Li Auto Inc. (LI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Li Auto Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Li Auto Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $11.55B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 23 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For LI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How LI ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Li Auto Inc. (LI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | LI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $11.55B | 10/23 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.87x | 7/12 |
| Book Value/Share | $6.05 | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | LI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.80x | 13/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.81x | 13/15 |
| Interest Coverage | -51.8x | 13/15 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | LI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 1019M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)
| Total Liabilities | $4.93B | 44.4% of assets |
LI quarterly financials and insider trading
Li Auto Inc. (LI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Li Auto Inc. (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| LI Li Auto Inc. | ▼ | $11.55B |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | ▶ | $1.40T |
| TM Toyota Motor Corp/ | ▼ | $253.64B |
| GM General Motors Co | ▶ | $73.67B |
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | ▼ | $70.93B |
| PCAR Paccar Inc | ▶ | $58.33B |
| F Ford Motor Co | ▶ | $49.57B |
| HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd | ▼ | $44.48B |
| RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De | ▲ | $16.92B |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | ▶ | $12.66B |
| NIO Nio Inc. | ▶ | $8.49B |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | ▶ | $8.04B |
| FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ | ▶ | $6.86B |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | ▲ | $1.23B |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc | ▶ | $641M |
| LOT Lotus Technology Inc. | ▲ | $377M |
| GGR Gogoro Inc. | ▲ | $63M |
| WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. | ▼ | $32M |
| AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $12M |
| CENN Cenntro Inc. | ▶ | $7M |
| FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. | ▼ | $5M |
| FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4M |
| BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. | ▼ | $870K |
Where LI sits on the market map
Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock news
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Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Li Auto Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Li Auto Inc. stock predictions?
For LI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Li Auto Inc. forecasts updated?
Li Auto Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Li Auto Inc.'s industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, LI included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM), General Motors Co (GM), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), Paccar Inc (PCAR), Ford Motor Co (F).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.