Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Avita Medical, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Avita Medical, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $403M. It ranks number 51 by market capitalization among the 60 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 0.41x is the lowest of the 59 peers that report one.
For RCEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RCEL included.
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How RCEL ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | RCEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $403M | 51/60 |
| EPS | $-1.61 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $2.45 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.80 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | RCEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | -90.2% | 44/44 |
| ROIC | 168.2% | 1/53 |
| Gross Margin | 81.6% | 5/53 |
| Operating Margin | -46.6% | 47/54 |
| Net Margin | -57.0% | 35/43 |
| EBT Margin | -56.9% | 48/54 |
| Tax Rate | -0.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | RCEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41x | 59/59 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.34x | 55/55 |
| Interest Coverage | -4.7x | 35/48 |
| Working Capital | -$40M | 58/59 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | RCEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$24M | 45/55 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$25M | 35/50 |
| Capital Spending | -$390K | 4/50 |
| FCF/Sales | -32.5% | 42/49 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.5% | 46/49 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | RCEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.58x | 2/50 |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.7x | 10/51 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.6x | 15/51 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.8x | 17/52 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 48 days | 42/51 |
| Days Inventory | 138 days | 37/51 |
Income Statement
| Metric | RCEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $76M | 48/52 |
| Operating Income | -$35M | 37/55 |
| Net Income | -$43M | 30/44 |
| R&D Expense | $20M | 42/53 |
| SG&A Expense | $90M | 43/53 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $14M | 49/53 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | RCEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 31M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $28M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $9M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $10M | |
| Inventory | $5M | |
| Total Liabilities | $76M |
RCEL quarterly financials and insider trading
Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Avita Medical, Inc. (Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| RCEL Avita Medical, Inc. | ▲ | $403M |
| SYK Stryker Corp | ▼ | $113.02B |
| MMM 3m Co | ▶ | $84.97B |
| BSX Boston Scientific Corp | ▼ | $64.33B |
| BDX Becton Dickinson & Co | ▼ | $52.23B |
| MDLN Medline Inc. | ▶ | $47.28B |
| RMD Resmed Inc | ▼ | $34.47B |
| DXCM Dexcom Inc | ▼ | $32.47B |
| WST West Pharmaceutical Services Inc | ▼ | $27.03B |
| SOLV Solventum Corp | ▼ | $14.61B |
| BAX Baxter International Inc | ▼ | $13.07B |
| PEN Penumbra Inc | ▼ | $12.64B |
| GMED Globus Medical Inc | ▼ | $10.30B |
| PODD Insulet Corp | ▼ | $9.79B |
| GKOS Glaukos Corp | ▲ | $9.72B |
| TFX Teleflex Inc | ▼ | $5.53B |
| HAE Haemonetics Corp | ▶ | $5.38B |
| MMSI Merit Medical Systems Inc | ▼ | $5.33B |
| STVN Stevanato Group S.P.A. | ▲ | $5.16B |
| MMED Minimed Group, Inc. | ▲ | $4.92B |
| HTFL Heartflow, Inc. | ▲ | $4.20B |
| ICUI Icu Medical Inc/De | ▼ | $4.08B |
| IRTC Irhythm Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $3.58B |
| PLSE Pulse Biosciences, Inc. | ▲ | $3.17B |
| ATRC Atricure, Inc. | ▲ | $2.85B |
| UFPT Ufp Technologies Inc | ▼ | $2.26B |
| INSP Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. | ▲ | $1.99B |
| LMAT Lemaitre Vascular Inc | ▶ | $1.85B |
| NVCR Novocure Ltd | ▲ | $1.64B |
| KMTS Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. | ▲ | $1.62B |
| ATEC Alphatec Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.62B |
| TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc | ▲ | $1.13B |
| IRMD Iradimed Corp | ▶ | $1.13B |
| DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. | ▶ | $1.08B |
| AORT Artivion, Inc. | ▶ | $1.06B |
| IART Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp | ▶ | $1.03B |
| PRCT Procept Biorobotics Corp | ▲ | $1.01B |
| BVS Bioventus Inc. | ▶ | $908M |
| SIBN Si-Bone, Inc. | ▶ | $882M |
| BBNX Beta Bionics, Inc. | ▲ | $863M |
| SGP Spyglass Pharma, Inc. | ▶ | $803M |
| MDXG Mimedx Group, Inc. | ▲ | $646M |
| KIDS Orthopediatrics Corp | ▶ | $573M |
| TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc | ▼ | $510M |
| SSII Ss Innovations International, Inc. | ▲ | $507M |
| DCTH Delcath Systems, Inc. | ▲ | $497M |
| ANGO Angiodynamics Inc | ▲ | $473M |
| SGHT Sight Sciences, Inc. | ▲ | $456M |
| BWAY Brainsway Ltd. | ▶ | $448M |
| CERS Cerus Corp | ▶ | $439M |
| NPCE Neuropace Inc | ▶ | $420M |
| OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. | ▼ | $382M |
| CARL Carlsmed, Inc. | ▲ | $366M |
| EMBC Embecta Corp. | ▶ | $355M |
| OBIO Orchestra Biomed Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $328M |
| CLPT Clearpoint Neuro, Inc. | ▲ | $277M |
| MOBI Mobia Medical, Inc. | ▼ | $269M |
| ANIK Anika Therapeutics, Inc. | ▶ | $267M |
| TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. | ▲ | $252M |
| OSUR Orasure Technologies Inc | ▲ | $249M |
Where RCEL sits on the market map
Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) stock news
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Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Avita Medical, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Avita Medical, Inc. stock predictions?
For RCEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Avita Medical, Inc. forecasts updated?
Avita Medical, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Avita Medical, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, RCEL included, share the SEC industry code Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus. The largest are: Stryker Corp (SYK), 3m Co (MMM), Boston Scientific Corp (BSX), Becton Dickinson & Co (BDX), Medline Inc. (MDLN), Resmed Inc (RMD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.