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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Mbia Inc (MBI) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $228M small-cap · #6 of 6 peers
Summary

Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Mbia Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Mbia Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $228M. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 6 Surety Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MBI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MBI included.

Price

MBI price chart and AI forecast

MBI
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MBI ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Mbia Inc (MBI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surety Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $228M $4.08B 6/6
EPS $-2.41 – –
Revenue/Share $2.06 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
ROA -6.5% 4.3% 6/6
Net Margin -128.3% 33.8% 6/6
EBT Margin -177.2% 43.4% 6/6
Tax Rate 0.0% – –

Cash Flow

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$120M $644M 6/6
OCF Growth YoY -335.3% 0.4% 5/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.06x 0.16x 6/6

Income Statement

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $105M $1.17B 6/6
Net Income -$118M $465M 6/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 51M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$62M
Total Liabilities$4.21B
Quarterly Financial Reports

MBI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surety Insurance

Mbia Inc (MBI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mbia Inc (Surety Insurance): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MBI Mbia Inc $228M – –
ORI Old Republic International Corp $9.69B 7.5x 1.7x
ESNT Essent Group Ltd. $5.70B 8.7x 1.0x
RDN Radian Group Inc $4.93B 9.4x 1.0x
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd $3.23B 10.3x 0.6x
NMIH Nmi Holdings, Inc. $2.94B 7.7x 1.1x

Where MBI sits on the market map

Finance · Surety Insurance
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News

Mbia Inc (MBI) stock news

source: Benzinga on MSN.com

<?xml encoding="utf-8" ?> MBIA MBI reported third-quarter financial results on Thursday. The transcript from the company’s ...

MBIA Inc. (NYSE:MBI) today posted its third quarter 2026 financial results on its website at https://investor.mbia.com/investor-relations/financial-information/default.aspx. The financial results will ...

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FAQ

Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Mbia Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Mbia Inc stock predictions?

For MBI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mbia Inc forecasts updated?

Mbia Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Mbia Inc's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, MBI included, share the SEC industry code Surety Insurance. The largest are: Old Republic International Corp (ORI), Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), Radian Group Inc (RDN), Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO), Nmi Holdings, Inc. (NMIH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.