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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Tactile Systems Technology Inc (TCMD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $510M small-cap · #44 of 60 peers
Summary

Tactile Systems Technology Inc (TCMD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Tactile Systems Technology Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Tactile Systems Technology Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $510M. It ranks number 44 by market capitalization among the 60 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TCMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

TCMD price chart and AI forecast

TCMD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TCMD ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Tactile Systems Technology Inc (TCMD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTCMDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $510M $1.37B 44/60
P/E Ratio 22.08x 30.38x 18/25
P/B Ratio 2.28x 4.40x 44/55
EPS $1.02 – –
Book Value/Share $9.88 – –
Revenue/Share $15.46 – –
FCF/Share $1.18 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTCMDIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.1% -8.0% 15/41
ROA 8.9% -4.3% 11/44
ROIC 14.5% -1.4% 12/53
Gross Margin 76.8% 65.0% 12/53
Operating Margin 10.0% -1.1% 19/54
Net Margin 7.1% -3.1% 18/43
EBT Margin 10.7% -0.0% 18/54
Tax Rate 33.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricTCMDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.12x 3.85x 29/59
Quick Ratio 3.68x 2.51x 20/55
D/E Ratio 0.25x 0.63x 46/56
Financial Leverage 1.25x 1.63x 45/54
Interest Coverage 525.1x 0.3x 1/48
Working Capital $119M $227M 41/59

Cash Flow

MetricTCMDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $31M $42M 29/55
Free Cash Flow $27M $2M 21/50
Capital Spending -$4M -$16M 12/50
OCF Growth YoY -26.8% 18.1% 28/33
FCF Growth YoY -32.3% 24.4% 21/25
FCF/Sales 7.7% 0.5% 21/49
CapEx/Sales 1.1% 3.6% 42/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricTCMDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.25x 0.72x 5/50
Receivables Turnover 8.1x 6.4x 8/51
Inventory Turnover 4.8x 2.0x 5/51
Fixed Assets Turnover 59.9x 6.3x 3/52
Days Sales Outstanding 45 days 57 days 44/51
Days Inventory 76 days 186 days 47/51
Payables Period 36 days 51 days 40/46
Cash Conversion Cycle 85 days 192 days 35/42

Income Statement

MetricTCMDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $350M $622M 32/52
Operating Income $35M -$2M 22/55
Net Income $25M -$11M 18/44
R&D Expense $10M $61M 50/53
SG&A Expense $238M $319M 32/53
Cost of Goods Sold $81M $167M 33/53

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTCMDIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 23M – –
Net Income Growth 64.5% 15.8% 4/19
EPS Growth 54.5% 14.3% 5/21

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$158M56.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$70M25.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$43M15.4% of assets
Inventory$17M6.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$56M20.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$30M10.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TCMD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus

Tactile Systems Technology Inc (TCMD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tactile Systems Technology Inc (Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc ▼ $510M 22.1x 2.3x
SYK Stryker Corp ▼ $113.02B 30.5x 4.7x
MMM 3m Co ▶ $84.97B 29.3x 28.8x
BSX Boston Scientific Corp ▼ $64.33B 22.0x 2.6x
BDX Becton Dickinson & Co ▼ $52.23B 62.3x 2.1x
MDLN Medline Inc. ▶ $47.28B – 4.1x
RMD Resmed Inc ▼ $34.47B 22.9x 5.2x
DXCM Dexcom Inc ▼ $32.47B 37.7x 12.4x
WST West Pharmaceutical Services Inc ▼ $27.03B 49.2x 9.0x
SOLV Solventum Corp ▼ $14.61B 9.6x 3.0x
BAX Baxter International Inc ▼ $13.07B – 2.1x
PEN Penumbra Inc ▼ $12.64B 98.7x 8.3x
GMED Globus Medical Inc ▼ $10.30B 21.7x 5.2x
PODD Insulet Corp ▼ $9.79B 24.2x 6.9x
GKOS Glaukos Corp ▲ $9.72B – 14.3x
TFX Teleflex Inc ▼ $5.53B – 1.9x
HAE Haemonetics Corp ▶ $5.38B 57.1x 6.4x
MMSI Merit Medical Systems Inc ▼ $5.33B 39.8x 3.2x
STVN Stevanato Group S.P.A. ▲ $5.16B 8.2x –
MMED Minimed Group, Inc. ▲ $4.92B – 1.4x
HTFL Heartflow, Inc. ▲ $4.20B – 15.0x
ICUI Icu Medical Inc/De ▼ $4.08B 291.0x 1.9x
IRTC Irhythm Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.58B – 19.3x
PLSE Pulse Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $3.17B – 31.9x
ATRC Atricure, Inc. ▲ $2.85B 800.9x 5.5x
UFPT Ufp Technologies Inc ▼ $2.26B 31.5x 4.9x
INSP Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. ▲ $1.99B 13.7x 2.4x
LMAT Lemaitre Vascular Inc ▶ $1.85B 30.4x 4.4x
NVCR Novocure Ltd ▲ $1.64B – 4.9x
KMTS Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. ▲ $1.62B – 7.3x
ATEC Alphatec Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.62B – –
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc ▲ $1.13B – 8.7x
IRMD Iradimed Corp ▶ $1.13B 51.6x 11.1x
DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. ▶ $1.08B – 14.0x
AORT Artivion, Inc. ▶ $1.06B – 2.4x
IART Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp ▶ $1.03B – 1.0x
PRCT Procept Biorobotics Corp ▲ $1.01B – 3.0x
BVS Bioventus Inc. ▶ $908M 19.3x 4.0x
SIBN Si-Bone, Inc. ▶ $882M – 4.8x
BBNX Beta Bionics, Inc. ▲ $863M – 3.4x
SGP Spyglass Pharma, Inc. ▶ $803M – 3.5x
MDXG Mimedx Group, Inc. ▲ $646M 27.7x 3.0x
KIDS Orthopediatrics Corp ▶ $573M – 1.7x
SSII Ss Innovations International, Inc. ▲ $517M – 9.7x
DCTH Delcath Systems, Inc. ▲ $497M 201.1x 4.1x
ANGO Angiodynamics Inc ▲ $473M – 2.9x
SGHT Sight Sciences, Inc. ▲ $456M – 8.6x
BWAY Brainsway Ltd. ▶ $448M – –
CERS Cerus Corp ▶ $439M – 6.3x
NPCE Neuropace Inc ▶ $420M – 35.4x
RCEL Avita Medical, Inc. ▲ $403M – –
OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. ▼ $382M – 0.9x
CARL Carlsmed, Inc. ▲ $366M – 4.4x
EMBC Embecta Corp. ▶ $355M 5.2x –
OBIO Orchestra Biomed Holdings, Inc. ▲ $328M – 17.0x
CLPT Clearpoint Neuro, Inc. ▲ $277M – 25.7x
MOBI Mobia Medical, Inc. ▼ $269M – 1.6x
ANIK Anika Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $267M – 2.0x
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. ▲ $252M – 3.7x
OSUR Orasure Technologies Inc ▲ $249M – 0.8x

Where TCMD sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
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FAQ

Tactile Systems Technology Inc (TCMD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Tactile Systems Technology Inc (TCMD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Tactile Systems Technology Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Tactile Systems Technology Inc stock predictions?

For TCMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Tactile Systems Technology Inc forecasts updated?

Tactile Systems Technology Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Tactile Systems Technology Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TCMD included, share the SEC industry code Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus. The largest are: Stryker Corp (SYK), 3m Co (MMM), Boston Scientific Corp (BSX), Becton Dickinson & Co (BDX), Medline Inc. (MDLN), Resmed Inc (RMD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.