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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 19.0% Spearman, 259 dates
Market Cap $23.30B large-cap · #24 of 60 peers
Summary

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Rubrik, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Rubrik, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $23.30B. It ranks number 24 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For RBRK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 259 forecast dates between 2024-06-14 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 302 forecast dates between 2024-06-14 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

RBRK price chart and AI forecast

RBRK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How RBRK ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-31

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRBRKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $23.30B $14.51B 24/60
EPS $-1.59 – –
Revenue/Share $7.44 – –
FCF/Share $1.47 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRBRKIndustry medianRank
ROA -9.8% 5.9% 44/48
ROIC -19.3% 7.6% 51/54
Gross Margin 80.2% 76.0% 17/56
Operating Margin -18.0% 8.9% 50/59
Net Margin -17.7% 14.3% 44/50
EBT Margin -14.3% 11.1% 49/59
Tax Rate -13.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricRBRKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.64x 1.55x 28/59
Quick Ratio 1.64x 1.64x 5/9
Interest Coverage -65.1x 9.2x 42/46
Working Capital $888M $541M 24/59

Cash Flow

MetricRBRKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $337M $648M 45/59
Free Cash Flow $304M $453M 37/50
Capital Spending -$33M -$24M 29/50
OCF Growth YoY 59.7% 27.8% 13/52
FCF Growth YoY 18.4% 22.7% 25/43
FCF/Sales 19.7% 25.7% 35/50
CapEx/Sales 2.1% 1.0% 12/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricRBRKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.54x 0.55x 26/49
Receivables Turnover 5.7x 6.4x 32/52
Inventory Turnover 45.2x 65.2x 6/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 16.6x 28.1x 35/51
Days Sales Outstanding 64 days 57 days 21/52
Days Inventory 8 days 6 days 3/8
Payables Period 27 days 24 days 23/55
Cash Conversion Cycle 45 days 25 days 3/6

Income Statement

MetricRBRKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.54B $2.51B 37/53
Operating Income -$282M $182M 53/59
Net Income -$278M $293M 44/50
R&D Expense $441M $502M 33/59
SG&A Expense $1.76B $1.59B 27/58
Cost of Goods Sold $305M $528M 45/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRBRKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 207M – –
EPS Growth -135.4% 22.3% 36/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.27B
Cash & Short-term Investments$416M
Accounts Receivable$269M
Inventory$7M
Total Liabilities$3.35B
Short-term Debt$1.36B
Quarterly Financial Reports

RBRK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Rubrik, Inc. (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. ▲ $23.30B – –
MSFT Microsoft Corp ▼ $3.93T 29.5x 8.9x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. ▲ $447.01B 204.4x 45.7x
ORCL Oracle Corp ▲ $387.73B 20.1x 5.8x
SAP Sap Se ▼ $275.54B 12.5x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. ▲ $232.83B 2526.6x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. ▲ $218.11B 120.2x 17.2x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. ▶ $198.10B 22.0x 5.8x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. ▲ $105.51B – 65.1x
ADBE Adobe Inc. ▼ $95.43B 13.7x 8.1x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. ▲ $88.73B 588.4x 20.3x
SNPS Synopsys Inc ▼ $87.12B 86.1x 2.8x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc ▼ $86.97B 74.5x 13.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. ▼ $80.22B – –
TEAM Atlassian Corp ▶ $52.61B – 49.7x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc ▼ $50.25B 50.8x 6.8x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. ▼ $50.14B 28.5x 14.8x
XYZ Block, Inc. ▶ $46.80B 56.4x 2.1x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc ▶ $38.38B – 10.6x
TWLO Twilio Inc ▲ $37.53B 36.2x 4.2x
RBLX Roblox Corp ▲ $35.39B – 232.9x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. ▲ $33.86B – 6.7x
OKTA Okta, Inc. ▲ $32.74B 117.8x 4.7x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. ▲ $27.19B – 9.1x
PTC Ptc Inc. ▶ $20.94B 17.6x 6.0x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc ▼ $19.73B 24.7x 3.0x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. ▶ $18.11B 13.0x –
DT Dynatrace, Inc. ▶ $17.66B 122.2x 7.2x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc ▼ $14.78B 47.9x 4.9x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd ▼ $14.56B 11.2x 5.1x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. ▲ $14.46B 14.1x 5.4x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. ▲ $13.85B 103.6x 11.6x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc ▶ $12.95B 63.1x 82.2x
HUBS Hubspot Inc ▲ $11.52B 129.7x 7.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. ▲ $11.45B – 7.8x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. ▲ $11.34B 26.8x 19.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. ▲ $10.70B – 1.6x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc ▶ $10.69B 40.2x 8.9x
FROG Jfrog Ltd ▲ $10.40B – 10.8x
ESTC Elastic N.V. ▶ $9.63B 26.2x 7.4x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp ▼ $8.82B 33.8x 7.2x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. ▲ $8.79B – 9.5x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. ▲ $8.66B – 6.8x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. ▲ $8.03B 19.4x –
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. ▲ $7.83B – 8.5x
NTSK Netskope Inc ▲ $7.76B – 49.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc ▼ $7.51B 40.5x 14.3x
S Sentinelone, Inc. ▲ $7.51B – 5.2x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc ▼ $7.49B 24.8x 4.6x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. ▲ $7.15B – –
NICE Nice Ltd. ▲ $6.78B 17.6x 1.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. ▲ $6.70B 21.8x 3.4x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. ▲ $6.63B 17.0x 4.7x
NAVN Navan, Inc. ▲ $6.61B – 5.0x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. ▲ $6.56B – 7.0x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. ▲ $6.26B 31.3x 11.1x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc ▲ $6.18B 95.6x 118.7x
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. ▶ $5.88B – 0.4x
VRNS Varonis Systems Inc ▶ $5.60B – 12.6x
BOX Box Inc ▲ $5.43B 63.8x –

Where RBRK sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) stock news

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FAQ

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Rubrik, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Rubrik, Inc. stock predictions?

For RBRK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 259 forecast dates between 2024-06-14 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 302 forecast dates between 2024-06-14 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Rubrik, Inc. forecasts updated?

Rubrik, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Rubrik, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, RBRK included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.