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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Atlassian Corp (TEAM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 78.0% Spearman, 343 dates
Market Cap $52.61B large-cap · #14 of 60 peers
Summary

Atlassian Corp (TEAM) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, TEAM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Atlassian Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $52.61B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TEAM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 78.0%, measured on 343 forecast dates between 2022-11-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 386 forecast dates between 2022-11-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TEAM included.

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Price

TEAM price chart and AI forecast

TEAM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TEAM ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Atlassian Corp (TEAM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTEAMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $52.61B $14.51B 14/60
P/B Ratio 49.70x 7.32x 5/52
EPS $-0.21 – –
Book Value/Share $4.18 – –
Revenue/Share $25.96 – –
FCF/Share $5.21 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTEAMIndustry medianRank
ROE -5.1% 13.7% 38/47
ROA -0.9% 5.9% 34/48
ROIC 0.4% 7.6% 36/54
Gross Margin 84.8% 76.0% 6/56
Operating Margin 0.2% 8.9% 39/59
Net Margin -0.8% 14.3% 35/50
EBT Margin 0.3% 11.1% 39/59
Tax Rate 344.1% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricTEAMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.78x 1.55x 55/59
D/E Ratio 4.77x 0.78x 7/53
Financial Leverage 5.77x 1.80x 7/51
Interest Coverage 3.9x 9.2x 31/46
Working Capital -$774M $541M 53/59

Cash Flow

MetricTEAMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.35B $648M 19/59
Free Cash Flow $1.32B $453M 13/50
Capital Spending -$34M -$24M 30/50
OCF Growth YoY -7.3% 27.8% 51/52
FCF Growth YoY -6.8% 22.7% 41/43
FCF/Sales 20.1% 25.7% 34/50
CapEx/Sales 0.5% 1.0% 38/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricTEAMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.08x 0.55x 4/49
Receivables Turnover 5.2x 6.4x 36/52
Fixed Assets Turnover 76.2x 28.1x 9/51
Days Sales Outstanding 71 days 57 days 17/52
Payables Period 96 days 24 days 6/55

Income Statement

MetricTEAMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.57B $2.51B 12/53
Operating Income $10M $182M 39/59
Net Income -$54M $293M 38/50
R&D Expense $3.27B $502M 6/59
SG&A Expense $5.51B $1.59B 7/58
Cost of Goods Sold $997M $528M 17/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTEAMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 253M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.80B45.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.24B20.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.27B20.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$5.05B82.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$3.31B54.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TEAM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Atlassian Corp (TEAM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Atlassian Corp (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TEAM Atlassian Corp ▶ $52.61B – 49.7x
MSFT Microsoft Corp ▼ $3.93T 29.5x 8.9x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. ▲ $447.01B 204.4x 45.7x
ORCL Oracle Corp ▲ $387.73B 20.1x 5.8x
SAP Sap Se ▼ $275.54B 12.5x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. ▲ $232.83B 2526.6x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. ▲ $218.11B 120.2x 17.2x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. ▶ $198.10B 22.0x 5.8x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. ▲ $105.51B – 65.1x
ADBE Adobe Inc. ▼ $95.43B 13.7x 8.1x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. ▲ $88.73B 588.4x 20.3x
SNPS Synopsys Inc ▶ $87.12B 86.1x 2.8x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc ▶ $86.97B 74.5x 13.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. ▼ $80.22B – –
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc ▼ $50.25B 50.8x 6.8x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. ▼ $50.14B 28.5x 14.8x
XYZ Block, Inc. ▶ $46.80B 56.4x 2.1x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc ▼ $38.38B – 10.6x
TWLO Twilio Inc ▲ $37.53B 36.2x 4.2x
RBLX Roblox Corp ▲ $35.39B – 232.9x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. ▲ $33.86B – 6.7x
OKTA Okta, Inc. ▲ $32.74B 117.8x 4.7x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. ▲ $27.19B – 9.1x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. ▲ $23.30B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. ▶ $20.94B 17.6x 6.0x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc ▼ $19.73B 24.7x 3.0x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. ▶ $18.11B 13.0x –
DT Dynatrace, Inc. ▶ $17.66B 122.2x 7.2x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc ▼ $14.78B 47.9x 4.9x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd ▼ $14.56B 11.2x 5.1x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. ▲ $14.46B 14.1x 5.4x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. ▲ $13.85B 103.6x 11.6x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc ▼ $12.95B 63.1x 82.2x
HUBS Hubspot Inc ▲ $11.52B 129.7x 7.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. ▲ $11.45B – 7.8x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. ▶ $11.34B 26.8x 19.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. ▲ $10.70B – 1.6x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc ▶ $10.69B 40.2x 8.9x
FROG Jfrog Ltd ▲ $10.40B – 10.8x
ESTC Elastic N.V. ▶ $9.63B 26.2x 7.4x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp ▼ $8.82B 33.8x 7.2x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. ▲ $8.79B – 9.5x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. ▶ $8.66B – 6.8x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. ▶ $8.03B 19.4x –
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. ▲ $7.83B – 8.5x
NTSK Netskope Inc ▲ $7.76B – 49.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc ▼ $7.51B 40.5x 14.3x
S Sentinelone, Inc. ▲ $7.51B – 5.2x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc ▼ $7.49B 24.8x 4.6x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. ▲ $7.15B – –
NICE Nice Ltd. ▶ $6.78B 17.6x 1.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. ▲ $6.70B 21.8x 3.4x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. ▲ $6.63B 17.0x 4.7x
NAVN Navan, Inc. ▲ $6.61B – 5.0x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. ▲ $6.56B – 7.0x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. ▲ $6.26B 31.3x 11.1x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc ▲ $6.18B 95.6x 118.7x
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. ▲ $5.88B – 0.4x
VRNS Varonis Systems Inc ▶ $5.60B – 12.6x
BOX Box Inc ▶ $5.43B 63.8x –

Where TEAM sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Atlassian Corp (TEAM) stock news

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FAQ

Atlassian Corp (TEAM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Atlassian Corp (TEAM) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, TEAM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Atlassian Corp stock predictions?

For TEAM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 78.0%, measured on 343 forecast dates between 2022-11-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 386 forecast dates between 2022-11-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Atlassian Corp forecasts updated?

Atlassian Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Atlassian Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TEAM included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.