Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, SMP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Standard Motor Products, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $825M. It ranks number 20 by market capitalization among the 35 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SMP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SMP included.
Follow SMP freeSMP price chart and AI forecast
How SMP ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SMP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $825M | 20/35 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.11x | 9/20 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.15x | 20/30 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.43% | 2/12 |
| EPS | $2.04 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $32.13 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $82.21 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.90 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SMP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 7.1% | 13/25 |
| ROA | 2.5% | 15/29 |
| ROIC | 10.3% | 7/27 |
| Gross Margin | 32.0% | 8/34 |
| Operating Margin | 8.4% | 7/31 |
| Net Margin | 2.8% | 13/30 |
| EBT Margin | 6.8% | 9/35 |
| Tax Rate | 27.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SMP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.00x | 14/34 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.80x | 27/33 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.85x | 12/31 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.87x | 10/29 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.4x | 8/27 |
| Working Capital | $572M | 16/34 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SMP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $122M | 18/34 |
| Free Cash Flow | $87M | 15/27 |
| Capital Spending | -$34M | 10/27 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 50.3% | 3/25 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 115.1% | 1/22 |
| FCF/Sales | 4.8% | 11/27 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.9% | 20/27 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SMP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.89x | 17/26 |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.1x | 16/23 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.8x | 25/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.8x | 8/27 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 71 days | 8/23 |
| Days Inventory | 200 days | 7/32 |
| Payables Period | 53 days | 23/29 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 218 days | 4/21 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SMP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.84B | 18/28 |
| Operating Income | $154M | 12/31 |
| Net Income | $51M | 14/30 |
| SG&A Expense | $432M | 11/29 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.25B | 18/34 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SMP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.27 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 62.2% | 1/12 |
| Shares Outstanding | 22M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 29.4% | 5/18 |
| EPS Growth | 27.5% | 4/20 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.14B | 55.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $79M | 3.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $358M | 17.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $684M | 33.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.33B | 64.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $388M | 18.8% of assets |
SMP quarterly financials and insider trading
Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Standard Motor Products, Inc. (Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories): 36 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. | ▶ | $825M |
| MGA Magna International Inc | ▼ | $18.49B |
| BWA Borgwarner Inc | ▶ | $11.84B |
| APTV Aptiv Plc | ▼ | $9.31B |
| ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc | ▶ | $9.23B |
| ALV Autoliv Inc | ▶ | $8.49B |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Co | ▶ | $7.91B |
| LEA Lear Corp | ▶ | $5.92B |
| GTX Garrett Motion Inc. | ▶ | $4.75B |
| GNTX Gentex Corp | ▶ | $4.43B |
| DORM Dorman Products, Inc. | ▶ | $3.68B |
| VGNT Versigent Plc | ▶ | $3.13B |
| DAN Dana Inc | ▼ | $3.12B |
| VC Visteon Corp | ▼ | $2.33B |
| PATK Patrick Industries Inc | ▼ | $2.19B |
| PHIN Phinia Inc. | ▶ | $2.12B |
| LCII Lci Industries | ▼ | $2.04B |
| THRM Gentherm Inc | ▶ | $1.58B |
| ADNT Adient Plc | ▶ | $1.40B |
| DCH Dauch Corp | ▲ | $1.15B |
| AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $699M |
| CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $370M |
| SCTH Securetech Innovations, Inc. | ▶ | $325M |
| HLLY Holley Inc. | ▲ | $302M |
| STRT Strattec Security Corp | ▶ | $241M |
| MPAA Motorcar Parts Of America Inc | ▶ | $195M |
| SRI Stoneridge Inc | ▶ | $173M |
| ECXJ Cxj Group Co., Ltd | ▶ | $132M |
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. | ▼ | $117M |
| INVZ Innoviz Technologies Ltd. | ▲ | $81M |
| XOS Xos, Inc. | ▶ | $43M |
| LIDR Aeye, Inc. | ▼ | $40M |
| AZIO Azio Ai Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $16M |
| WKSP Worksport Ltd | ▶ | $6M |
| OMTK Omnitek Engineering Corp | ▼ | $550K |
| ATVK Globaltek Ventures, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where SMP sits on the market map
Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) stock news
Loading...
Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, SMP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Standard Motor Products, Inc. stock predictions?
For SMP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Standard Motor Products, Inc. forecasts updated?
Standard Motor Products, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Standard Motor Products, Inc.'s industry peers?
36 issuers in our coverage, SMP included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories. The largest are: Magna International Inc (MGA), Borgwarner Inc (BWA), Aptiv Plc (APTV), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN), Autoliv Inc (ALV), Modine Manufacturing Co (MOD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.