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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 18.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.19B mid-cap · #14 of 35 peers
Summary

Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Patrick Industries Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Patrick Industries Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.19B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 35 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PATK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

PATK price chart and AI forecast

PATK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PATK ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-28

Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPATKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.19B $1.40B 14/35
P/E Ratio 16.18x 17.46x 12/20
P/B Ratio 1.93x 1.44x 10/30
Dividend Yield 2.72% 2.19% 5/12
EPS $4.21 – –
Book Value/Share $35.22 – –
Revenue/Share $122.63 – –
FCF/Share $3.98 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPATKIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.0% 7.1% 6/25
ROA 4.6% 2.5% 9/29
ROIC 9.4% 5.4% 8/27
Gross Margin 23.1% 19.8% 12/34
Operating Margin 6.7% 3.6% 10/31
Net Margin 3.7% 2.5% 10/30
EBT Margin 4.9% 2.9% 14/35
Tax Rate 23.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricPATKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.67x 1.85x 8/34
Quick Ratio 0.96x 1.09x 23/33
D/E Ratio 1.84x 1.49x 13/31
Financial Leverage 2.84x 2.48x 11/29
Interest Coverage 2.6x 2.4x 13/27
Working Capital $639M $412M 15/34

Cash Flow

MetricPATKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $209M $165M 17/34
Free Cash Flow $128M $100M 13/27
Capital Spending -$81M -$59M 16/27
OCF Growth YoY -39.2% 10.8% 22/25
FCF Growth YoY -51.2% 12.9% 17/22
FCF/Sales 3.2% 3.0% 13/27
CapEx/Sales 2.1% 2.7% 17/27

Operational Efficiency

MetricPATKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.23x 1.05x 8/26
Receivables Turnover 14.2x 5.6x 2/23
Inventory Turnover 4.6x 4.9x 17/31
Fixed Assets Turnover 9.6x 6.8x 10/27
Days Sales Outstanding 26 days 65 days 22/23
Days Inventory 79 days 71 days 15/32
Payables Period 27 days 69 days 28/29
Cash Conversion Cycle 77 days 77 days 11/21

Income Statement

MetricPATKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.94B $3.07B 10/28
Operating Income $265M $64M 10/31
Net Income $147M $37M 11/30
SG&A Expense $364M $362M 14/29
Cost of Goods Sold $3.03B $1.48B 10/34

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPATKIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.85 – –
Payout Ratio 43.9% 28.5% 3/12
Shares Outstanding 32M – –
Net Income Growth 16.8% 0.3% 8/18
EPS Growth 14.4% -4.3% 7/20

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.02B31.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$29M0.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$277M8.6% of assets
Inventory$653M20.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.08B64.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$159M4.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PATK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Patrick Industries Inc (Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PATK Patrick Industries Inc ▼ $2.19B 16.2x 1.9x
MGA Magna International Inc ▼ $18.49B 20.8x 1.5x
BWA Borgwarner Inc ▶ $11.84B 21.1x 2.1x
APTV Aptiv Plc ▼ $9.31B 373.8x 1.1x
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc ▶ $9.23B 17.8x 8.6x
ALV Autoliv Inc ▶ $8.49B 13.7x 3.4x
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co ▶ $8.18B 57.5x 6.8x
LEA Lear Corp ▶ $5.92B 11.2x 1.2x
GTX Garrett Motion Inc. ▶ $4.75B 14.3x –
GNTX Gentex Corp ▶ $4.43B 11.4x 1.7x
DORM Dorman Products, Inc. ▶ $3.68B 17.2x 2.4x
DAN Dana Inc ▼ $3.12B 2.8x 1.6x
VGNT Versigent Plc ▶ $3.10B – 36.4x
VC Visteon Corp ▼ $2.37B 16.1x 1.5x
PHIN Phinia Inc. ▶ $2.12B 18.3x 1.4x
LCII Lci Industries ▼ $2.04B 9.7x 1.4x
THRM Gentherm Inc ▶ $1.62B 42.0x 2.2x
ADNT Adient Plc ▶ $1.40B 37.1x 0.8x
DCH Dauch Corp ▲ $1.15B – 0.8x
SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. ▶ $830M 18.2x 1.2x
AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. ▲ $699M – 25.4x
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. ▲ $370M – –
SCTH Securetech Innovations, Inc. ▶ $325M – 30.2x
HLLY Holley Inc. ▲ $316M 52.2x 0.7x
STRT Strattec Security Corp ▶ $247M 12.4x 1.0x
MPAA Motorcar Parts Of America Inc ▶ $195M – 0.8x
SRI Stoneridge Inc ▶ $173M – 1.2x
ECXJ Cxj Group Co., Ltd ▶ $132M – –
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. ▼ $117M – 0.9x
INVZ Innoviz Technologies Ltd. ▲ $81M – 1.0x
XOS Xos, Inc. ▶ $43M – 1.9x
LIDR Aeye, Inc. ▼ $41M – 0.6x
AZIO Azio Ai Holdings, Inc. ▼ $17M – –
WKSP Worksport Ltd ▶ $6M – 0.3x
OMTK Omnitek Engineering Corp ▼ $590K – –
ATVK Globaltek Ventures, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where PATK sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories
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News

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FAQ

Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Patrick Industries Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Patrick Industries Inc stock predictions?

For PATK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Patrick Industries Inc forecasts updated?

Patrick Industries Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Patrick Industries Inc's industry peers?

36 issuers in our coverage, PATK included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories. The largest are: Magna International Inc (MGA), Borgwarner Inc (BWA), Aptiv Plc (APTV), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN), Autoliv Inc (ALV), Modine Manufacturing Co (MOD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.