Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, PSX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Phillips 66 is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $116.98B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PSX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How PSX ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Phillips 66 (PSX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $116.98B | 7/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.24x | 7/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.71x | 6/10 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.70% | 3/8 |
| EPS | $17.01 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $78.96 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $299.80 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 22.5% | 3/10 |
| ROA | 8.7% | 4/9 |
| Gross Margin | -10.5% | 8/11 |
| Net Margin | 5.9% | 5/11 |
Financial Health
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.32x | 6/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.00x | 3/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.56x | 8/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.60x | 6/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.0x | 4/8 |
| Working Capital | $5.87B | 6/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $8.93B | 7/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 165.5% | 3/10 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.46x | 5/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.2x | 7/11 |
| Inventory Turnover | 22.3x | 2/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.0x | 6/12 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 36 days | 5/11 |
| Days Inventory | 16 days | 10/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $119.63B | 5/13 |
| Net Income | $7.09B | 4/11 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.41B | 4/9 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $132.24B | 3/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PSX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.97 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 29.2% | 4/8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 399M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 312.9% | 1/9 |
| EPS Growth | 304.0% | 2/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $24.22B | 29.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $4.10B | 5.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $11.72B | 14.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $5.92B | 7.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $49.11B | 60.0% of assets |
PSX quarterly financials and insider trading
Phillips 66 (PSX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Phillips 66 (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PSX Phillips 66 | ▶ | $116.98B |
| CVX Chevron Corp | ▼ | $444.53B |
| COP Conocophillips | ▼ | $176.01B |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp | ▲ | $134.25B |
| BP Bp Plc | ▼ | $129.61B |
| VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx | ▶ | $128.04B |
| EQNR Equinor Asa | ▼ | $117.46B |
| IMO Imperial Oil Ltd | ▼ | $64.76B |
| YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima | ▶ | $20.49B |
| SUN Sunoco Lp | ▲ | $10.03B |
| PBF Pbf Energy Inc. | ▲ | $10.02B |
| CVI Cvr Energy Inc | ▲ | $6.17B |
| IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. | ▶ | $4.73B |
| DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.69B |
| SUNC Sunococorp Llc | ▲ | $3.73B |
Where PSX sits on the market map
Phillips 66 (PSX) stock news
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Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, PSX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Phillips 66 stock predictions?
For PSX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Phillips 66 forecasts updated?
Phillips 66 forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Phillips 66's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, PSX included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Bp Plc (BP), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.