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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Progress Software Corp /Ma (PRGS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 19.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.67B small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Progress Software Corp /Ma (PRGS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Progress Software Corp /Ma outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Progress Software Corp /Ma is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.67B. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Dividend Yield of 0.08% is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one.

For PRGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PRGS included.

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Price

PRGS price chart and AI forecast

PRGS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PRGS ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-31

Progress Software Corp /Ma (PRGS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPRGSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.67B $14.51B 60/60
P/E Ratio 17.99x 31.32x 31/39
P/B Ratio 3.15x 7.22x 47/53
Dividend Yield 0.08% 0.78% 8/8
EPS $2.27 – –
Book Value/Share $12.97 – –
Revenue/Share $24.46 – –
FCF/Share $7.81 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPRGSIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.4% 14.4% 23/48
ROA 4.0% 5.6% 29/49
ROIC 9.3% 7.6% 24/54
Gross Margin 82.2% 76.0% 13/56
Operating Margin 17.7% 8.9% 22/59
Net Margin 9.2% 14.1% 32/51
EBT Margin 11.1% 11.1% 31/59
Tax Rate 16.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricPRGSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.80x 1.55x 54/59
D/E Ratio 3.34x 0.81x 10/54
Financial Leverage 4.34x 1.82x 10/52
Interest Coverage 4.0x 6.8x 29/46
Working Capital -$85M $541M 51/59

Cash Flow

MetricPRGSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $328M $648M 45/59
Free Cash Flow $319M $453M 35/50
Capital Spending -$9M -$24M 12/50
OCF Growth YoY 70.9% 28.9% 12/52
FCF Growth YoY 71.3% 23.4% 8/43
FCF/Sales 31.9% 25.7% 9/50
CapEx/Sales 0.9% 1.0% 29/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricPRGSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.43x 0.54x 35/49
Receivables Turnover 8.4x 6.5x 18/52
Fixed Assets Turnover 65.5x 28.7x 13/52
Days Sales Outstanding 43 days 56 days 35/52
Payables Period 21 days 24 days 34/56

Income Statement

MetricPRGSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1000M $2.51B 50/53
Operating Income $177M $182M 31/59
Net Income $92M $290M 34/51
R&D Expense $195M $502M 54/59
SG&A Expense $485M $1.59B 53/58
Cost of Goods Sold $178M $528M 53/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPRGSIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.03 – –
Payout Ratio 1.3% 25.1% 8/8
Shares Outstanding 41M – –
Net Income Growth 90.4% 18.5% 7/31
EPS Growth 70.7% 24.6% 11/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$330M14.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$114M4.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$119M5.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.77B77.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$404M17.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PRGS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Progress Software Corp /Ma (PRGS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Progress Software Corp /Ma (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PRGS Progress Software Corp /Ma ▼ $1.67B 18.0x 3.2x
MSFT Microsoft Corp ▼ $3.93T 29.5x 8.9x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. ▲ $447.01B 204.4x 45.7x
ORCL Oracle Corp ▲ $387.73B 20.1x 5.8x
SAP Sap Se ▼ $275.54B 12.5x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. ▲ $232.83B 2526.6x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. ▲ $218.11B 120.2x 17.2x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. ▶ $198.10B 22.0x 5.8x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. ▲ $105.51B – 65.1x
ADBE Adobe Inc. ▼ $95.43B 13.7x 8.1x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. ▲ $88.73B 588.4x 20.3x
SNPS Synopsys Inc ▶ $87.12B 86.1x 2.8x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc ▶ $86.97B 74.5x 13.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. ▼ $80.22B – –
TEAM Atlassian Corp ▶ $52.61B – 49.7x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc ▼ $50.25B 50.8x 6.8x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. ▼ $50.14B 28.5x 14.8x
XYZ Block, Inc. ▶ $46.80B 56.4x 2.1x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc ▼ $38.38B – 10.6x
TWLO Twilio Inc ▲ $37.53B 36.2x 4.2x
RBLX Roblox Corp ▲ $35.39B – 232.9x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. ▲ $33.86B – 6.7x
OKTA Okta, Inc. ▲ $32.74B 117.8x 4.7x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. ▲ $27.19B – 9.1x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. ▲ $23.30B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. ▶ $20.94B 17.6x 6.0x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc ▼ $19.73B 24.7x 3.0x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. ▶ $18.11B 13.0x –
DT Dynatrace, Inc. ▶ $17.66B 122.2x 7.2x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc ▼ $14.78B 47.9x 4.9x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd ▼ $14.56B 11.2x 5.1x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. ▲ $14.46B 14.1x 5.4x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. ▲ $13.85B 103.6x 11.6x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc ▼ $12.95B 63.1x 82.2x
HUBS Hubspot Inc ▲ $11.52B 129.7x 7.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. ▲ $11.45B – 7.8x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. ▶ $11.34B 26.8x 19.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. ▲ $10.70B – 1.6x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc ▶ $10.69B 40.2x 8.9x
FROG Jfrog Ltd ▲ $10.40B – 10.8x
ESTC Elastic N.V. ▶ $9.63B 26.2x 7.4x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp ▼ $8.82B 33.8x 7.2x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. ▲ $8.79B – 9.5x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. ▶ $8.66B – 6.8x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. ▶ $8.03B 19.4x –
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. ▲ $7.83B – 8.5x
NTSK Netskope Inc ▲ $7.76B – 49.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc ▼ $7.51B 40.5x 14.3x
S Sentinelone, Inc. ▲ $7.51B – 5.2x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc ▼ $7.49B 24.8x 4.6x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. ▲ $7.15B – –
NICE Nice Ltd. ▶ $6.78B 17.6x 1.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. ▲ $6.70B 21.8x 3.4x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. ▲ $6.63B 17.0x 4.7x
NAVN Navan, Inc. ▲ $6.61B – 5.0x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. ▲ $6.56B – 7.0x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. ▲ $6.26B 31.3x 11.1x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc ▲ $6.18B 95.6x 118.7x
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. ▲ $5.88B – 0.4x
VRNS Varonis Systems Inc ▶ $5.60B – 12.6x

Where PRGS sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Progress Software Corp /Ma (PRGS) stock news

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FAQ

Progress Software Corp /Ma (PRGS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Progress Software Corp /Ma (PRGS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Progress Software Corp /Ma outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Progress Software Corp /Ma stock predictions?

For PRGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Progress Software Corp /Ma forecasts updated?

Progress Software Corp /Ma forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Progress Software Corp /Ma's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, PRGS included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.