Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, AVBC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $439M. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 31 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AVBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -26.0%, measured on 176 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -16.0%, measured on 219 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AVBC ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AVBC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $439M | 9/31 |
| P/E Ratio | 104.57x | 4/27 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.13x | 10/31 |
| EPS | $0.21 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $19.51 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $5.68 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.41 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AVBC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| EBT Margin | 20.7% | 18/28 |
| Tax Rate | 25.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AVBC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 6.14x | 22/33 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.14x | 20/31 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AVBC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $51M | 7/28 |
| Free Cash Flow | $48M | 6/19 |
| Capital Spending | -$3M | 14/18 |
| FCF/Sales | 42.5% | 5/19 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.8% | 9/18 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AVBC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.04x | 4/25 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.9x | 14/25 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AVBC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $113M | 8/27 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AVBC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 20M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $19M | 0.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.39B | 86.0% of assets |
AVBC quarterly financials and insider trading
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $439M |
| FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association | ▼ | $4.60B |
| BBT Beacon Financial Corp | ▶ | $2.30B |
| HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ | ▶ | $1.13B |
| NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $958M |
| SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $773M |
| TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. | ▶ | $691M |
| GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc | ▼ | $587M |
| HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $519M |
| PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md | ▼ | $437M |
| NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ | ▶ | $380M |
| TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $354M |
| FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ | ▼ | $262M |
| RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $201M |
| ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ | ▲ | $172M |
| SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $146M |
| HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $136M |
| WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ | ▼ | $120M |
| BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. | ▼ | $116M |
| CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ | ▼ | $97M |
| FNWB First Northwest Bancorp | ▶ | $91M |
| FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. | ▼ | $61M |
| TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. | ▼ | $49M |
| MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ | ▼ | $44M |
| QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $38M |
| PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $34M |
| URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $30M |
| GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ | ▶ | $22M |
| MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $21M |
| PNSB Psb Financial, Inc. | ▼ | $19M |
| CSBA Csb Financial Inc. | ▼ | $19M |
| FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ | ▼ | N/A |
| VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where AVBC sits on the market map
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock news
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Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, AVBC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Avidia Bancorp, Inc. stock predictions?
For AVBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -26.0%, measured on 176 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -16.0%, measured on 219 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Avidia Bancorp, Inc. forecasts updated?
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Avidia Bancorp, Inc.'s industry peers?
33 issuers in our coverage, AVBC included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.