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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (MBBC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 19.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $44M small-cap · #24 of 31 peers
Summary

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (MBBC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $44M. It ranks number 24 by market capitalization among the 31 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MBBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MBBC included.

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Price

MBBC price chart and AI forecast

MBBC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MBBC ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (MBBC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMBBCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $44M $148M 24/31
P/E Ratio 22.27x 20.14x 13/27
P/B Ratio 0.92x 0.95x 17/31
EPS $0.66 – –
Book Value/Share $15.93 – –
Revenue/Share $2.99 – –
FCF/Share $0.67 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMBBCIndustry medianRank
ROE 3.7% 5.5% 16/27
ROA 0.7% 0.7% 13/25
Net Margin 19.9% 20.1% 15/27
EBT Margin 23.7% 23.9% 15/28
Tax Rate 16.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricMBBCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 4.44x 6.95x 28/33
Financial Leverage 5.44x 7.60x 26/31

Cash Flow

MetricMBBCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2M $18M 25/28
Free Cash Flow $2M $22M 16/19
Capital Spending -$430K -$2M 5/18
OCF Growth YoY 69.3% 39.6% 8/22
FCF Growth YoY 59.1% 31.5% 6/14
FCF/Sales 22.4% 27.3% 15/19
CapEx/Sales 4.8% 2.8% 5/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricMBBCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.03x 13/25
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.3x 3.9x 21/25

Income Statement

MetricMBBCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9M $41M 25/27
Net Income $2M $4M 19/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMBBCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 3M – –
Net Income Growth 4120.0% 22.9% 1/20
EPS Growth 3200.0% 29.6% 1/18

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$3M1.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$213M81.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MBBC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (MBBC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $44M 22.3x 0.9x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association ▶ $4.60B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp ▶ $2.30B 24.1x 1.9x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ ▶ $1.13B 13.6x 1.0x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $958M 14.8x 1.1x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $770M 10.9x 2.3x
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $690M 10.6x 1.0x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc ▼ $587M 14.3x 2.1x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $519M 11.0x 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md ▶ $440M 126.7x 1.3x
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $436M 104.0x 1.1x
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▲ $380M 8.8x 1.1x
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc ▲ $353M 9.4x 1.3x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $262M 821.9x 0.9x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $201M 14.1x 1.4x
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $173M 17.1x 1.0x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $148M 35.1x 0.8x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $136M 646.7x 0.8x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $120M 26.4x 1.0x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. ▶ $117M 43.5x 0.8x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $96M 34.0x 1.0x
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp ▶ $92M 60.2x 0.6x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $61M 9.3x 0.9x
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $50M 15.4x 0.9x
QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $38M 72.5x 0.7x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $34M 20.1x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $30M – 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▲ $22M 28.0x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $20M 16.1x 0.9x
CSBA Csb Financial Inc. ▼ $19M – 1.2x
PNSB Psb Financial, Inc. ▼ $19M – 0.6x
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where MBBC sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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News

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (MBBC) stock news

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FAQ

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (MBBC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (MBBC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ stock predictions?

For MBBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ forecasts updated?

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/'s industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, MBBC included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.