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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Dexcom Inc (DXCM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 47.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $32.47B large-cap · #7 of 60 peers
Summary

Dexcom Inc (DXCM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Dexcom Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Dexcom Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $32.47B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 60 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DXCM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 47.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DXCM included.

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Price

DXCM price chart and AI forecast

DXCM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DXCM ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Dexcom Inc (DXCM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDXCMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $32.47B $1.39B 7/60
P/E Ratio 37.74x 30.39x 10/25
P/B Ratio 12.39x 4.52x 10/55
EPS $2.28 – –
Book Value/Share $6.95 – –
Revenue/Share $13.17 – –
FCF/Share $3.72 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDXCMIndustry medianRank
ROE 38.1% -8.0% 2/41
ROA 15.5% -4.3% 4/44
ROIC 27.8% -1.4% 3/53
Gross Margin 62.5% 65.0% 31/53
Operating Margin 22.9% -1.1% 6/54
Net Margin 20.1% -3.1% 4/43
EBT Margin 25.8% -0.0% 6/54
Tax Rate 21.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricDXCMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.73x 3.85x 52/59
Quick Ratio 1.43x 2.51x 41/55
D/E Ratio 1.46x 0.63x 15/56
Financial Leverage 2.46x 1.63x 15/54
Interest Coverage 144.7x 0.3x 2/48
Working Capital $1.73B $227M 7/59

Cash Flow

MetricDXCMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.75B $42M 6/55
Free Cash Flow $1.41B $2M 6/50
Capital Spending -$344M -$16M 45/50
OCF Growth YoY 77.0% 18.1% 6/33
FCF Growth YoY 146.2% 24.4% 4/25
FCF/Sales 28.3% 0.5% 3/49
CapEx/Sales 6.9% 3.6% 6/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricDXCMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.77x 0.72x 21/50
Receivables Turnover 4.0x 6.4x 50/51
Inventory Turnover 2.6x 2.0x 17/51
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.1x 6.3x 46/52
Days Sales Outstanding 92 days 57 days 2/51
Days Inventory 142 days 186 days 35/51
Payables Period 429 days 51 days 3/46
Cash Conversion Cycle -194 days 192 days 40/42

Income Statement

MetricDXCMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.97B $622M 8/52
Operating Income $1.14B -$2M 7/55
Net Income $1000M -$11M 6/44
R&D Expense $604M $61M 5/53
SG&A Expense $1.36B $319M 7/53
Cost of Goods Sold $1.86B $167M 10/53

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDXCMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 377M – –
Net Income Growth 74.9% 15.8% 3/19
EPS Growth 50.0% 14.3% 6/21

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$4.09B63.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.10B17.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.26B19.5% of assets
Inventory$726M11.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.83B59.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$166M2.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DXCM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus

Dexcom Inc (DXCM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Dexcom Inc (Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DXCM Dexcom Inc ▼ $32.47B 37.7x 12.4x
SYK Stryker Corp ▼ $112.48B 30.4x 4.7x
MMM 3m Co ▶ $85.26B 29.4x 28.9x
BSX Boston Scientific Corp ▼ $64.33B 22.0x 2.6x
BDX Becton Dickinson & Co ▼ $52.23B 62.3x 2.1x
MDLN Medline Inc. ▶ $48.08B – 4.2x
RMD Resmed Inc ▼ $34.94B 23.2x 5.3x
WST West Pharmaceutical Services Inc ▼ $26.96B 49.0x 9.0x
SOLV Solventum Corp ▼ $14.96B 9.9x 3.1x
BAX Baxter International Inc ▼ $13.07B – 2.1x
PEN Penumbra Inc ▼ $12.65B 98.8x 8.3x
GMED Globus Medical Inc ▼ $10.30B 21.7x 5.2x
GKOS Glaukos Corp ▲ $9.72B – 14.3x
PODD Insulet Corp ▼ $9.62B 23.8x 6.8x
TFX Teleflex Inc ▼ $5.43B – 1.9x
HAE Haemonetics Corp ▶ $5.38B 57.1x 6.4x
MMSI Merit Medical Systems Inc ▼ $5.35B 40.0x 3.2x
STVN Stevanato Group S.P.A. ▲ $5.26B 8.4x –
MMED Minimed Group, Inc. ▲ $5.06B – 1.4x
HTFL Heartflow, Inc. ▲ $4.20B – 15.0x
ICUI Icu Medical Inc/De ▼ $4.08B 291.0x 1.9x
IRTC Irhythm Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.58B – 19.3x
PLSE Pulse Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $3.25B – 32.7x
ATRC Atricure, Inc. ▲ $2.85B 800.9x 5.5x
UFPT Ufp Technologies Inc ▼ $2.30B 32.1x 5.0x
INSP Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. ▲ $1.99B 13.7x 2.4x
LMAT Lemaitre Vascular Inc ▶ $1.90B 31.3x 4.5x
NVCR Novocure Ltd ▲ $1.68B – 5.0x
KMTS Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. ▲ $1.62B – 7.3x
ATEC Alphatec Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.62B – –
DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. ▶ $1.16B – 15.0x
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc ▲ $1.15B – 8.8x
IRMD Iradimed Corp ▶ $1.13B 51.6x 11.1x
AORT Artivion, Inc. ▶ $1.06B – 2.4x
PRCT Procept Biorobotics Corp ▲ $1.04B – 3.1x
IART Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp ▶ $1.03B – 1.0x
BVS Bioventus Inc. ▶ $908M 19.3x 4.0x
SIBN Si-Bone, Inc. ▶ $892M – 4.9x
BBNX Beta Bionics, Inc. ▲ $863M – 3.4x
SGP Spyglass Pharma, Inc. ▲ $827M – 3.6x
MDXG Mimedx Group, Inc. ▶ $682M 29.3x 3.2x
KIDS Orthopediatrics Corp ▶ $589M – 1.7x
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc ▼ $528M 22.8x 2.4x
SSII Ss Innovations International, Inc. ▲ $517M – 9.7x
DCTH Delcath Systems, Inc. ▲ $497M 201.1x 4.1x
SGHT Sight Sciences, Inc. ▲ $485M – 9.2x
ANGO Angiodynamics Inc ▲ $473M – 2.9x
BWAY Brainsway Ltd. ▶ $448M – –
CERS Cerus Corp ▲ $439M – 6.3x
NPCE Neuropace Inc ▶ $439M – 36.9x
RCEL Avita Medical, Inc. ▲ $415M – –
OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. ▼ $391M – 0.9x
CARL Carlsmed, Inc. ▲ $366M – 4.4x
EMBC Embecta Corp. ▶ $355M 5.2x –
OBIO Orchestra Biomed Holdings, Inc. ▲ $345M – 17.9x
CLPT Clearpoint Neuro, Inc. ▲ $277M – 25.7x
MOBI Mobia Medical, Inc. ▼ $277M – 1.6x
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. ▲ $268M – 4.0x
ANIK Anika Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $267M – 2.0x
OSUR Orasure Technologies Inc ▲ $263M – 0.8x

Where DXCM sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
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News

Dexcom Inc (DXCM) stock news

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FAQ

Dexcom Inc (DXCM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Dexcom Inc (DXCM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Dexcom Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Dexcom Inc stock predictions?

For DXCM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 47.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Dexcom Inc forecasts updated?

Dexcom Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Dexcom Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, DXCM included, share the SEC industry code Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus. The largest are: Stryker Corp (SYK), 3m Co (MMM), Boston Scientific Corp (BSX), Becton Dickinson & Co (BDX), Medline Inc. (MDLN), Resmed Inc (RMD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.