PBF Energy surges 189.4% in a year: Should investors buy the stock?
PBF Energy Inc. PBF has delivered an impressive performance over the past year, with shares skyrocketing 189.4%. The stock ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▲ Bullish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Top 35%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
35.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$10.02B
large-cap · #11 of 15 peers
Summary
Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Pbf Energy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Pbf Energy Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.02B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PBF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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PBF price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How PBF ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PBF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $10.02B | 11/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 7.43x | 10/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.56x | 9/10 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.26% | 6/8 |
| EPS | $11.38 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $54.05 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $289.98 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.27 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PBF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 21.1% | 4/10 |
| ROA | 9.2% | 2/9 |
| ROIC | 19.2% | 1/5 |
| Gross Margin | 3.9% | 7/11 |
| Operating Margin | 5.8% | 6/8 |
| Net Margin | 3.9% | 7/11 |
| EBT Margin | 5.3% | 7/11 |
| Tax Rate | 24.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PBF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.33x | 5/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.67x | 11/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.28x | 10/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.30x | 7/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 30.3x | 2/8 |
| Working Capital | $1.45B | 10/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PBF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.66B | 11/13 |
| Free Cash Flow | $743M | 5/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$915M | 3/8 |
| FCF/Sales | 2.2% | 7/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.7% | 7/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PBF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.34x | 2/10 |
| Inventory Turnover | 11.4x | 9/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.0x | 1/12 |
| Days Inventory | 32 days | 3/11 |
| Payables Period | 9 days | 9/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PBF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $34.37B | 10/13 |
| Operating Income | $1.99B | 5/8 |
| Net Income | $1.35B | 9/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $33.05B | 7/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PBF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.07 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 9.4% | 8/8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 119M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $5.83B | 40.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $894M | 6.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $2.89B | 19.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $8.17B | 56.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $3.60B | 24.6% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
PBF quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining
Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pbf Energy Inc. (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PBF Pbf Energy Inc. | ▲ | $10.02B |
| CVX Chevron Corp | ▼ | $444.53B |
| COP Conocophillips | ▼ | $176.01B |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp | ▲ | $134.25B |
| BP Bp Plc | ▼ | $129.61B |
| VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx | ▶ | $128.04B |
| EQNR Equinor Asa | ▼ | $117.46B |
| PSX Phillips 66 | ▶ | $116.98B |
| IMO Imperial Oil Ltd | ▼ | $64.76B |
| YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima | ▶ | $20.49B |
| SUN Sunoco Lp | ▲ | $10.03B |
| CVI Cvr Energy Inc | ▲ | $6.17B |
| IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. | ▶ | $4.73B |
| DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.69B |
| SUNC Sunococorp Llc | ▲ | $3.73B |
Where PBF sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
News
Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock news
PBF Energy Announces Full Redemption of 2030 Senior Notes
PBF Energy ( (PBF)) has shared an update. On October 14, 2026, PBF Holding Company LLC and its wholly owned subsidiary PBF Finance Corporation issued a notice of optional full redemption for all $800 ...
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Good day, everyone, and welcome to the PBF Energy Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. It is now my ...
FAQ
Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Pbf Energy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Pbf Energy Inc. stock predictions?
For PBF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Pbf Energy Inc. forecasts updated?
Pbf Energy Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Pbf Energy Inc.'s industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, PBF included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Bp Plc (BP), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.