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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Lear Corp (LEA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 11.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $5.92B mid-cap · #7 of 35 peers
Summary

Lear Corp (LEA) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, LEA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Lear Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.92B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 35 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For LEA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

LEA price chart and AI forecast

LEA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How LEA ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-04

Lear Corp (LEA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLEAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.92B $1.40B 7/35
P/E Ratio 11.19x 17.46x 18/20
P/B Ratio 1.16x 1.44x 18/30
Dividend Yield 2.73% 2.19% 4/12
EPS $10.73 – –
Book Value/Share $103.03 – –
Revenue/Share $480.50 – –
FCF/Share $17.22 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLEAIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.0% 7.1% 7/25
Gross Margin 6.9% 19.8% 31/34
Operating Margin 3.6% 3.6% 16/31
Net Margin 2.7% 2.5% 15/30
EBT Margin 3.7% 2.9% 16/35
Tax Rate 17.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricLEAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.31x 1.85x 26/34
Quick Ratio 1.04x 1.09x 19/33
D/E Ratio 1.99x 1.49x 11/31
Interest Coverage 8.3x 2.4x 6/27
Working Capital $2.00B $412M 4/34

Cash Flow

MetricLEAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.48B $165M 3/34
Free Cash Flow $849M $100M 2/27
Capital Spending -$630M -$59M 26/27
OCF Growth YoY 43.3% 10.8% 4/25
FCF Growth YoY 77.6% 12.9% 4/22
FCF/Sales 3.6% 3.0% 12/27
CapEx/Sales 2.7% 2.7% 14/27

Operational Efficiency

MetricLEAIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 5.6x 5.6x 12/23
Inventory Turnover 12.8x 4.9x 4/31
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.3x 6.8x 12/27
Days Sales Outstanding 65 days 65 days 12/23
Days Inventory 29 days 71 days 28/32
Payables Period 65 days 69 days 17/29
Cash Conversion Cycle 28 days 77 days 19/21

Income Statement

MetricLEAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $23.70B $3.07B 1/28
Operating Income $870M $64M 3/31
Net Income $661M $37M 3/30
SG&A Expense $737M $362M 4/29
Cost of Goods Sold $22.07B $1.48B 2/34

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLEAIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.27 – –
Payout Ratio 30.5% 28.5% 6/12
Shares Outstanding 49M – –
Net Income Growth 40.7% 0.3% 3/18
EPS Growth 24.8% -4.3% 5/20

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$8.39B54.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.00B6.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$4.21B27.5% of assets
Inventory$1.72B11.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$10.11B66.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.45B16.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LEA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Lear Corp (LEA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lear Corp (Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LEA Lear Corp ▶ $5.92B 11.2x 1.2x
MGA Magna International Inc ▼ $18.49B 20.8x 1.5x
BWA Borgwarner Inc ▶ $11.84B 21.1x 2.1x
APTV Aptiv Plc ▼ $9.31B 373.8x 1.1x
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc ▶ $9.23B 17.8x 8.6x
ALV Autoliv Inc ▶ $8.49B 13.7x 3.4x
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co ▶ $7.91B 55.6x 6.6x
GTX Garrett Motion Inc. ▶ $4.75B 14.3x –
GNTX Gentex Corp ▶ $4.43B 11.4x 1.7x
DORM Dorman Products, Inc. ▶ $3.68B 17.2x 2.4x
VGNT Versigent Plc ▶ $3.13B – 36.9x
DAN Dana Inc ▼ $3.12B 2.8x 1.6x
VC Visteon Corp ▼ $2.33B 15.9x 1.5x
PATK Patrick Industries Inc ▼ $2.19B 16.2x 1.9x
PHIN Phinia Inc. ▶ $2.12B 18.4x 1.4x
LCII Lci Industries ▼ $2.04B 9.7x 1.4x
THRM Gentherm Inc ▶ $1.58B 40.9x 2.2x
ADNT Adient Plc ▶ $1.40B 37.1x 0.8x
DCH Dauch Corp ▲ $1.15B – 0.8x
SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. ▶ $825M 18.1x 1.2x
AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. ▲ $699M – 25.4x
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. ▲ $370M – –
SCTH Securetech Innovations, Inc. ▶ $325M – 30.2x
HLLY Holley Inc. ▲ $302M 49.8x 0.7x
STRT Strattec Security Corp ▶ $241M 12.1x 1.0x
MPAA Motorcar Parts Of America Inc ▶ $195M – 0.8x
SRI Stoneridge Inc ▶ $173M – 1.2x
ECXJ Cxj Group Co., Ltd ▶ $132M – –
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. ▼ $117M – 0.9x
INVZ Innoviz Technologies Ltd. ▲ $81M – 1.1x
XOS Xos, Inc. ▶ $43M – 1.9x
LIDR Aeye, Inc. ▼ $40M – 0.6x
AZIO Azio Ai Holdings, Inc. ▼ $16M – –
WKSP Worksport Ltd ▶ $6M – 0.3x
OMTK Omnitek Engineering Corp ▼ $550K – –
ATVK Globaltek Ventures, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where LEA sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories
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News

Lear Corp (LEA) stock news

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FAQ

Lear Corp (LEA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Lear Corp (LEA) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, LEA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Lear Corp stock predictions?

For LEA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Lear Corp forecasts updated?

Lear Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Lear Corp's industry peers?

36 issuers in our coverage, LEA included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories. The largest are: Magna International Inc (MGA), Borgwarner Inc (BWA), Aptiv Plc (APTV), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN), Autoliv Inc (ALV), Modine Manufacturing Co (MOD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.