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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 4.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $5.15B mid-cap · #11 of 60 peers
Summary

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Riot Platforms, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Riot Platforms, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.15B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For RIOT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RIOT included.

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Price

RIOT price chart and AI forecast

RIOT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How RIOT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRIOTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.15B $1.34B 11/60
P/B Ratio 2.35x 1.39x 16/46
EPS $-4.65 – –
Book Value/Share $5.84 – –
Revenue/Share $1.80 – –
FCF/Share $-2.07 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRIOTIndustry medianRank
ROE -60.4% -7.5% 21/29
ROA -40.6% -1.0% 27/31
ROIC -47.9% -18.1% 20/26
Operating Margin -199.2% -187.7% 16/29
Net Margin -196.3% -3.0% 20/28
EBT Margin -205.3% -19.8% 26/41
Tax Rate 0.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricRIOTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.59x 1.94x 22/40
D/E Ratio 0.49x 1.66x 35/54
Financial Leverage 1.49x 2.80x 37/52
Interest Coverage -66.2x -2.4x 25/33
Working Capital $268M $149M 17/39

Cash Flow

MetricRIOTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$492M $9M 43/46
Free Cash Flow -$777M -$89M 25/32
Capital Spending -$284M -$22M 21/32
FCF/Sales -115.2% -19.6% 18/29
CapEx/Sales 42.2% 3.0% 9/29

Operational Efficiency

MetricRIOTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.21x 0.18x 14/35
Receivables Turnover 15.9x 15.9x 10/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.4x 11.3x 26/34
Days Sales Outstanding 23 days 23 days 10/19

Income Statement

MetricRIOTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $675M $523M 17/38
Operating Income -$1.34B -$115M 28/32
Net Income -$1.32B -$34M 26/32
SG&A Expense $310M $258M 9/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRIOTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 375M – –
EPS Growth -475.0% -4.8% 13/16

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$726M22.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$471M14.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$42M1.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.07B32.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$440M13.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RIOT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Finance Services

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Riot Platforms, Inc. (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. ▲ $5.15B – 2.4x
AXP American Express Co ▶ $211.77B 19.0x 6.2x
MSTR Strategy Inc ▲ $52.57B – 1.7x
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. ▲ $45.69B – 3.5x
SYF Synchrony Financial ▶ $23.97B 7.6x 1.4x
CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. ▲ $20.87B 19.5x 6.0x
SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. ▲ $18.79B 33.8x 1.7x
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. ▲ $13.07B – –
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. ▲ $11.23B 9.6x 8.0x
IREN Iren Ltd ▲ $10.64B – 2.5x
WULF Terawulf Inc. ▲ $5.83B – 39.6x
DAVE Dave Inc./De ▲ $4.96B 23.8x 23.9x
KLAR Klarna Group Plc ▶ $4.91B – –
BLSH Bullish ▲ $4.45B – –
CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx ▲ $4.33B – –
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. ▲ $3.73B – 6.6x
GPGI Gpgi, Inc. ▶ $3.61B – 1.1x
MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.91B – 1.8x
IOND Ionic Digital Inc. ▶ $2.83B – 5.5x
SII Sprott Inc. ▶ $2.79B 15.9x –
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.29B 42.1x 2.9x
CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. ▲ $2.15B – 2.8x
BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group ▲ $2.10B – –
ASST Strive, Inc. ▲ $2.06B – 419.9x
XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. ▲ $1.95B – –
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc ▲ $1.79B 2.8x 1.0x
WLTH Wealthfront Corp ▲ $1.66B – 2.7x
SECZ Securitize Corp. ▶ $1.61B – –
PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ▲ $1.44B 14.1x 2.4x
KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. ▲ $1.43B – 4.3x
PWP Perella Weinberg Partners ▲ $1.25B 27.1x –
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. ▶ $1.12B 44.1x 0.7x
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. ▶ $889M 22.6x –
GDOT Green Dot Corp ▶ $695M – 0.7x
BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. ▲ $691M – 1.6x
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. ▶ $681M – 1.5x
BUR Burford Capital Ltd ▲ $659M – 0.8x
VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. ▶ $581M 5.5x 0.8x
HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. ▲ $557M – 1.0x
ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. ▲ $551M – 0.8x
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. ▲ $510M – 1.1x
OPFI Oppfi Inc. ▲ $481M 2.9x –
GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. ▲ $463M – 1.0x
WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. ▲ $457M – 1.4x
OPRT Oportun Financial Corp ▲ $418M 16.2x 1.0x
BTBT Bit Digital, Inc ▲ $346M – 0.9x
SVIA Silvia, Inc. ▼ $323M – 1.2x
ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. ▲ $318M – 0.8x
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. ▲ $266M – 1.0x
USDE Stablecoinx Inc. ▼ $257M – –
MFIN Medallion Financial Corp ▲ $257M 6.9x 0.6x
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. ▲ $255M – –
BKKT Bakkt, Inc. ▲ $252M – 0.7x
SNFCA Security National Financial Corp ▶ $239M 6.9x 0.6x
ZSQR Z Squared Inc. ▲ $214M – 1.6x
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. ▲ $197M 10.5x 0.6x
LDI Loandepot, Inc. ▲ $181M – 0.9x
USBC Usbc, Inc. ▲ $170M – –
SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc ▲ $164M – 1.1x
AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd ▲ $159M – 0.9x

Where RIOT sits on the market map

Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
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News

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) stock news

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FAQ

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Riot Platforms, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Riot Platforms, Inc. stock predictions?

For RIOT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Riot Platforms, Inc. forecasts updated?

Riot Platforms, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Riot Platforms, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, RIOT included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: American Express Co (AXP), Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.