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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Oracle Corp (ORCL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 17.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $387.73B mega-cap · #3 of 60 peers
Summary

Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Oracle Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Oracle Corp is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $387.73B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ORCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ORCL included.

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Price

ORCL price chart and AI forecast

ORCL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ORCL ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-31

Oracle Corp (ORCL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricORCLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $387.73B $14.51B 3/60
P/E Ratio 20.10x 33.80x 30/39
P/B Ratio 5.81x 7.32x 35/52
Dividend Yield 1.53% 0.79% 2/7
EPS $6.38 – –
Book Value/Share $22.08 – –
Revenue/Share $23.74 – –
FCF/Share $-9.50 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricORCLIndustry medianRank
ROE 28.3% 13.7% 16/47
ROA 6.2% 5.9% 24/48
ROIC 9.0% 7.6% 25/54
Operating Margin 32.1% 8.9% 8/59
Net Margin 26.4% 14.3% 9/50
EBT Margin 30.7% 11.1% 9/59
Tax Rate 12.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricORCLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.17x 1.55x 41/59
D/E Ratio 3.54x 0.78x 8/53
Financial Leverage 4.54x 1.80x 8/51
Interest Coverage 4.7x 9.2x 27/46
Working Capital $8.12B $541M 4/59

Cash Flow

MetricORCLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $46.94B $648M 2/59
Free Cash Flow -$28.72B $453M 50/50
Capital Spending -$75.66B -$24M 49/50
OCF Growth YoY 118.0% 27.8% 7/52
FCF/Sales -40.0% 25.7% 49/50
CapEx/Sales 105.4% 1.0% 2/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricORCLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.24x 0.55x 46/49
Receivables Turnover 6.3x 6.4x 27/52
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.6x 28.1x 50/51
Days Sales Outstanding 58 days 57 days 26/52

Income Statement

MetricORCLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $71.78B $2.51B 3/53
Operating Income $23.06B $182M 3/59
Net Income $18.92B $293M 3/50
R&D Expense $10.18B $502M 3/59
SG&A Expense $19.32B $1.59B 3/58

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricORCLIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.96 – –
Payout Ratio 30.7% 30.4% 3/7
Shares Outstanding 3024M – –
Net Income Growth 52.1% 17.9% 9/30
EPS Growth 47.7% 22.3% 13/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$55.63B18.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$36.37B12.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$11.39B3.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$236.06B77.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$36.45B12.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ORCL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Oracle Corp (ORCL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Oracle Corp (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ORCL Oracle Corp ▲ $387.73B 20.1x 5.8x
MSFT Microsoft Corp ▼ $3.93T 29.5x 8.9x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. ▲ $447.01B 204.4x 45.7x
SAP Sap Se ▼ $275.54B 12.5x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. ▲ $232.83B 2526.6x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. ▲ $218.11B 120.2x 17.2x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. ▶ $198.10B 22.0x 5.8x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. ▲ $105.51B – 65.1x
ADBE Adobe Inc. ▼ $95.43B 13.7x 8.1x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. ▲ $88.73B 588.4x 20.3x
SNPS Synopsys Inc ▶ $87.12B 86.1x 2.8x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc ▶ $86.97B 74.5x 13.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. ▼ $80.22B – –
TEAM Atlassian Corp ▶ $52.61B – 49.7x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc ▼ $50.25B 50.8x 6.8x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. ▼ $50.14B 28.5x 14.8x
XYZ Block, Inc. ▶ $46.80B 56.4x 2.1x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc ▼ $38.38B – 10.6x
TWLO Twilio Inc ▲ $37.53B 36.2x 4.2x
RBLX Roblox Corp ▲ $35.39B – 232.9x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. ▲ $33.86B – 6.7x
OKTA Okta, Inc. ▲ $32.74B 117.8x 4.7x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. ▲ $27.19B – 9.1x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. ▲ $23.30B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. ▶ $20.94B 17.6x 6.0x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc ▼ $19.73B 24.7x 3.0x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. ▶ $18.11B 13.0x –
DT Dynatrace, Inc. ▶ $17.66B 122.2x 7.2x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc ▼ $14.78B 47.9x 4.9x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd ▼ $14.56B 11.2x 5.1x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. ▲ $14.46B 14.1x 5.4x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. ▲ $13.85B 103.6x 11.6x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc ▼ $12.95B 63.1x 82.2x
HUBS Hubspot Inc ▲ $11.52B 129.7x 7.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. ▲ $11.45B – 7.8x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. ▶ $11.34B 26.8x 19.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. ▲ $10.70B – 1.6x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc ▶ $10.69B 40.2x 8.9x
FROG Jfrog Ltd ▲ $10.40B – 10.8x
ESTC Elastic N.V. ▶ $9.63B 26.2x 7.4x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp ▼ $8.82B 33.8x 7.2x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. ▲ $8.79B – 9.5x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. ▶ $8.66B – 6.8x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. ▶ $8.03B 19.4x –
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. ▲ $7.83B – 8.5x
NTSK Netskope Inc ▲ $7.76B – 49.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc ▼ $7.51B 40.5x 14.3x
S Sentinelone, Inc. ▲ $7.51B – 5.2x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc ▼ $7.49B 24.8x 4.6x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. ▲ $7.15B – –
NICE Nice Ltd. ▶ $6.78B 17.6x 1.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. ▲ $6.70B 21.8x 3.4x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. ▲ $6.63B 17.0x 4.7x
NAVN Navan, Inc. ▲ $6.61B – 5.0x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. ▲ $6.56B – 7.0x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. ▲ $6.26B 31.3x 11.1x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc ▲ $6.18B 95.6x 118.7x
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. ▲ $5.88B – 0.4x
VRNS Varonis Systems Inc ▶ $5.60B – 12.6x
BOX Box Inc ▶ $5.43B 63.8x –

Where ORCL sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock news

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FAQ

Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Oracle Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Oracle Corp stock predictions?

For ORCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Oracle Corp forecasts updated?

Oracle Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Oracle Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, ORCL included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP), Salesforce, Inc. (CRM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.