Mbia Inc (MBI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Mbia Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Mbia Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $224M. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 6 Surety Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MBI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MBI ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Mbia Inc (MBI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surety Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $224M | 6/6 |
| EPS | $-2.09 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.84 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | -5.2% | 6/6 |
| Net Margin | -125.9% | 6/6 |
| EBT Margin | -181.5% | 6/6 |
| Tax Rate | 0.0% | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $43M | 6/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.05x | 6/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $94M | 6/6 |
| Net Income | -$102M | 6/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 51M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $117M | |
| Total Liabilities | $4.30B |
MBI quarterly financials and insider trading
Mbia Inc (MBI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mbia Inc (Surety Insurance): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Mbia Inc (MBI) stock news
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Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Mbia Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Mbia Inc stock predictions?
For MBI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mbia Inc forecasts updated?
Mbia Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Mbia Inc's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, MBI included, share the SEC industry code Surety Insurance. The largest are: Old Republic International Corp (ORI), Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), Radian Group Inc (RDN), Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO), Nmi Holdings, Inc. (NMIH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.