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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 53.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $44.48B large-cap · #7 of 23 peers
Summary

Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Honda Motor Co Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Honda Motor Co Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $44.48B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 23 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For HMC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HMC included.

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Price

HMC price chart and AI forecast

HMC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How HMC ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-03-31

Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in JPY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricHMCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $44.48B $8.04B 7/23
Revenue/Share $372.24 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHMCIndustry medianRank
ROE 26.8% 3.1% 3/13
Net Margin 4.5% 1.9% 4/14

Financial Health

MetricHMCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.47x 1.47x 8/15
Interest Coverage 59.1x -14.8x 2/15

Income Statement

MetricHMCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $482.97B $16.85B 2/14
Net Income $21.67B -$2M 1/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHMCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1297M – –
Net Income Growth 72.3% -27.9% 2/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from JPY)

Total Liabilities$121.02B
Quarterly Financial Reports

HMC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Honda Motor Co Ltd (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd ▼ $44.48B – –
TSLA Tesla, Inc. ▼ $1.40T 331.5x 16.1x
TM Toyota Motor Corp/ ▼ $253.64B 42.3x –
GM General Motors Co ▶ $73.67B 37.5x 1.2x
RACE Ferrari N.V. ▼ $70.93B 11.9x –
PCAR Paccar Inc ▶ $58.33B 19.4x 2.9x
F Ford Motor Co ▶ $49.57B – 1.3x
RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De ▶ $16.92B – 3.3x
STLA Stellantis N.V. ▼ $12.66B – –
LI Li Auto Inc. ▼ $11.55B – 1.9x
NIO Nio Inc. ▼ $8.49B – –
OSK Oshkosh Corp ▶ $8.04B 76.1x 1.8x
FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ ▼ $6.86B 20.9x 4.6x
LCID Lucid Group, Inc. ▶ $1.23B – –
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc ▶ $641M – –
LOT Lotus Technology Inc. ▲ $366M – –
GGR Gogoro Inc. ▲ $64M – –
WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. ▼ $32M – 4.4x
AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. ▲ $12M – 3.3x
CENN Cenntro Inc. ▶ $7M – 0.2x
FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. ▼ $5M – –
FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. ▼ $4M – 0.3x
BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. ▼ $870K – –

Where HMC sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
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News

Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) stock news

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FAQ

Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Honda Motor Co Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Honda Motor Co Ltd stock predictions?

For HMC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Honda Motor Co Ltd forecasts updated?

Honda Motor Co Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Honda Motor Co Ltd's industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, HMC included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM), General Motors Co (GM), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), Paccar Inc (PCAR), Ford Motor Co (F).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.