Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (MPAA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (MPAA) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, MPAA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Motorcar Parts Of America Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $195M. It ranks number 26 by market capitalization among the 35 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MPAA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MPAA ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (MPAA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MPAA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $195M | 26/35 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.77x | 26/30 |
| EPS | $-0.24 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $13.36 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $40.64 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.33 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MPAA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -1.6% | 17/25 |
| ROA | -0.4% | 18/29 |
| ROIC | 8.0% | 10/27 |
| Gross Margin | 19.9% | 17/34 |
| Operating Margin | 6.4% | 11/31 |
| Net Margin | -0.5% | 19/30 |
| EBT Margin | 0.6% | 21/35 |
| Tax Rate | 185.7% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | MPAA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44x | 22/34 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.39x | 31/33 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.99x | 5/31 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.99x | 5/29 |
| Working Capital | $173M | 22/34 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MPAA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$2M | 28/34 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$6M | 22/27 |
| Capital Spending | -$4M | 4/27 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -102.8% | 24/25 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -108.6% | 20/22 |
| FCF/Sales | -0.8% | 22/27 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.5% | 26/27 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MPAA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.76x | 20/26 |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.8x | 3/23 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.5x | 29/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 26.3x | 1/27 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 34 days | 21/23 |
| Days Inventory | 245 days | 3/32 |
| Payables Period | 105 days | 6/29 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 174 days | 5/21 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MPAA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $769M | 20/28 |
| Operating Income | $49M | 18/31 |
| Net Income | -$4M | 21/30 |
| R&D Expense | $14M | 13/19 |
| SG&A Expense | $106M | 24/29 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $616M | 21/34 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MPAA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 19M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -345.6% | 17/18 |
| EPS Growth | -400.0% | 20/20 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $564M | 55.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $19M | 1.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $71M | 7.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $413M | 40.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $757M | 75.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $214M | 21.2% of assets |
MPAA quarterly financials and insider trading
Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (MPAA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MPAA Motorcar Parts Of America Inc | ▶ | $195M |
| MGA Magna International Inc | ▼ | $18.49B |
| BWA Borgwarner Inc | ▶ | $11.84B |
| APTV Aptiv Plc | ▼ | $9.31B |
| ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc | ▶ | $9.23B |
| ALV Autoliv Inc | ▶ | $8.49B |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Co | ▶ | $7.91B |
| LEA Lear Corp | ▶ | $5.92B |
| GTX Garrett Motion Inc. | ▶ | $4.75B |
| GNTX Gentex Corp | ▶ | $4.43B |
| DORM Dorman Products, Inc. | ▶ | $3.68B |
| VGNT Versigent Plc | ▶ | $3.13B |
| DAN Dana Inc | ▼ | $3.12B |
| VC Visteon Corp | ▼ | $2.33B |
| PATK Patrick Industries Inc | ▼ | $2.19B |
| PHIN Phinia Inc. | ▶ | $2.12B |
| LCII Lci Industries | ▼ | $2.04B |
| THRM Gentherm Inc | ▶ | $1.58B |
| ADNT Adient Plc | ▶ | $1.40B |
| DCH Dauch Corp | ▲ | $1.15B |
| SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. | ▶ | $825M |
| AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $699M |
| CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $370M |
| SCTH Securetech Innovations, Inc. | ▶ | $325M |
| HLLY Holley Inc. | ▲ | $302M |
| STRT Strattec Security Corp | ▶ | $241M |
| SRI Stoneridge Inc | ▶ | $173M |
| ECXJ Cxj Group Co., Ltd | ▶ | $132M |
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. | ▼ | $117M |
| INVZ Innoviz Technologies Ltd. | ▲ | $81M |
| XOS Xos, Inc. | ▶ | $43M |
| LIDR Aeye, Inc. | ▼ | $41M |
| AZIO Azio Ai Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $16M |
| WKSP Worksport Ltd | ▶ | $6M |
| OMTK Omnitek Engineering Corp | ▼ | $590K |
| ATVK Globaltek Ventures, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where MPAA sits on the market map
Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (MPAA) stock news
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Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (MPAA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Motorcar Parts Of America Inc (MPAA) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, MPAA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Motorcar Parts Of America Inc stock predictions?
For MPAA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Motorcar Parts Of America Inc forecasts updated?
Motorcar Parts Of America Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Motorcar Parts Of America Inc's industry peers?
36 issuers in our coverage, MPAA included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories. The largest are: Magna International Inc (MGA), Borgwarner Inc (BWA), Aptiv Plc (APTV), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN), Autoliv Inc (ALV), Modine Manufacturing Co (MOD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.