Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, GTX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Garrett Motion Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.75B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 35 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For GTX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How GTX ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GTX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.75B | 8/35 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.29x | 14/20 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.18% | 10/12 |
| EPS | $1.71 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $18.98 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.95 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GTX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 14.4% | 3/29 |
| Gross Margin | 20.3% | 15/34 |
| Net Margin | 9.3% | 5/30 |
| EBT Margin | 11.5% | 5/35 |
| Tax Rate | 19.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GTX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.98x | 31/34 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.76x | 29/33 |
| Working Capital | -$31M | 34/34 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GTX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $455M | 9/34 |
| Free Cash Flow | $380M | 7/27 |
| Capital Spending | -$75M | 15/27 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 19.7% | 10/25 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 28.8% | 8/22 |
| FCF/Sales | 10.3% | 3/27 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.0% | 18/27 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GTX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.56x | 2/26 |
| Inventory Turnover | 9.4x | 7/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 8.4x | 11/27 |
| Days Inventory | 39 days | 25/32 |
| Payables Period | 134 days | 4/29 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GTX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.69B | 12/28 |
| Net Income | $343M | 7/30 |
| SG&A Expense | $239M | 16/29 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.94B | 12/34 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GTX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.29 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 17.0% | 11/12 |
| Shares Outstanding | 194M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 23.4% | 7/18 |
| EPS Growth | 33.6% | 3/20 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.38B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $142M | |
| Inventory | $313M | |
| Total Liabilities | $3.15B | |
| Short-term Debt | $329M |
GTX quarterly financials and insider trading
Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Garrett Motion Inc. (Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GTX Garrett Motion Inc. | ▶ | $4.75B |
| MGA Magna International Inc | ▼ | $18.49B |
| BWA Borgwarner Inc | ▶ | $11.84B |
| APTV Aptiv Plc | ▼ | $9.31B |
| ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc | ▶ | $9.23B |
| ALV Autoliv Inc | ▶ | $8.49B |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Co | ▶ | $7.91B |
| LEA Lear Corp | ▶ | $5.92B |
| GNTX Gentex Corp | ▶ | $4.43B |
| DORM Dorman Products, Inc. | ▶ | $3.68B |
| VGNT Versigent Plc | ▶ | $3.13B |
| DAN Dana Inc | ▼ | $3.12B |
| VC Visteon Corp | ▼ | $2.33B |
| PATK Patrick Industries Inc | ▼ | $2.19B |
| PHIN Phinia Inc. | ▶ | $2.12B |
| LCII Lci Industries | ▼ | $2.04B |
| THRM Gentherm Inc | ▶ | $1.58B |
| ADNT Adient Plc | ▶ | $1.40B |
| DCH Dauch Corp | ▲ | $1.15B |
| SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. | ▶ | $825M |
| AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $699M |
| CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $370M |
| SCTH Securetech Innovations, Inc. | ▶ | $325M |
| HLLY Holley Inc. | ▲ | $302M |
| STRT Strattec Security Corp | ▶ | $241M |
| MPAA Motorcar Parts Of America Inc | ▶ | $195M |
| SRI Stoneridge Inc | ▶ | $173M |
| ECXJ Cxj Group Co., Ltd | ▶ | $132M |
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. | ▼ | $117M |
| INVZ Innoviz Technologies Ltd. | ▲ | $81M |
| XOS Xos, Inc. | ▶ | $43M |
| LIDR Aeye, Inc. | ▼ | $41M |
| AZIO Azio Ai Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $16M |
| WKSP Worksport Ltd | ▶ | $6M |
| OMTK Omnitek Engineering Corp | ▼ | $590K |
| ATVK Globaltek Ventures, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where GTX sits on the market map
Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) stock news
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Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, GTX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Garrett Motion Inc. stock predictions?
For GTX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Garrett Motion Inc. forecasts updated?
Garrett Motion Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Garrett Motion Inc.'s industry peers?
36 issuers in our coverage, GTX included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories. The largest are: Magna International Inc (MGA), Borgwarner Inc (BWA), Aptiv Plc (APTV), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN), Autoliv Inc (ALV), Modine Manufacturing Co (MOD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.