Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Valero Energy Corp/Tx outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Valero Energy Corp/Tx is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $128.04B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 1.64x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
For VLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How VLO ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | VLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $128.04B | 5/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.51x | 6/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.91x | 4/10 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.10% | 7/8 |
| EPS | $24.03 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $90.50 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $484.14 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | VLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.1% | 5/10 |
| Gross Margin | 8.0% | 5/11 |
| Operating Margin | 7.9% | 3/8 |
| Net Margin | 3.9% | 8/11 |
| EBT Margin | 7.8% | 6/11 |
| Tax Rate | 22.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | VLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.64x | 1/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.23x | 2/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.30x | 9/13 |
| Interest Coverage | 35.8x | 1/8 |
| Working Capital | $11.93B | 2/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | VLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $10.91B | 6/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 156.5% | 5/10 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | VLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | 10.0x | 8/11 |
| Inventory Turnover | 16.8x | 3/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.2x | 3/12 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 36 days | 4/11 |
| Days Inventory | 22 days | 9/11 |
| Payables Period | 41 days | 5/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 17 days | 4/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | VLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $139.40B | 4/13 |
| Operating Income | $10.01B | 4/8 |
| Net Income | $4.98B | 6/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $128.20B | 4/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | VLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.89 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 20.4% | 6/8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 288M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 0.0% | 5/9 |
| EPS Growth | 861.2% | 1/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $30.67B | 49.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $7.87B | 12.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $13.93B | 22.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $7.62B | 12.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $33.75B | 53.9% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $4.32B | 6.9% of assets |
VLO quarterly financials and insider trading
Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Valero Energy Corp/Tx (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx | ▼ | $128.04B |
| CVX Chevron Corp | ▼ | $444.53B |
| COP Conocophillips | ▼ | $176.01B |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp | ▶ | $134.25B |
| BP Bp Plc | ▼ | $129.61B |
| EQNR Equinor Asa | ▼ | $117.46B |
| PSX Phillips 66 | ▼ | $116.98B |
| IMO Imperial Oil Ltd | ▼ | $64.76B |
| YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima | ▼ | $20.49B |
| SUN Sunoco Lp | ▶ | $10.03B |
| PBF Pbf Energy Inc. | ▲ | $10.02B |
| CVI Cvr Energy Inc | ▶ | $6.17B |
| IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. | ▼ | $4.73B |
| DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.69B |
| SUNC Sunococorp Llc | ▶ | $3.73B |
Where VLO sits on the market map
Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock news
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Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Valero Energy Corp/Tx outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Valero Energy Corp/Tx stock predictions?
For VLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Valero Energy Corp/Tx forecasts updated?
Valero Energy Corp/Tx forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Valero Energy Corp/Tx's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, VLO included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Bp Plc (BP), Equinor Asa (EQNR), Phillips 66 (PSX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.