Nio Inc. (NIO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Nio Inc. (NIO) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, NIO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Nio Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.49B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 23 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NIO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NIO included.
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How NIO ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Nio Inc. (NIO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NIO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $8.49B | 11/23 |
Financial Health
| Metric | NIO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.84x | 13/18 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.71x | 10/17 |
| Interest Coverage | -24.8x | 10/15 |
| Working Capital | -$1.36B | 16/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NIO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2474M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)
| Total Current Assets | $7.33B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $993M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $188M | |
| Inventory | $1.15B | |
| Total Liabilities | $13.04B |
NIO quarterly financials and insider trading
Nio Inc. (NIO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nio Inc. (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NIO Nio Inc. | ▶ | $8.49B |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | ▶ | $1.40T |
| TM Toyota Motor Corp/ | ▼ | $253.64B |
| GM General Motors Co | ▶ | $73.67B |
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | ▼ | $70.93B |
| PCAR Paccar Inc | ▶ | $58.33B |
| F Ford Motor Co | ▶ | $49.57B |
| HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd | ▼ | $44.48B |
| RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De | ▲ | $16.92B |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | ▶ | $12.66B |
| LI Li Auto Inc. | ▼ | $11.55B |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | ▶ | $8.04B |
| FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ | ▶ | $6.86B |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | ▲ | $1.23B |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc | ▶ | $641M |
| LOT Lotus Technology Inc. | ▲ | $377M |
| GGR Gogoro Inc. | ▲ | $64M |
| WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. | ▼ | $32M |
| AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $12M |
| CENN Cenntro Inc. | ▶ | $7M |
| FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. | ▼ | $5M |
| FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4M |
| BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. | ▼ | $870K |
Where NIO sits on the market map
Nio Inc. (NIO) stock news
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Nio Inc. (NIO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nio Inc. (NIO) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, NIO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Nio Inc. stock predictions?
For NIO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nio Inc. forecasts updated?
Nio Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Nio Inc.'s industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, NIO included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM), General Motors Co (GM), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), Paccar Inc (PCAR), Ford Motor Co (F).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.