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$52M4.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

HLLY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Holley Inc. (HLLY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Holley Inc. (Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HLLY Holley Inc. ▲ $316M 52.2x 0.7x
MGA Magna International Inc ▼ $18.49B 20.8x 1.5x
BWA Borgwarner Inc ▶ $11.84B 21.1x 2.1x
APTV Aptiv Plc ▼ $9.31B 373.8x 1.1x
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc ▶ $9.23B 17.8x 8.6x
ALV Autoliv Inc ▶ $8.49B 13.7x 3.4x
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co ▶ $7.91B 55.6x 6.6x
LEA Lear Corp ▶ $5.92B 11.2x 1.2x
GTX Garrett Motion Inc. ▶ $4.75B 14.3x –
GNTX Gentex Corp ▶ $4.43B 11.4x 1.7x
DORM Dorman Products, Inc. ▶ $3.68B 17.2x 2.4x
DAN Dana Inc ▼ $3.12B 2.8x 1.6x
VGNT Versigent Plc ▶ $3.10B – 36.4x
VC Visteon Corp ▼ $2.37B 16.1x 1.5x
PATK Patrick Industries Inc ▼ $2.19B 16.2x 1.9x
PHIN Phinia Inc. ▶ $2.12B 18.4x 1.4x
LCII Lci Industries ▼ $2.04B 9.7x 1.4x
THRM Gentherm Inc ▶ $1.62B 42.0x 2.2x
ADNT Adient Plc ▶ $1.40B 37.1x 0.8x
DCH Dauch Corp ▲ $1.15B – 0.8x
SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. ▶ $830M 18.2x 1.2x
AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. ▲ $699M – 25.4x
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. ▲ $370M – –
SCTH Securetech Innovations, Inc. ▶ $325M – 30.2x
STRT Strattec Security Corp ▶ $247M 12.4x 1.0x
MPAA Motorcar Parts Of America Inc ▶ $195M – 0.8x
SRI Stoneridge Inc ▶ $173M – 1.2x
ECXJ Cxj Group Co., Ltd ▶ $132M – –
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. ▼ $117M – 0.9x
INVZ Innoviz Technologies Ltd. ▲ $81M – 1.0x
XOS Xos, Inc. ▶ $43M – 1.9x
LIDR Aeye, Inc. ▼ $41M – 0.6x
AZIO Azio Ai Holdings, Inc. ▼ $17M – –
WKSP Worksport Ltd ▶ $6M – 0.3x
OMTK Omnitek Engineering Corp ▼ $590K – –
ATVK Globaltek Ventures, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where HLLY sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories
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News

Holley Inc. (HLLY) stock news

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FAQ

Holley Inc. (HLLY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Holley Inc. (HLLY) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Holley Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Holley Inc. stock predictions?

For HLLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 51.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Holley Inc. forecasts updated?

Holley Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Holley Inc.'s industry peers?

36 issuers in our coverage, HLLY included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories. The largest are: Magna International Inc (MGA), Borgwarner Inc (BWA), Aptiv Plc (APTV), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN), Autoliv Inc (ALV), Modine Manufacturing Co (MOD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.