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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Old Republic International Corp (ORI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -19.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $9.58B mid-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Old Republic International Corp (ORI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Old Republic International Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Old Republic International Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.58B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Surety Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ORI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ORI included.

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Price

ORI price chart and AI forecast

ORI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ORI ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Old Republic International Corp (ORI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surety Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricORIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $9.58B $3.81B 1/6
P/E Ratio 7.16x 8.57x 5/5
P/B Ratio 1.58x 1.03x 1/5
EPS $5.54 – –
Book Value/Share $25.15 – –
Revenue/Share $40.25 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricORIIndustry medianRank
ROE 18.7% 12.0% 1/5
ROA 3.6% 4.3% 4/6
Net Margin 11.7% 35.4% 5/6
EBT Margin 14.8% 45.5% 5/6
Tax Rate 20.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricORIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 4.20x 1.22x 1/5
Financial Leverage 5.20x 2.22x 1/5

Cash Flow

MetricORIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.28B $641M 2/6
OCF Growth YoY 6.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricORIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.31x 0.16x 1/6

Income Statement

MetricORIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9.72B $1.13B 1/6
Net Income $1.14B $466M 1/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricORIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 241M – –
Net Income Growth 27.4% -4.8% 1/5
EPS Growth 117.2% 4.7% 1/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$418M1.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$25.50B80.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ORI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surety Insurance

Old Republic International Corp (ORI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Old Republic International Corp (Surety Insurance): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ORI Old Republic International Corp ▼ $9.58B 7.2x 1.6x
ESNT Essent Group Ltd. ▲ $5.82B 9.0x 1.0x
RDN Radian Group Inc ▶ $4.50B 8.6x 0.9x
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd ▼ $3.12B 9.4x 0.6x
NMIH Nmi Holdings, Inc. ▲ $3.06B 8.0x 1.1x
MBI Mbia Inc ▼ $225M – –

Where ORI sits on the market map

Finance · Surety Insurance
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News

Old Republic International Corp (ORI) stock news

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FAQ

Old Republic International Corp (ORI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Old Republic International Corp (ORI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Old Republic International Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Old Republic International Corp stock predictions?

For ORI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Old Republic International Corp forecasts updated?

Old Republic International Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Old Republic International Corp's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, ORI included, share the SEC industry code Surety Insurance. The largest are: Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), Radian Group Inc (RDN), Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO), Nmi Holdings, Inc. (NMIH), Mbia Inc (MBI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.