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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Paccar Inc (PCAR) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 12.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $53.69B large-cap · #5 of 23 peers
Summary

Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Paccar Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Paccar Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $53.69B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 23 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PCAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PCAR included.

Price

PCAR price chart and AI forecast

PCAR
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How PCAR ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Paccar Inc (PCAR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $53.69B $8.19B 5/23
P/E Ratio 16.42x 20.37x 6/7
P/B Ratio 2.57x 2.07x 5/11
Dividend Yield 12.62% 4.49% 1/5
EPS $6.21 – –
Book Value/Share $39.75 – –
Revenue/Share $55.23 – –
FCF/Share $5.78 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.2% 3.3% 4/12
ROA 6.1% -0.7% 4/14
Gross Margin 20.1% 12.0% 4/14
Net Margin 9.5% 2.4% 3/14
EBT Margin 12.2% -2.2% 3/16
Tax Rate 22.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.16x 1.25x 8/13
Financial Leverage 2.16x 2.46x 10/15

Cash Flow

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3.66B $40M 6/17
Free Cash Flow $3.05B $433M 6/13
Capital Spending -$619M -$1.03B 6/13
OCF Growth YoY -22.3% 7.8% 6/8
FCF Growth YoY -22.5% -1.7% 6/8
FCF/Sales 10.5% 2.8% 4/13
CapEx/Sales 2.1% 5.3% 11/13

Operational Efficiency

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.64x 0.65x 7/12

Income Statement

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $29.08B $17.34B 6/14
Net Income $2.76B -$2M 5/15
R&D Expense $438M $147M 6/13
SG&A Expense $732M $732M 7/13
Cost of Goods Sold $23.22B $2.10B 3/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $12.87 – –
Payout Ratio 207.2% – –
Shares Outstanding 527M – –
Net Income Growth 2.6% 14.3% 5/8
EPS Growth 50.0% -11.0% 2/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$6.15B13.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$24.21B53.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PCAR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

Paccar Inc (PCAR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Paccar Inc (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PCAR Paccar Inc $53.69B 16.4x 2.6x
TSLA Tesla, Inc. $1.42T 393.7x 15.9x
TM Toyota Motor Corp/ $281.77B 46.9x –
GM General Motors Co $75.35B 19.3x 1.2x
RACE Ferrari N.V. $74.25B 12.5x –
F Ford Motor Co $49.68B – 1.4x
HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd $46.42B – –
RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De $19.40B – 3.4x
STLA Stellantis N.V. $12.84B – –
LI Li Auto Inc. $12.76B – 2.1x
NIO Nio Inc. $8.39B – –
OSK Oshkosh Corp $8.19B 60.5x 1.8x
FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ $6.92B 20.4x 4.4x
LCID Lucid Group, Inc. $1.30B – –
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc $700M – –
LOT Lotus Technology Inc. $198M – –
GGR Gogoro Inc. $55M – –
WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. $34M – 4.8x
AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. $7M – 1.7x
FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. $4M – 0.3x
FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. $2M – –
BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. $690K – –
CENN Cenntro Inc. $350K – –

Where PCAR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
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News

Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock news

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FAQ

Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Paccar Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Paccar Inc stock predictions?

For PCAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Paccar Inc forecasts updated?

Paccar Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Paccar Inc's industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, PCAR included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM), General Motors Co (GM), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), Ford Motor Co (F), Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.