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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Li Auto Inc. (LI) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -14.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $12.76B large-cap · #10 of 23 peers
Summary

Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Li Auto Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Li Auto Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $12.76B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 23 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For LI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LI included.

Price

LI price chart and AI forecast

LI
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How LI ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2022-09-30

Li Auto Inc. (LI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricLIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $12.76B $8.19B 10/23
P/B Ratio 2.07x 2.07x 6/11
Book Value/Share $6.05 – –

Financial Health

MetricLIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.80x 1.25x 11/13
Financial Leverage 1.81x 2.46x 13/15
Interest Coverage -51.8x -14.8x 13/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1019M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)

Total Liabilities$4.93B44.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

Li Auto Inc. (LI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Li Auto Inc. (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LI Li Auto Inc. $12.76B – 2.1x
TSLA Tesla, Inc. $1.42T 393.7x 15.9x
TM Toyota Motor Corp/ $281.77B 46.9x –
GM General Motors Co $75.35B 19.3x 1.2x
RACE Ferrari N.V. $74.25B 12.5x –
PCAR Paccar Inc $53.69B 16.4x 2.6x
F Ford Motor Co $49.68B – 1.4x
HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd $46.42B – –
RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De $19.40B – 3.4x
STLA Stellantis N.V. $12.84B – –
NIO Nio Inc. $8.39B – –
OSK Oshkosh Corp $8.19B 60.5x 1.8x
FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ $6.92B 20.4x 4.4x
LCID Lucid Group, Inc. $1.30B – –
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc $700M – –
LOT Lotus Technology Inc. $198M – –
GGR Gogoro Inc. $55M – –
WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. $34M – 4.8x
AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. $7M – 1.7x
FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. $4M – 0.3x
FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. $2M – –
BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. $690K – –
CENN Cenntro Inc. $350K – –

Where LI sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
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News

Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock news

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FAQ

Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Li Auto Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Li Auto Inc. stock predictions?

For LI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Li Auto Inc. forecasts updated?

Li Auto Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Li Auto Inc.'s industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, LI included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM), General Motors Co (GM), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), Paccar Inc (PCAR), Ford Motor Co (F).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.