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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -25.0% Spearman, 191 dates
Market Cap $452M small-cap · #10 of 30 peers
Summary

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Avidia Bancorp, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $452M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 30 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AVBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -25.0%, measured on 191 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -18.0%, measured on 234 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AVBC included.

Price

AVBC price chart and AI forecast

AVBC
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How AVBC ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAVBCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $452M $170M 10/30
P/E Ratio 107.67x 18.57x 4/25
P/B Ratio 1.16x 0.95x 8/30
EPS $0.21 – –
Book Value/Share $19.51 – –
Revenue/Share $5.68 – –
FCF/Share $2.41 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAVBCIndustry medianRank
EBT Margin 20.7% 24.0% 18/27
Tax Rate 25.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricAVBCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 6.14x 6.94x 22/33
Financial Leverage 7.14x 7.86x 20/31

Cash Flow

MetricAVBCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $51M $14M 6/27
Free Cash Flow $48M $22M 6/19
Capital Spending -$3M -$2M 14/18
FCF/Sales 42.5% 27.0% 6/19
CapEx/Sales 2.8% 2.8% 9/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricAVBCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 4/24
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.9x 3.9x 13/24

Income Statement

MetricAVBCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $113M $47M 8/26

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAVBCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 20M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$19M0.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.39B86.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AVBC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. $452M 107.7x 1.2x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association $4.37B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp $2.56B 26.8x 2.1x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ $1.16B 15.2x 1.1x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. $968M 14.8x 1.1x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. $778M 11.0x 2.3x
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. $644M 10.2x 1.0x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc $613M 14.9x 2.2x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. $480M 10.8x 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md $453M 130.3x 1.4x
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ $399M 9.2x 1.1x
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc $371M 9.9x 1.4x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ $269M 842.9x 1.0x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. $203M 14.3x 1.5x
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ $188M 18.6x 1.1x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. $151M 718.7x 0.9x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. $148M 35.3x 0.8x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ $127M 26.2x 1.1x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. $120M 44.8x 0.8x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ $97M 34.5x 1.0x
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp $96M – 0.7x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. $62M 9.5x 0.9x
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. $49M 15.4x 0.9x
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ $43M 21.8x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. $32M – 0.8x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. $31M 18.9x 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ $22M 29.1x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. $20M 15.9x 0.9x
CSBA Csb Financial Inc. $20M – 1.2x
PNSB Psb Financial, Inc. $19M – 0.6x
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ N/A – –
NARA Narragansett Bancorp, Inc. N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. N/A – –

Where AVBC sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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News

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock news

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FAQ

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Avidia Bancorp, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Avidia Bancorp, Inc. stock predictions?

For AVBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -25.0%, measured on 191 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -18.0%, measured on 234 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Avidia Bancorp, Inc. forecasts updated?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Avidia Bancorp, Inc.'s industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, AVBC included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.