Paccar Inc (PCAR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, PCAR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Paccar Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $58.33B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 23 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PCAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How PCAR ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Paccar Inc (PCAR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PCAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $58.33B | 5/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.37x | 6/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.87x | 6/12 |
| Dividend Yield | 13.01% | 2/5 |
| EPS | $5.72 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $38.61 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $52.85 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.02 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PCAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 12.3% | 5/13 |
| ROA | 5.7% | 4/14 |
| Gross Margin | 20.0% | 4/14 |
| Net Margin | 9.0% | 3/14 |
| EBT Margin | 11.5% | 3/16 |
| Tax Rate | 21.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PCAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 1.16x | 10/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.16x | 10/15 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PCAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.34B | 6/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.70B | 6/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$648M | 6/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -2.9% | 5/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 1.0% | 4/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 13.3% | 4/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.3% | 10/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PCAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.63x | 8/12 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PCAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $27.82B | 7/14 |
| Net Income | $2.50B | 4/15 |
| R&D Expense | $441M | 6/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $744M | 7/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $22.26B | 3/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PCAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $14.42 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 252.1% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 526M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -18.5% | 4/8 |
| EPS Growth | 17.4% | 3/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $5.57B | 12.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $23.66B | 53.8% of assets |
PCAR quarterly financials and insider trading
Paccar Inc (PCAR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Paccar Inc (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PCAR Paccar Inc | ▶ | $58.33B |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | ▼ | $1.43T |
| TM Toyota Motor Corp/ | ▼ | $225.61B |
| GM General Motors Co | ▶ | $73.67B |
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | ▼ | $71.06B |
| F Ford Motor Co | ▶ | $49.57B |
| HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd | ▼ | $44.48B |
| RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De | ▶ | $17.73B |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | ▼ | $12.60B |
| LI Li Auto Inc. | ▼ | $11.55B |
| NIO Nio Inc. | ▼ | $8.66B |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | ▶ | $8.14B |
| FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ | ▼ | $6.86B |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | ▶ | $1.23B |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc | ▶ | $705M |
| LOT Lotus Technology Inc. | ▲ | $377M |
| GGR Gogoro Inc. | ▲ | $63M |
| WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. | ▼ | $32M |
| AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $14M |
| CENN Cenntro Inc. | ▶ | $8M |
| FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. | ▼ | $6M |
| FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. | ▼ | $5M |
| BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. | ▼ | $870K |
Where PCAR sits on the market map
Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock news
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Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, PCAR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Paccar Inc stock predictions?
For PCAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Paccar Inc forecasts updated?
Paccar Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Paccar Inc's industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, PCAR included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM), General Motors Co (GM), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), Ford Motor Co (F), Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.