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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 9.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.99B small-cap · #26 of 60 peers
Summary

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.99B. It ranks number 26 by market capitalization among the 60 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For INSP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

INSP price chart and AI forecast

INSP
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How INSP ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricINSPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.99B $1.37B 26/60
P/E Ratio 13.70x 30.38x 22/25
P/B Ratio 2.41x 4.40x 42/55
EPS $5.02 – –
Book Value/Share $28.56 – –
Revenue/Share $31.09 – –
FCF/Share $4.05 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricINSPIndustry medianRank
ROE 16.4% -8.0% 10/41
ROA 14.6% -4.3% 5/44
ROIC 6.3% -1.4% 20/53
Gross Margin 86.1% 65.0% 4/53
Operating Margin 6.0% -1.1% 21/54
Net Margin 15.0% -3.1% 8/43
EBT Margin 7.7% -0.0% 20/54
Tax Rate -94.6% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricINSPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 8.55x 3.85x 11/59
Quick Ratio 6.16x 2.51x 11/55
D/E Ratio 0.12x 0.63x 54/56
Financial Leverage 1.12x 1.63x 53/54
Working Capital $537M $227M 20/59

Cash Flow

MetricINSPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $157M $42M 19/55
Free Cash Flow $117M $2M 16/50
Capital Spending -$40M -$16M 30/50
OCF Growth YoY 33.7% 18.1% 14/33
FCF Growth YoY 37.7% 24.4% 10/25
FCF/Sales 13.0% 0.5% 16/49
CapEx/Sales 4.5% 3.6% 17/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricINSPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.97x 0.72x 9/50
Receivables Turnover 8.7x 6.4x 5/51
Inventory Turnover 0.7x 2.0x 49/51
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.6x 6.3x 22/52
Days Sales Outstanding 42 days 57 days 47/51
Days Inventory 499 days 186 days 3/51

Income Statement

MetricINSPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $899M $622M 21/52
Operating Income $54M -$2M 21/55
Net Income $135M -$11M 13/44
R&D Expense $100M $61M 15/53
SG&A Expense $620M $319M 15/53
Cost of Goods Sold $125M $167M 31/53

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricINSPIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 29M – –
Net Income Growth 154.2% 15.8% 2/19
EPS Growth 283.2% 14.3% 2/21

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$609M65.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$128M13.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$103M11.2% of assets
Inventory$170M18.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$100M10.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

INSP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
INSP Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. ▲ $1.99B 13.7x 2.4x
SYK Stryker Corp ▼ $113.02B 30.5x 4.7x
MMM 3m Co ▶ $84.97B 29.3x 28.8x
BSX Boston Scientific Corp ▼ $64.33B 22.0x 2.6x
BDX Becton Dickinson & Co ▼ $52.23B 62.3x 2.1x
MDLN Medline Inc. ▶ $47.28B – 4.1x
RMD Resmed Inc ▼ $34.47B 22.9x 5.2x
DXCM Dexcom Inc ▼ $32.47B 37.7x 12.4x
WST West Pharmaceutical Services Inc ▼ $27.03B 49.2x 9.0x
SOLV Solventum Corp ▼ $14.61B 9.6x 3.0x
BAX Baxter International Inc ▼ $13.07B – 2.1x
PEN Penumbra Inc ▼ $12.64B 98.7x 8.3x
GMED Globus Medical Inc ▼ $10.30B 21.7x 5.2x
PODD Insulet Corp ▼ $9.79B 24.2x 6.9x
GKOS Glaukos Corp ▲ $9.72B – 14.3x
TFX Teleflex Inc ▼ $5.53B – 1.9x
HAE Haemonetics Corp ▶ $5.38B 57.1x 6.4x
MMSI Merit Medical Systems Inc ▼ $5.33B 39.8x 3.2x
STVN Stevanato Group S.P.A. ▲ $5.16B 8.2x –
MMED Minimed Group, Inc. ▲ $4.92B – 1.4x
HTFL Heartflow, Inc. ▲ $4.20B – 15.0x
ICUI Icu Medical Inc/De ▼ $4.08B 291.0x 1.9x
IRTC Irhythm Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.58B – 19.3x
PLSE Pulse Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $3.17B – 31.9x
ATRC Atricure, Inc. ▲ $2.85B 800.9x 5.5x
UFPT Ufp Technologies Inc ▼ $2.26B 31.5x 4.9x
LMAT Lemaitre Vascular Inc ▶ $1.85B 30.4x 4.4x
NVCR Novocure Ltd ▲ $1.64B – 4.9x
KMTS Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. ▲ $1.62B – 7.3x
ATEC Alphatec Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.62B – –
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc ▲ $1.13B – 8.7x
IRMD Iradimed Corp ▶ $1.13B 51.6x 11.1x
DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. ▶ $1.08B – 14.0x
AORT Artivion, Inc. ▶ $1.06B – 2.4x
IART Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp ▶ $1.03B – 1.0x
PRCT Procept Biorobotics Corp ▲ $1.01B – 3.0x
BVS Bioventus Inc. ▶ $908M 19.3x 4.0x
SIBN Si-Bone, Inc. ▶ $882M – 4.8x
BBNX Beta Bionics, Inc. ▲ $863M – 3.4x
SGP Spyglass Pharma, Inc. ▶ $803M – 3.5x
MDXG Mimedx Group, Inc. ▲ $646M 27.7x 3.0x
KIDS Orthopediatrics Corp ▶ $573M – 1.7x
SSII Ss Innovations International, Inc. ▲ $517M – 9.7x
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc ▼ $510M 22.1x 2.3x
DCTH Delcath Systems, Inc. ▲ $497M 201.1x 4.1x
ANGO Angiodynamics Inc ▲ $473M – 2.9x
SGHT Sight Sciences, Inc. ▲ $456M – 8.6x
BWAY Brainsway Ltd. ▶ $448M – –
CERS Cerus Corp ▶ $439M – 6.3x
NPCE Neuropace Inc ▶ $420M – 35.4x
RCEL Avita Medical, Inc. ▲ $403M – –
OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. ▼ $382M – 0.9x
CARL Carlsmed, Inc. ▲ $366M – 4.4x
EMBC Embecta Corp. ▶ $355M 5.2x –
OBIO Orchestra Biomed Holdings, Inc. ▲ $328M – 17.0x
CLPT Clearpoint Neuro, Inc. ▲ $277M – 25.7x
MOBI Mobia Medical, Inc. ▼ $269M – 1.6x
ANIK Anika Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $267M – 2.0x
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. ▲ $252M – 3.7x
OSUR Orasure Technologies Inc ▲ $249M – 0.8x

Where INSP sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
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News

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) stock news

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FAQ

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. stock predictions?

For INSP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. forecasts updated?

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, INSP included, share the SEC industry code Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus. The largest are: Stryker Corp (SYK), 3m Co (MMM), Boston Scientific Corp (BSX), Becton Dickinson & Co (BDX), Medline Inc. (MDLN), Resmed Inc (RMD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.